The giant el nino that was supposed to prevent Arthur may have dissipated. The reports I've seen so far leave me unconvinced that it has yet become la nina but evidence is accumulating in that direction.
Drought-busting El Niño status announced Thursday | KXAN.com
AUSTIN (KXAN) — The end to our drought could be just months away, as NOAA is scheduled to announce the status of this year’s potential El Niño on Thursday.
The development of this significant weather pattern could bring at least a temporary reprieve from our extended Central Texas drought, but the welcome rain often comes with dangerous side effects.
This orange area in the Pacific detailed in the video below shows warmer than normal water, a telltale sign an El Niño is developing.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf
El Niño Could Make U.S. Weather More Extreme during 2014 - Scientific American
Unusual weather across the U.S. and other parts of the world just became more likely for this summer and autumn. That’s because the chances have gone up that El Niño—an atmospheric pattern driven by water temperature changes in the Pacific Ocean—will develop during that time, according to the nation’s leading climate experts. When El Niño settles in, it has major effects on weather conditions nationally and globally.
Scientists speaking at a press conference yesterday afternoon said the odds that El Niño will develop during the summer have risen from 65 to 70 percent. The prediction comes in a new monthly report from the U.S. National Weather Service and the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University. The experts also said there is up to an 80% chance that El Niño will develop during the fall and winter
So, where do you get your information?