Gravis: Trump takes a huge lead in Iowa poll over Walker (GOP nomination)

[Statistikhengst]

Trump Has Big Lead in Iowa One America News Network

Gravis (R) Marketing, 670 RV, MoE = +/-3.8


Trump +15.5 over Walker (R)

Clinton +26.8 over Sanders (D)

This is a huge shift in Iowa, where Walker had been leading. And according to Gravis, Rand Paul has imploded, down to 1%. Rand's father, Ron, took 2nd place to Rick Santorum in Iowa in 2012, but walked away with the most delegates.

The Democratic poll makes almost no sense with Elizabeth Warren in the mix. She has already clearly said she is not running. Still, Hillary has a more than comfortable lead here and in every other state polled thus far.

Gravis does not have a good polling record. It has a record of miscalls and also a very large mathematical bias of 3 points to the Right, based on it's performance in the the end polling for 2012:

Statistikhengst s ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond The moment of truth how did the pollsters do

(Details at the link)

Gravis (R), which is kind of a mini-Rasmussen copycat, had less end-polls than Rasmussen, but has the honor of being the only polling organization where every single end-poll was off to the RIGHT. No bullseyes for Gravis (R) and certainly no results to the Left...

More Iowa polling is sure to follow...

 

[Statistikhengst]

I'm not the only one who noticed this about Elizabeth Warren:

The guy who owns the Hedgehog Report is a Republican.

 

[Camp]

This could have an affect.

trumpthemovie.com

 

[S.J.]

It's gonna be Walker, the Democrat's worst nightmare.

 

[Statistikhengst]

This could have an affect.

trumpthemovie.com

Looks like an interesting film...... hmmmm....

 

[Statistikhengst]

This could have an affect.

trumpthemovie.com

 

[Pogo]

Yanno there's a tiny piece of schmutz on my screen and when I saw the truncated thread title in the Active Topics list it looked like it said:

"Gravis: Trump Takes a Huge Load"

 

[Statistikhengst]

Yanno there's a tiny piece of schmutz on my screen and when I saw the truncated thread title in the Active Topics list it looked like it said:

"Gravis: Trump Takes a Huge Load"

Oh, my....

 

[Pogo]

Yanno there's a tiny piece of schmutz on my screen and when I saw the truncated thread title in the Active Topics list it looked like it said:

"Gravis: Trump Takes a Huge Load"

Oh, my....

Just for the record, I didn't click in until I figured out the correct title....

 

[Toro]

lol

Outstanding