Feel free to disagree with me...but this is not a left or right thread...leave politics out of it please.
We have massive money printing going on (stimulus checks) which will cause inflation...primarily with food because that is primarily where the printed money is going.
We have massive shutdowns of business which has cause massive loss in tax revenue.
We had unsustainable pension plans that have been hanging on by their finger tips for years...the loss of tax revenue will certainly be enough to tip these over.
The job losses have caused millions to not be able to pay their rent or mortgage...landlords and mortgage companies CAN'T TAKE THAT HIT...they'll go bankrupt.
It is said that 4 out of 5 businesses that are closed right now will not re-open. That will hit the commercial mortgage sector. (not to mention the MBS's and the CDO's which is what started the 2008 financial crisis).
What we are about to see is going to be biblical in scope! And if you are not afraid, you are not paying attention.
We have massive money printing going on (stimulus checks) which will cause inflation...primarily with food because that is primarily where the printed money is going.
Not likely. At least not based on current policy. Also where the money goes in the short term, doesn't really matter. The only way inflation takes over, is when it filters into the general economy.
We had unsustainable pension plans that have been hanging on by their finger tips for years...the loss of tax revenue will certainly be enough to tip these over.
Yes, No.
Yes, we have unsustainable pensions.
No, the current loss of tax revenue will not be enough to tip these over, unless the lock down continues for the next full year, which some ridiculous "experts" have demanded.
I don't think that is going to happen.
The job losses have caused millions to not be able to pay their rent or mortgage...landlords and mortgage companies CAN'T TAKE THAT HIT...they'll go bankrupt.
Again, still depends on how long the lock down happens. If we open up, and soon, jobs will come back, people will get to work, and bills will be paid.
It is said that 4 out of 5 businesses that are closed right now will not re-open. That will hit the commercial mortgage sector. (not to mention the MBS's and the CDO's which is what started the 2008 financial crisis).
The nice thing about capitalism, is that if it is allowed to function, it will recover very quickly. In India, when they liberalized, the economic growth was dramatic, and fast.
Same with China. When the economy was liberalized, the growth was swift, and large.
Same is true of the economy in the US. Say you have 10 businesses in a strip mall, and 8 of them fold.
What is that mall going to do, when the economy opens up? They are going to be giving away leases for a very low price, because a low payment, is better than no payment.
Equally you are going to have people who are going to swoop in, and make a killing. For example, someone could now open a cheap barber shop, for a very low price. The demand for getting hair cut is going to be extraordinary.
What we are about to see is going to be biblical in scope! And if you are not afraid, you are not paying attention.
No I'm not a afraid. What is there to be afraid of? I'll find another job. In fact, I have had two job offers in the past two weeks, and I declined them.
Biblical scope? No. No not even close. Now I'm only replying with the Bible, because you invoked the Bible... but the Bible says in Revelations that when the real troubles hit, 1/3 of the population of the Earth is going to die.
One third of the planet, is going to be wiped out. That's 2.6 Billion people.
No, we're not there. Not even close to there.
Further, even if everything you said happened, still wouldn't be 2.6 Billion dead. Even if it gets so bad, that we move to Canada and Mexico, we're not going to be as bad off as you think.
Even in Zimbabwe, when the government went absolutely insane, they didn't low half the population in chaos and death.
So, no. I'm not denying that bad things could happen. Sure, any government can fall into anarchy and tyranny, and certainly we could have a dictatorship installed, and the nation could go insane.
I agree.
But as things are right now? Not worried. This is like trickle of pee in the ocean, and thinking the world flood is upon us. No, we're not there yet.