You do not understand probabilities
No, it is you who doesn't understand probabilities. Nor do the YEC bloggers you plagiarize, when they reiterate hoyle's fallacy ad nauseum.
You double that error when you accidentally conflate the madeup "probability" (that isn't) of the existence of humans exactly as they are today with the probability of abiogenesis occuring elsewhere in the universe. It's useless, specious nonsense, and you guys embarrass yourselves with it every time.
I understand probabilities just fine. Took a course at my alma mater. It is you who doesn't understand probabilities and how it is used. Moreover, you are wrong about it being related to YEC bloggers. I just told you that I learned it during college and am using it now. Thus, the probability of finding aliens in the future is practically zero. Now, NASA is looking for evidence of past life, as well. Do we use probabilities in this case?
What about abiogenesis occurring? This is zero because Louis Pasteur showed only life begats life in his famous experiment. The probability is worse than aliens. Thus, you better hope aliens populated this planet.
Finally, the creation scientists got admission from secular ones that "life is rare." Why don't you just admit no aliens and no abiogenesis?
Actually, you don't understand probabilities. You also don't understand that the nonsense you cut and paste from bible ministries makes you an accomplice to fraud.
Here's a lesson in probabilities for you: "Mum gives birth to SIX babies in just nine minutes defying one in 4.7 billion odds". You can find the article by doing your own search. With your belief in a 6,000 year old earth, That's presents you with a real problem. For a 4.7 billion +/- year old earth, evolutionary process and "chance" have real options.
What's funny is that your
alma mater is nothing more than the silly
Watchtower Bible Society. Regarding your false claim in connection with Pasteur, you wrote:
Louis Pasteur showed only life begats life in his famous experiment
Here's where that fraud came from:
Watchtower Bible and Tract Society, 1985.
Life--How Did It Get Here? Brooklyn, NY, p. 38.
What your fraud fails to identify is that the spontaneous generation that Pasteur and others disproved was the idea that life forms such as mice, maggots, and bacteria can appear fully formed. They disproved a form of creationism - how cool is that?. There is no law of biogenesis saying that very primitive life cannot form from increasingly complex molecules.
Take some time to learn the consequences of being an accomplice to fraud.
Pasteur, fermentation, contagion, and proving a negative
Let's address your other fraud, shall we?
You wrote;
Finally, the creation scientists got admission from secular ones that "life is rare".
Religious fundamentalists have no information about life beyond our planet or solar system. Religious fundamentalists are not doing research or publishing in peer reviewed papers. Your nonsense claims are utterly unsupported and lack corroboration.