Iraq will never be a democracy. EVER. Too much corruption, too much infustructure damage, to many illegal weapons markets, to much non-secular bias. Right now Iraq is in a transitional democracy but they dont want this. They dont want to be forced into American Idology. They want theocracy, just like Iran. They are far to religious to want any type of secular government and violence will never stop until everyone gets what they want, which is 3 seperate governments. Not going to happen.
There has never been a prosporous colonization by the US, thats not their style.
The countries that have developed economically are those that were not colonized by the West; every country that was colonized by the US is a total wreck.
The West just robs them.
The goal of the US is to keep Iraq a 3rd world country.
Keep the people poor and keep the economy vested in the interest of the big Western economic powers in the region.
Keep the rich rich and the poor people paying.
whether they are The Elite Westerners, or Regional Elites.
So, as long as the people are poor and the government gives the lucrative contracts to the right people, then the country will do fine.
So the US says to Iraq, 'you can run yourself, but we will be embedded in your government, and we will be making sure we get what we want.'
But if the country succeeds and becomes some kind of independant power, without the US.
it will cost the US alot of money, as one big example - oil and Oil Investments.
If the US no longer controls the Oil
- Stock will become
unguaranteed, so to speak, it will be viewed as volatile, and fluctuate naturally in the open market. that is, if the source is controlled by Regional independents, it will ultimately lead to Western interest not investing in what was once a sure thing.
And the US wont have control over what gets done in the government, the US wont have veto power when it comes to economic decisions in that region.
A democratic Iraq will start making decisions that reflect what the public wants and whats best for the region, which is not in the best interest of the US.
If oil prices go up because Iraq is Sovereign and Democratic, then the US economy will suffer, Iraq cannot be allowed to control thier own power, there must be key people put in place(in government) that will make decisions with US interest in mind.
You cannot have those(diplomats) in place if the general population in Iraq are prosporous, they must be distracted by either war/violence, consumerism, or poverty.
Or else they have a say in the way things are run, and they will quickly see who is voting to make changes and what changes are actually being made, and if the publics interest is not being served, they will vote them out
The region needs to remain in turmoil in order for the US to benefit.