Hillary Clinton's July 2016 average poll lead VS. Joe Biden's July 2020 average poll lead

[busybee01]

Biden will lose all of this after the debates.

No debate has ever mattered in decades. Name one that did. Trump's criticism of Biden's mental state has set the bar so low all he has to do is talk and stay on his feet to beat expectations. It shows how stupid Trump is.

 

[busybee01]

Polls are BS. What part about they're never right have people missed?

Next.

You wouldn't be saying that if they showed Trump winning. That is what losers say.

 

[busybee01]

Structurally, this election is vastly different than 2016.

Biden isn't Clinton. Clinton had an FBI investigation and Russian interference dragging her down. She was not charismatic. She was widely disliked by large swaths of the population for a history of scandals.

Trump isn't an outsider. He now owns US policy and current situation. If things were going great, that'd be one thing, but <gestures widely the current dumpster fire> that's not the case.

That being said, I have no idea what's going to happen, but if you think this is just like 2016, you need a wakeup call.

BS. COVID-19 owns the "current situation." And if you blame him for it, then you're a leftist that hated him before it even started, there's nothing new.

And yes, this is exactly like 2016. The democrats have nominated the absolute worst possible candidate out of what appeared to be 4 or 5 hundred, and now they have to prop him up with fake polls and hyperbole as if people actually like the creepy old, senile, hair sniffing, groping, gaffe a minute, if you don't vote for me, you ain't black, hiding in his basement, can't get a whole sentence out without forgetting what he was talking about, Biden.

YOU need the wake up call, because it appears the democrat propaganda wing can buffalo your ass with the very same garbage they always pull, and you fail to ever learn it's bull shit.

He should be blamed for helping it spread. Republican Republican governors have followed Trump's advice to open up and the virus is surging in their states. Now these morons want to follow Trump's advice and open up schools as if it were business as usual. The Republican governor of Missouri even admitted that the kids would get the coronavirus but don't worry about it. Never mind these kids will interact with adults at school and at home and they are very vulnerable.

You neecd the wake-up call. Voters are fed up with Trump's lack of leadership. Yet you deny reality.

 

[busybee01]

Biden will lose all of this after the debates.

How is Trump going to defend is record on the terrible and worsening coronavirus situation in the United States in a debate?

How is Trump going to defend the fact that the economy is now in the worst recession since the 1930s in the debate?

How is Trump going to defend the fact that unemployment is the highest it has ever been since the 1930s in the debate?

Are Americans better off right now in the last half of 2020 than they were in the last half of 2016? How will Trump answer that question in the debate?

How will Trump answer his core supporters about the WALL, building it, and having Mexico pay for it? Only 3 miles of WALL have been built and Mexico has not paid a cent.

None of that will matter when biden opens his mouth. that's what you don't get. The democrats had one job, beat trump... so what do they do, they nominate an old man who tells racist stories, who is in cognitive crisis, who has a history of voting with segregationists. but the thing thats going to kill joe is his mouth, when not scripted on the debate stage.

Voters nominated Biden. That included blacks, moderates, independents, men and women. They are fed up with Trump.

 

[Preacher]

Hillary Clinton's July 2016 average poll lead VS. Joe Biden's July 2020 average poll lead from REAL CLEAR POLITICS which takes an average of the latest polls:

Hillary Clinton for the month of July 2016 led Donald Trump by an average of 2.4% points in the average of the polls that month.

Joe Biden for the month of July 2020 has led Donald Trump by an average of 8.8% points in the average of the polls this month.



Hillary Clinton's average poll leads over Trump for August, September, October, and early November 2016:

August 2016 - 6.0% points
September 2016 - 2.6% points
October 2016 - 5.6% points
Early November 2016 - 3.5% points

Election day November 8, 2016 - 3.0% points
Election day actual results November 8, 2016 - 2.09% points

Comparing National Polls in 2016 and 2020 - Sabato's Crystal Ball

Editor’s Note: This is the first of two issues of the Crystal Ball this week. We’ll be back Thursday with our regularly-scheduled issue. KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE — In aggregate, Joe Biden’s national lead over Donald Trump so far this year is very similar to the lead Hillary Clinton held over...

centerforpolitics.org

Based on the information so far and the comparisons of average poll leads over Trump between Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Joe Biden in 2020, Joe Biden is headed towards a significantly larger victory in the popular vote in 2020 than Hillary Clinton had over Donald Trump in 2016.

THE IMPACT:

1. Joe Biden will NOT lose any states that went for Hillary in 2016.
2. Trump's only chance to win will involve victories in at least one of the following states, Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania, while not losing any other states(that he won in 2016) like Florida or Arizona that are currently led by BIDEN.
3. Joe Biden currently leads Trump in the 3 key states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania by an average of 7% points.
4. Joe Biden currently leads Trump in Florida by 6.4% points.
5. Joe Biden currently leads Trump in Ohio by 2.3% points.
6. Joe Biden currently leads Trump in Arizona by 2.8% points.
7. Joe Biden has more paths to victory than Donald Trump in the electoral college.

Its unlikely that the convention and debates will have much impact on voters since the election is essentially a referendum on Trump's 4 years in office. The Recession, High Unemployment, and worsening Coronavirus Situation will be this elections most important issues and how a plurality if not a majority of voters will likely decide who to vote for.

For Trump to win, he has to squeak by with tiny victories in normally blue states like Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania, while not losing any other states that he won in 2016. Current polling shows BIDEN will likely win Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania by comfortable margins relative to the margins of victory in those states in 2016 by Trump.

Hillary Clinton's poll leads over Trump in 2016 were volatile from month to month from a high of 10.0% points in March 2016 to a low of 2.4% points in July 2016. By contrast, Joe Biden's lead over Trump from month to month has been more stable and has steadily risen from 5.0% points in January 2020 to 8.8% points in July 2020.

The bigger the lie the more it will be believed. They are going bigger in 2020 to try and dissuade Trump voters from voting. Polls are nothing more than a way to suppress the vote. It won't work but let the morons try.

 

[busybee01]

Structurally, this election is vastly different than 2016.

Biden isn't Clinton. Clinton had an FBI investigation and Russian interference dragging her down. She was not charismatic. She was widely disliked by large swaths of the population for a history of scandals.

Trump isn't an outsider. He now owns US policy and current situation. If things were going great, that'd be one thing, but <gestures widely the current dumpster fire> that's not the case.

That being said, I have no idea what's going to happen, but if you think this is just like 2016, you need a wakeup call.

Actually Biden is the B Team compared to Hillary. He's an even worse candidate than she was. His only experience is 40 plus years of public service with a record that can be used against him. The Democrat's riots are going to pull him down with women. Anyone that likes feeling secure in their homes won't vote for him. He's about as exciting as watching two snails fuck. The only thing the Dems are hoping for is to keep him hidden and hope everyone votes for him to end the massive suffering and depression the Democrats have caused this year.

Hardly. The polls in 2016 showed Clinton was the weakest candidate. 2 Republicans led her. No Republican led Biden. He would have beaten Trump easily There are no Democrat riots. You may think that women are stupid enough to believe that line but they are not. I agree that he is not exciting but that is why he will beat Trump. People are tired of the reality show that Trump is. His show lasted only 3 years on network television before it was exiled to cable television. Republicans are the ones who would love to hide Trump. He is going down and taking them with him. It is Trump who has caused massive suffering through his lack of leadership on the coronavirus.