Ryan's plan calls for those who reach 65 on or after 2022 to receive a tax credit of up to $15,000 to buy health insurance if they want to, from private insurers in an exchange.
According to CBO, "The payment for 65-year-olds in 2022 is specified to be $8,000, on average."
Moreover, come 2022, that 65-year-old is paying about 2.25 times what he would be under traditional Medicare, yet he's in a private plan 1) whose costs are growing more quickly than they would be under traditional Medicare (
"CBO projects that total health care spending for a typical beneficiary covered by the standardized benefit under the proposal would grow faster than such spending for the same beneficiary in traditional Medicare under either of CBO’s longterm scenarios") and 2) is going to offer less care (
"First, private health insurers would probably impose greater utilization management than occurs in Medicare. Second, private plans might restrict enrollees’ ability to purchase supplemental insurance plans; enrollees would thus face higher out-of-pocket costs than they do in Medicare, and that increased cost sharing would encourage lower utilization.")
So, to reiterate, he's paying significantly more for a plan that's offering less care and whose costs are growing more quickly. The reason being that Medicare, the public payer and the defined health benefit associated with it, are eliminated. What a deal.
To be clear, lowering utilization is, in many cases, a worthy goal. But there's a significant difference between lowering utilization by meeting health needs more efficiently and lowering utilization by indiscriminately saying no more.
Plus his plan provides block grants to the states for Medicaid, and lets them tailor their needs to their unique needs.
Can you elaborate on what kind of additional flexibility you'd like to see states have when it comes to using their current federal contribution toward their Medicaid programs?
The Obama plan on the other hand is all about price controls. Many doctors and providers have already said they will not accept new Medicare patients at a time when we have millions of baby boomers who will need more care. Price controls have never worked - never.
Value-based purchasing is not a price control. The President's apparent call the other day for even more expansive and explicit
value-based insurance design is not a price control.
Incentives for accountable care are not price controls. One of the largest
patient safety initiatives in recent memory, aimed at curbing unnecessary expenditures due to preventable errors and hospital-acquired conditions, is not a price control. Financial incentives for Medicare and Medicaid providers who
adopt electronic health records with clinical support tools and quality measurement capabilities are not price controls. Seeding
models of advanced primary care aimed specifically at high-utilization, high-cost beneficiaries is not a price control.
Payment reforms to discourage unnecessary spending are not price controls. Improved care coordination, particularly for
those needing the most complex and expensive care regimes (and thus likely to benefit the most from it) is not a price control.
Transitioning enrollees from institution-based long-term care to community-based care where possible is not a price control. Learning
which treatments are the most effective and using that knowledge is not a price control. A
body dedicated to testing payment and delivery system innovations to determine which ones improve quality an reduce costs, and a
mechanism for using that knowledge are not price controls.
What these have in common is a shift toward what the IOM calls a learning health system, and a health system in which value is emphasized, demanded, and paid for. A higher-value health system is a worthy goal and one of the more humane ways to pursue long-term cost control.
So, neither plan is all that great but at least the Ryan plan will be less costly in the long run.
There's a difference between costs and federal spending. Ryan's plan raises costs but it reduces federal spending (by pushing those costs on to the elderly, the poor, state government, providers, etc).