Hillary ahead by 15% (!!!) in first fully post-convention poll

[MarathonMike]

Nate Silver has proven to be the most accurate predictor of recent elections. Check out NateSilver538.com. Three months ago Hillary had a +100 electoral vote lead in his model. Today her electoral vote lead is 2.

still waiting for the November poll.
Even if they come out and say its going to be Trump by a landslide I would have to question the methods.

It definitely will not be Trump by a landslide.

He needs to sweep all the swing states to win.

Hillary only needs one big one or a couple of others.

It may be close or it may be a Hillary landslide but it won't be a Trump landslide. He has alienated too many voters.

I have never said Trump will win in a landslide. I am providing an un-biased proven very accurate source for Presidential and Congressional election predictions NateSilver538.com.

 

[PK1]

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

.

 

[Zander]

How cute. The Democrats are self soothing after their disaster of a convention.

"Head to your safe space and take solace....Everything will be OK."

So you thought the DNC Convention was a disaster? Too bad ALL the tv news commentators including BBC and PBS disagree with you.

Oh noes!! BBC and PBS?

 

[Neotrotsky]

All three of Nate Silver's methods have Hillary in the lead.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

What a difference a week makes!

and using a 3 way race



For 2012 election,
FiveThirtyEight the polls turned out to be inaccurate, and to have a Democratic bias

no wonder you like it

 

[Neotrotsky]

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

View attachment 83700
.

if that was true
then the uranium deal Hillary cut for Russia
should be safe

 

[Neotrotsky]

It is an internet poll

"956 interviews among voters were conducted July 29, 2016 via internet survey"
non-scientific
Democrats party of science- yeah right



Like your local TV station says
go to our website and vote on something




Democrats desperation is too
funny

but it does look like Queen Hillary has gotten a traditional convention bump
small one so far- which must explains the Democrats desperation to use non-scientific polls


Real Clear Politics
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton- oddly enough RABA is not to be found in the mix
funny that works


RCP Average 7/18 - 7/29 -- -- 43.7 43.3 Clinton +0.4
Reuters/Ipsos 7/25 - 7/29 1050 LV 3.5 40 35 Clinton +5
LA Times/USC 7/23 - 7/29 2188 LV -- 42 47 Trump +5
Rasmussen Reports 7/26 - 7/27 1000 LV 3.0 43 42 Clinton +1
Economist/YouGov 7/23 - 7/24 1057 RV 4.5 47 42 Clinton +5
CNN/ORC 7/22 - 7/24 882 RV 3.5 45 48 Trump +3
CBS News 7/22 - 7/24 1118 RV 4.0 43 44 Trump +1
NBC News/SM 7/18 - 7/24 12931 RV 1.2 46 45 Clinton +1

It is a scientific poll. Unscientific polls are the ones that do not control for race, gender, etc. HuffPo only lists scientific polls, but you pretended that RCP is the only poll aggregator in the world RABA Research (7/29 2016)
HuffPo included RABA

Since when does science conduct research with robo call voice software? Is that how NASA does it now?

Since when does HuffPo include non-scientific polls in its list? You won't say.
And responding to your answer as to who does robo-calls: Team Aiona responds to results of Rasmussen's robo-call polling > Hawaii Free Press

The fact that it's on HuffPo doesn't impress, sorry. Rasmussen doesn't mean much to me either, he got out of the game a while back, I have no idea how it's run now.

oh no
Huff and Puff
is all about unbiased reporting



Like not wanting to report on Trump's campaign
that blew up in their face

 

[Manonthestreet]

Yeeesssss...feast on the propaganda,,,,fill your head fulll.......this will only increase the decibels of your whining when she loses and my sheer satisfaction level of such

 

[Neotrotsky]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

I am certain she is ahead a lot further ahead than that. I know a lot of Republicans and not one of them are voting to put this emotionally unstable male drama queen in the Oval Office.

Trump publicly encouraging Russia to do a cyber attack on the United States put the final nail in his Commander & Chief aspirations also--LOL

Here is what Leon Panetta, CIA Chief & Secretary of Defense had to say about that.

I bet I know and you for that matter
a lot more Bernie supporters who are not going to vote for Hillary

Wikileaks sealed it for them

 

[konradv]

All three of Nate Silver's methods have Hillary in the lead.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus
What a difference a week makes!

and using a 3 way race For 2012 election, FiveThirtyEight the polls turned out to be inaccurate, and to have a Democratic bias no wonder you like it

Where are you getting your info? He was a perfect 51 for 51 in 2012 and 50 for 51 in 2008.
Was Nate Silver the Most Accurate 2012 Election Pundit? - CFAR
Triumph of the Nerds: Nate Silver Wins in 50 States
How Accurate Were Nate Silver's Predictions For The 2012 Presidential Election?

 

[Lakhota]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

Great news! Thank you!

 

[Rambunctious]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%

Funny...you are going to be so sad in November...

Angered Bernie Sanders online supporters say they will 'never vote for Hillary Clinton' and threaten to spoil their ballots or vote Trump

 

[Neotrotsky]

All three of Nate Silver's methods have Hillary in the lead.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus
What a difference a week makes!

and using a 3 way race For 2012 election, FiveThirtyEight the polls turned out to be inaccurate, and to have a Democratic bias no wonder you like it

Where are you getting your info? He was a perfect 51 for 51 in 2012 and 50 for 51 in 2008.
Was Nate Silver the Most Accurate 2012 Election Pundit? - CFAR
Triumph of the Nerds: Nate Silver Wins in 50 States
How Accurate Were Nate Silver's Predictions For The 2012 Presidential Election?

