Mushroom
Gold Member
I think one of the things that makes me laugh the most is that absolutely everything today seems to be blamed on Man Made Global Warming.
Hurricanes, floods, earthquakes, volcanoes, absolutely everything. And I am sure that making claims like that is a great way to get funding and scare kids, but can such claims be real?
Global melting is causing earthquakes and volcanos to erupt.
Climate change is causing more earthquakes.
Now those are two examples that are really raising a red flag with me. And for several reasons.
To start with, exactly how many major earthquake regions and active volcanoes are where the ice sheets were? That is just to start. Look at every single one of the regions on the planet that has active volcanos and earthquakes. Then compare that with where the ice sheets actually were.
And this is where a lot of the claims simply start to break down. And then add in this little absolute fact. How in the hell are they replicating these claims, or validating them?
In most of the world, there is really very limited evidence for much going back more than a century or two. And we sure as hell can't jump back to the LGM and see exactly what earthquake and volcanic activity was like. Or even see what the activity was like during the last interglacial.
This is why myself and so many point at the patently "Bad Science" in most claims on Global Warming. And correlation is not causation.
Now I have been studying geology for decades now, and have a well above average understanding of how earthquakes and volcanos operate. And for both of those geological events, they are far more likely to happen along Western North America and Eastern Asia. And this has nothing to do with the ice age or glaciers, it's entirely because of plate tectonics and both of those are active subduction zones.
That is why in the US, every single one of the active stratovolcanoes is north of San Francisco. Every Single One. There is not a single active stratovolcano south of there. Yet, people still believe that a volcano can pop up in LA because a movie told them so.
The very first logical challenge to people who make claims like this absolutely must be "Where are you obtaining the data?"
How in the hell can they prove that earthquakes and volcanos are more common now than during the LGM? How in the hell can they even prove that compared to 200 years ago? Here is the thing, they can't. It's absolutely impossible. And how can they explain that most of these events are occurring in places that have not had ice sheets in hundreds of millions of years (if ever)?
This all goes absolutely against science, because if you can't validate, document, and replicate your claims, it is not science. At absolute best it's a theory, nothing more and nothing less.
One thing I have learned in studying geology, is that there is a hell of a lot that simply can't be explained. And while geologists will often have no problem proposing a theory, they absolutely know to not "write it in stone" and state that something absolutely is the cause.
What caused the Great Unconformity that is seen almost globally but especially in the walls of the Grand Canyon? Why did the Pacific Plate not subduct under the North American Plate some 30 mya and instead created a strike-slip fault? Why did Washington-Oregon-Idaho see massive flood basalts, while California did not? Why did a supervolcano suddenly pop up in South-Eastern California 760,000 years ago? Why did large amounts of molten copper rise up with volcanic plumes in the Great Lakes area, and molten gold rise up in volcanic plumes in California? Why are diamonds common in explosive volcanic areas in South Africa, but not in North America?
Ask any geologist questions like those, and if they are honest they will give their own variation of the popular theories. And then end it with throwing up their hands and going "But ultimately, we just don't know".
But more and more I am seeing tons of shady and questionable "science" linked to "Global Warming". And here is a key part of the Replication Problem. We know for a fact that this is not the first Interglacial. There have been at least five of them in the past 3 million years. Were these cases of increased vulcanism and earthquakes seen in previous interglacials?
Where in the hell is the baseline for even attempting to determine such claims? Can somebody tell me the frequency of eruptions and earthquakes over 3 million years ago before the ice age cycle even began?
Without any of that kind of data, why should anybody take any of these claims even remotely seriously? Yet, people do. And it makes me sad at the level of anti-science they are believing. Because in the end, when absolutely everything is blamed on something, one must logically reject that very claim. And blaming everything on "Global Warming" is no different than blaming everything on "Witches" and "Heretics".
Hurricanes, floods, earthquakes, volcanoes, absolutely everything. And I am sure that making claims like that is a great way to get funding and scare kids, but can such claims be real?
