Plan for Trump and Cruz is obvious. Just like Obama did, (yes, I know, galling but true) they realize the coalition that Obama built was NOT voters on the voter rolls the 2nd election around. What Obama did was target new voters, young voters, any voter that fit their definition of likely voters for Obama. How many of us remember many news outlets reporting that Obama would NOT go after the white middle class vote as he felt his coalition was strong enough that his election did NOT depend on them? Statistics show conclusively that LESS people voted in the election in 12 than did in 08, but that a larger % of newly registered voters came out to the polls. TRANSLATION: Obama could not inject the fervor into voters that already existed in 12 that he had in 08, so he just found new voters that agreed with him, and told them the election was all about them, creating passion in the NEW registered voters. A very good, political, tactical, move, wouldn't you say!
I think you are confused on the numbers for 2012. The fact is, the vote totals were DOWN in states that were not in play, like Texas and California, but they were UP in states that were in play, like Ohio and Florida.
So in terms of the Electoral college, the result was almost identical. Romney took back two states that Obama Marginally won, but he didn't come close anywhere else.
The thing is, I don't see where the "new voters" are out there for you for Cruz. Trump, maybe, because we got a lot of people who can tell you who won
Survivor who can't tell you who their Senators are.
Joe, isn't the 1st part of your post exactly what I said? Maybe I didn't communicate the point well enough. The Obama vote of 12 was down, as was all voting. The Obama team went out and got new voters that thought like them in battleground states. We agree! To suggest Obama's team would concentrate it's efforts in states already in the bag for either side would be poor strategy on their part, and while I am not a fan of Obama or his team, they are extremely adept on how to win an election, that much is certain. Romney and the GOP were totally incompetent, and until election day had absolutely zero clue what was actually happening, or how it was done. Kudos to the DNC, not for it's governance, but for it's excellent tactics in a national race.
Now though, the cat is out of the bag. As they say, "emulating a successful strategy is the sincerest form of flattery!"
As far as no new voters for Cruz, I find that statement coming from you sort of disingenuous. You are approaching the question to yourself from an ideological standpoint. If what you said was accurate, then I would ask you to explain how Obama beat Hillary in the primary? How did Obama beat Mcain in the general?
For the answer to the second question, the answer is clear and many Democrats repeated it often.........it is the economy stupid! (and they stole that phrase, lol.....but I digress) They also pointed constantly to the poll at that time, that proclaimed to anyone who would listen, (and a whole bunch of people did) that a very significant majority of Americans believed the country was going in the wrong direction.
So, how much is really different today? Oh, you can point to a better economy.........maybe...........if things don't continue down the path they are currently on this year, and yet many Americans aren't convinced it is as good as Democrats claim. Still, just for the sake of debate, I will give you that one on your side of the ledger.
On the other side, I/we have----------> A much less likable candidate for you, foreign policy in the tank....at least according to most Americans, (polls, read the polls) illegal immigration that takes American jobs, country going in the wrong direction by significant margins of those asked, the FBI sniffing your standard bearer, perceived gun grab, (real or imagined) the attack was the product of a film, the Clinton Foundation, perceived AFLUENZA by Hillary to be annointed, (in other words, a political dynasty, which is why we can NEVER nominate the Jebster) and a few more I am sure which I won't waste my time to post.
The view of many; if not most Americans is that the establishment class of BOTH party's have gotten us into this mess. What did Trump have to do with that? NOTHING! Cruz? He has stood against the establishment from day 1 in office. Hillary? She was/has been part of the ruling class since senator, and she has a record she must defend to those people.
So again, where is the Cruz vote coming from? We both know where, lol. The only question is............is the coalition I pointed out enough to carry a few extra states after the gift of Florida Obama gave us?
You say no, I say, "I think so." Time will tell, and it is going to be a lot of fun, don't you think!