Nate Silver had his moment in the sun
appears he is having issues, of late

Three way- race
please


From right wing slate
How Nate Silver Missed Donald Trump

 

[Lakhota]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

I am certain she is ahead a lot further ahead than that. I know a lot of Republicans and not one of them are voting to put this emotionally unstable male drama queen in the Oval Office.

Trump publicly encouraging Russia to do a cyber attack on the United States put the final nail in his Commander & Chief aspirations also--LOL

Here is what Leon Panetta, CIA Chief & Secretary of Defense had to say about that.

I bet I know and you for that matter
a lot more Bernie supporters who are not going to vote for Hillary

Wikileaks sealed it for them

Aren't you proud that a foreign hostile communist dictator and a foreign accused rapist and fugitive from justice are trying to manipulate our election for President of the United States!? Gee, what could their motives possibly be...

 

[Tom Horn]

It is a scientific poll. Unscientific polls are the ones that do not control for race, gender, etc. HuffPo only lists scientific polls, but you pretended that RCP is the only poll aggregator in the world RABA Research (7/29 2016)
HuffPo included RABA

No it isn't...it's the least "scientific" polling there is....clear your cookies and vote a hundred times if you want...it's a joke.

 

[jillian]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

nice thought. but i don't know these pollsters and don't know their record. that's why i always wait for the realclearpolitics average.

 

[Tom Horn]

Aren't you proud that a hostile communist dictator and an accused rapist and fugitive from justice are trying to manipulate our election for President of the United States!? Gee, what could their motives possibly be...

What? I thought Hillary's "re-set button" turned Putin into Obwana's pal....and speaking of rapists and fugitives, how's your newest arrivals from central America doing....getting them registered to vote are ya?

 

[Neotrotsky]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

I am certain she is ahead a lot further ahead than that. I know a lot of Republicans and not one of them are voting to put this emotionally unstable male drama queen in the Oval Office.

Trump publicly encouraging Russia to do a cyber attack on the United States put the final nail in his Commander & Chief aspirations also--LOL

Here is what Leon Panetta, CIA Chief & Secretary of Defense had to say about that.

I bet I know and you for that matter
a lot more Bernie supporters who are not going to vote for Hillary

Wikileaks sealed it for them

Aren't you proud that a foreign hostile communist dictator and a foreign accused rapist and fugitive from justice are trying to manipulate our election for President of the United States!? Gee, what could their motives possibly be...

Hillary

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

I am certain she is ahead a lot further ahead than that. I know a lot of Republicans and not one of them are voting to put this emotionally unstable male drama queen in the Oval Office.

Trump publicly encouraging Russia to do a cyber attack on the United States put the final nail in his Commander & Chief aspirations also--LOL

Here is what Leon Panetta, CIA Chief & Secretary of Defense had to say about that.

I bet I know and you for that matter
a lot more Bernie supporters who are not going to vote for Hillary

Wikileaks sealed it for them

Aren't you proud that a foreign hostile communist dictator and a foreign accused rapist and fugitive from justice are trying to manipulate our election for President of the United States!? Gee, what could their motives possibly be...

Queen Hillary?

it is always about power for her
same reason she claims to be for women's rights
but tolerated and enabled Bill's behavior
Indeed, how many poor women had to suffer because of her
selfish greed and desire for power

 

[jillian]

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

I am certain she is ahead a lot further ahead than that. I know a lot of Republicans and not one of them are voting to put this emotionally unstable male drama queen in the Oval Office.

Trump publicly encouraging Russia to do a cyber attack on the United States put the final nail in his Commander & Chief aspirations also--LOL

Here is what Leon Panetta, CIA Chief & Secretary of Defense had to say about that.

I bet I know and you for that matter
a lot more Bernie supporters who are not going to vote for Hillary

Wikileaks sealed it for them

Aren't you proud that a foreign hostile communist dictator and a foreign accused rapist and fugitive from justice are trying to manipulate our election for President of the United States!? Gee, what could their motives possibly be...

Hillary

A new Raba Research poll shows Hillary Clinton defeating Donald Trump by a humongous 15%.

http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016-2.pdf

I assume that the convention per se isn't the reason Trump is crumbling, but also his ties to Russia's Vladimir Putin.

I am certain she is ahead a lot further ahead than that. I know a lot of Republicans and not one of them are voting to put this emotionally unstable male drama queen in the Oval Office.

Trump publicly encouraging Russia to do a cyber attack on the United States put the final nail in his Commander & Chief aspirations also--LOL

Here is what Leon Panetta, CIA Chief & Secretary of Defense had to say about that.

I bet I know and you for that matter
a lot more Bernie supporters who are not going to vote for Hillary

Wikileaks sealed it for them

Aren't you proud that a foreign hostile communist dictator and a foreign accused rapist and fugitive from justice are trying to manipulate our election for President of the United States!? Gee, what could their motives possibly be...

Queen Hillary?

it is always about power for her
same reason she claims to be for women's rights
but tolerated and enabled Bill's behavior
Indeed, how many poor women had to suffer because of her
selfish greed and desire for power

you know what the biggest joke is about your post?

that dumb donald the narcissist has never done anything for anyone but himself in his entire life.

 

[Tom Horn]

you know what the biggest joke is about your post?

that dumb donald the narcissist has never done anything for anyone but himself in his entire life.

According to Rudy Giuliani, Trump is the largest ANONYMOUS donor for various causes in NYC.....looks like you're full of beans again, silly jilly.

 

[Faun]

you know what the biggest joke is about your post?

that dumb donald the narcissist has never done anything for anyone but himself in his entire life.

According to Rudy Giuliani, Trump is the largest ANONYMOUS donor for various causes in NYC.....looks like you're full of beans again, silly jilly.

Giuliani only says that because he thinks Trump is a "dirty boy"...