Global melting is causing earthquakes and volcanos to erupt.
https://www.polytechnique-insights....ll-also-have-an-impact-on-volcanic-eruptions/If the load above the magma chamber is reduced, the magma can rise faster. This is precisely what happens when glaciers melt as a result of human-induced climate change. When a glacier decreases in thickness or width, a magma reservoir at depth can rupture and magma can rise to the surface. Especially if the volcano is already close to eruption!
Climate change is causing more earthquakes.
CSU study links climate change and earthquake frequency - Warner College of Natural ResourcesCSU geoscientists analyzed the Sangre de Cristo Mountains in southern Colorado, a range with an active fault along its western edge. Their results indicate that the fault had been held in place under the weight of glaciers during the last ice age, and as the ice melted, slip along the fault increased. This suggests that earthquake activity along a fault could increase as glaciers recede.
Now those are two examples that are really raising a red flag with me. And for several reasons.
To start with, exactly how many major earthquake regions and active volcanoes are where the ice sheets were? That is just to start. Look at every single one of the regions on the planet that has active volcanos and earthquakes. Then compare that with where the ice sheets actually were.
And this is where a lot of the claims simply start to break down. And then add in this little absolute fact. How in the hell are they replicating these claims, or validating them?
In most of the world, there is really very limited evidence for much going back more than a century or two. And we sure as hell can't jump back to the LGM and see exactly what earthquake and volcanic activity was like. Or even see what the activity was like during the last interglacial.
This is why myself and so many point at the patently "Bad Science" in most claims on Global Warming. And correlation is not causation.
Now I have been studying geology for decades now, and have a well above average understanding of how earthquakes and volcanos operate. And for both of those geological events, they are far more likely to happen along Western North America and Eastern Asia. And this has nothing to do with the ice age or glaciers, it's entirely because of plate tectonics and both of those are active subduction zones.
That is why in the US, every single one of the active stratovolcanoes is north of San Francisco. Every Single One. There is not a single active stratovolcano south of there. Yet, people still believe that a volcano can pop up in LA because a movie told them so.
The very first logical challenge to people who make claims like this absolutely must be "Where are you obtaining the data?"
How in the hell can they prove that earthquakes and volcanos are more common now than during the LGM? How in the hell can they even prove that compared to 200 years ago? Here is the thing, they can't. It's absolutely impossible. And how can they explain that most of these events are occurring in places that have not had ice sheets in hundreds of millions of years (if ever)?
This all goes absolutely against science, because if you can't validate, document, and replicate your claims, it is not science. At absolute best it's a theory, nothing more and nothing less.
One thing I have learned in studying geology, is that there is a hell of a lot that simply can't be explained. And while geologists will often have no problem proposing a theory, they absolutely know to not "write it in stone" and state that something absolutely is the cause.
What caused the Great Unconformity that is seen almost globally but especially in the walls of the Grand Canyon? Why did the Pacific Plate not subduct under the North American Plate some 30 mya and instead created a strike-slip fault? Why did Washington-Oregon-Idaho see massive flood basalts, while California did not? Why did a supervolcano suddenly pop up in South-Eastern California 760,000 years ago? Why did large amounts of molten copper rise up with volcanic plumes in the Great Lakes area, and molten gold rise up in volcanic plumes in California? Why are diamonds common in explosive volcanic areas in South Africa, but not in North America?
Ask any geologist questions like those, and if they are honest they will give their own variation of the popular theories. And then end it with throwing up their hands and going "But ultimately, we just don't know".
But more and more I am seeing tons of shady and questionable "science" linked to "Global Warming". And here is a key part of the Replication Problem. We know for a fact that this is not the first Interglacial. There have been at least five of them in the past 3 million years. Were these cases of increased vulcanism and earthquakes seen in previous interglacials?
Where in the hell is the baseline for even attempting to determine such claims? Can somebody tell me the frequency of eruptions and earthquakes over 3 million years ago before the ice age cycle even began?
Without any of that kind of data, why should anybody take any of these claims even remotely seriously? Yet, people do. And it makes me sad at the level of anti-science they are believing. Because in the end, when absolutely everything is blamed on something, one must logically reject that very claim. And blaming everything on "Global Warming" is no different than blaming everything on "Witches" and "Heretics".
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