Reasons why Donald Trump would only get 9.3% of election votes today
I think the degrading comments to women, and more women coming forward with their stories on what Trump did to them made the forecast for Trump so bad.
Do you think this is accurate? This is what the votes would be like if it happened today at this very moment.
he can still turn things around
It would at this point take a catastrophic collapse of Hillary in the polls. To win, Trump doesn't just have to beat a 7 point polls differential nationally and turn around lost causes in several swing states. He has to overcome the early voting numbers. Democrats and Republicans are talking about that polling of the early voting crowds indicate that Hillary is, as we write this, racking up a pretty comfortable lead already.
But again, if you think Trump can win, post a map. In the nowcast map that was posted I could see Trump flipping AZ back to her column, but a lot of the other states there are slipping away from Trump fairly decidely. He may not even win Utah at this point and he has put Texas at a point where a Hillary surge may even carry that state (it's unlikely, but polling is showing it's not impossible).
Trump likes to talk about rigged elections, but the only way you can detect a rigged election, short of catching someone red handed, is to compare the outcome to polling data. That's how we detect rigged elections all over the world when they happen. Right now, polling data shows that in an honest election, Trump loses.