Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election

[Baron]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

 

[S.J.]

Then there's the next round of emails from Wikileaks.

 

[Campbell]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

Practice saying, "Madame President!"

 

[theHawk]

Then there's the next round of emails from Wikileaks.

As well as the debates, where she has to answer questions live and face the Donald's attacks. She can't even handle a press conference right now.

 

[S.J.]

Then there's the next round of emails from Wikileaks.

As well as the debates, where she has to answer questions live and face the Donald's attacks. She can't even handle a press conference right now.

Her IBS will cause her to have to run to the lady's room like in the Democratic debate.

 

[SassyIrishLass]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

Practice saying, "Madame President!"

Isn't that what you snowflakes call Barry?

 

[konradv]

Until PROVEN different, I'll take the guy with the nearly perfect record over the last two elections. Hillary, 60%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

 

[idb]

Dick Morris appeared on a special Sunday broadcast of FOX News' "On the Record" with host Greta van Susteren to reaffirm his prediction that Mitt Romney will win Tuesday's presidential election in a landslide. Morris discussed the states he believes Romney will win and the number of electoral votes he predicts the Republican candidate will end up with.

Morris says Romney will capture 325 electoral votes while Obama will get 213, a significant difference.

"It will be the biggest surprise in recent American political history," Morris said. "It will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race as a nailbiter where in fact Romney’s going to win by quite a bit."
Dick Morris Stands By Prediction: Romney Will Win 325 Electoral Votes | RealClearPolitics

 

[JoeMoma]

The only vote I have control over is my own, so I stay away from making wishful thinking predictions about an election.

 

[LoneLaugher]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

That's awesome. It's a lock for Trump.

 

[tigerred59]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

There are two things one must have in order to win the white house, massive voter turn out and minorities....especially women and especially women of color.....that is just fact. This poll, which comprise mostly of white voters, had Romney winning by a fuckin land slide over Obama....and turn out, turn out turn out busted that poll to bits....Number one reason, so many GOP governors have done everything humanly possible suppress minority voter turn out, they know how bad it will be if we showed in massive numbers this time.

 

[tigerred59]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

That's awesome. It's a lock for Trump.

Romney II coming this fall, in November....them polls were a joke!!

 

[BuckToothMoron]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

Practice saying, "Madame President!"

But are you willing to put your money behind that?

Until PROVEN different, I'll take the guy with the nearly perfect record over the last two elections. Hillary, 60%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Until PROVEN different, I'll take the guy with the nearly perfect record over the last two elections. Hillary, 60%.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#plus

Do you realize how unimpressive that statement sounds? "the guy with the nearly perfect record over the last two elections. Hillary, 60%."

 

[konradv]

Do you realize how unimpressive that statement sounds? "the guy with the nearly perfect record over the last two elections. Hillary, 60%."

It's better than 40%.

 

[tigerred59]

What people must realize is this....there is nothing and I mean nothing either candidate can do, that will sway their voting base, nothing. You can drag us a zillion emails about HIllary, her base, her strong support base will not budge and inch, not an inch, because they don't care. Same thing with Trump, the guy can set fire to a retarded 2 year old and his supporter would blame the matches....both candidates can not be moved by anything, them is just facts.

But here's the deal...fuck the undecided...never believed in that group a day of my life, your either for an issue that a candidate harvest or not. Fuck independents, just conservatives or liberals that got pissed one day at their party and just didn't want to use their labels anymore, but in their guts, they still love thier party.

The only thing that will get either of these losers in the white house.....is VOTER TURNOUT......WITHOUT IT, YOU LOSE, WITH IT YOU WIN.

 

[tigerred59]

Just a foot note on POLLS, did you know that they poll just a little over 1000 people? We have 300 million in this country...nuf said!!

 

[WillowTree]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

Practice saying, "Madame President!"

Even if she wins I would never say that. Not ever.

 

[Fang]

Voters have the choice between crooked Obama 2.0 in skirt and a Titan.
No chance for Hillary, democrats relax!

Will Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump become the next U.S. president? A political science professor thinks he has the answer.


Dr. Helmut Norpoth of Stony Brook University has developed a statistical formula that he claims has picked the winner of the presidential popular vote going back 100 years, except for the JFK-Nixon matchup in 1960.


He predicts that Donald Trump has an 87-percent probability of winning the election in November.

President Hillary Clinton Or Donald Trump? Professor Picks Winner With 87 Percent Certainty

i hope he didn't get his stats from Dick Morris. The guy was a royal fuck up in 2012.

 

[StLucieBengal]

The polling hasn't been accurate for a while now. It's gonna be a slugfest but in reality if Hillary was a decent candidate she should be farther ahead.

Trump makes a lot of mistakes with his comments at times which holds his surge back. He certainly has the more fever pitched following ....

The more stuff that comes out with Hillary the more people will just finally say .... I can't vote for her... She is too dirty .... And those who had been adverse to trump will finally come around.

 

[konradv]

The polling hasn't been accurate for a while now. It's gonna be a slugfest but in reality if Hillary was a decent candidate she should be farther ahead. Trump makes a lot of mistakes with his comments at times which holds his surge back. He certainly has the more fever pitched following .... The more stuff that comes out with Hillary the more people will just finally say .... I can't vote for her... She is too dirty .... And those who had been adverse to trump will finally come around.

Depends who you're looking at. Silver was 99% accurate in calling states in '08 & '12 combined.