My bank just needs to transfer $200k it created to BoAMerrill's bank which now has another $200k in reserves.
And here's where you really go wrong.
Your creation of $200,000 in "bookkeeping money" on your books doesn't create any reserves at the Fed.
You can't transfer "thin air money" to B of A.
Banks don't "present checks to the Fed".
The Reserve Banks and Electronic Payments Network (EPN) are the two national ACH operators. As an ACH operator, the Reserve Banks receive files of ACH payments from originating depository financial institutions, edit and sort the payments, deliver the payments to receiving depository financial institutions, and settle the payments by crediting and debiting the depository financial institutions' settlement accounts.
The Fed - Automated Clearinghouse Services
So then loans aren't deposits?
So then loans aren't deposits?
Who said that? Where?
Did your $200,000 loan to me create a balance at the Fed, or only on your books?
As with so many questions in economics, the answer to this question depends on disambiguating the question, clearly distinguishing parts from wholes, and avoiding fallacies of composition and division.
I'm somewhat guilty of that in this debate because we're moving between the actions of a single bank and the banking system as a whole. I get to far in the weeds and I realize my mistake, that the parts cannot be separated from the whole and paint an accurate picture of what's happening, at least the way that you are asking it. And kudo's to you. You've asked the right questions in light of the explanation I was giving and you've helped me see my mistake.
The underlying premise of your argument (and please restate it if I get it wrong) is that savings deposits are lent and therefore an increase in savings reduces the cost of lending which in turn creates the incentive to borrow. Which in turn creates a sort of self-regulating system.
I disagree. An increase in savings, in itself, has
no effect on the cost of borrowing, though, separately, the conditions that created the incentives to save might affect the cost of borrowing via changes made by the Fed based on certain policy decisions and I believe that is indeed the case, which is why, intuitively, it's easy to be convinced that this is the case.
Now I said that banks do not lend reserves. I'd like to amend that statement slightly in light of the conversation we've had keeping in mind that the parts are not representative of the whole while also remembering the point of the debate which is the effect of savings on the cost of lending.
An
individual bank certainly can lend out its reserves. The
total reserves of a Fed member bank consist of the balance in the bank’s reserve account at the Fed
plus the sum of its vault cash. When a bank customer borrows money from a bank, that borrower
may ask for all or part of the loaned
amount in cash. If that happens, the bank will remove some cash from its vault and give it to the borrower. Suppose the amount borrowed is $10,000 and it is all taken in cash.
Then the bank books a new loan asset worth $10,000, and concurrently books a $10,000 reduction in its cash assets. The net balance sheet effect is zero. (There are different ways in which the interest on the loan can be handled in the accounting, and so I’m leaving that out.)
But in most cases, the borrower will take the borrowed funds on account. The bank will credit the borrower’s account with $10,000, which in turn represents a liability of the bank.
Again, the bank will book a $10,000 loan asset, and so the total balance sheet effect will be zero. In the first case, the balance sheet effect was zero because a reduction in cash assets was offset by an increase in loan assets. In this second case, the balance sheet effect is zero because the increase in the bank’s loan assets is offset by a corresponding increase in the bank’s liabilities.
But even if the borrower takes the loan in the form of the deposit balance, as soon as the borrower begins spending the money in the account, some of the bank reserves will likely leave the bank. It is
possible that they would not leave the bank if the borrower’s spending all goes to depositors at the same bank. In that case, the result of the settlement and clearing of the payments will just be a reduction in the bank’s liability to the borrower and an increase in its liabilities to the payees. But in most cases, many of the people the borrower pays will be depositors at other banks. The settlement of these payments will thus require a settlement between the two banks, resulting in a Fedwire transfer of reserve funds from the borrower’s bank to the payee’s bank.
Consider the first case, where the borrower has taken the loaned amount in cash. As the borrower proceeds to spend the $10,000 in cash that was removed from the first bank’s vault at the time of the loan, the businesses who receive these cash payments will make routine deposits of their cash receipts at their own banks, at which point it goes back into the cash vaults in the banking system. Similarly, if the borrower’s funds are in the form of a deposit account balance, then as the borrower makes payments by check, debit card or another instrument against that account, the clearing of the payments will result in reserve transfers from the borrower’s bank to the reserve accounts of other banks.
The end result is that an aggregate increase in commercial bank lending is unlikely to diminish in any appreciable way the total quantity of bank reserves; it just changes the pace at which those reserves circulate from bank to bank.
So yes, individual banks can (technically) lend their reserves. But the more important question is what happens to the reserves
of the banking system as a whole in response to expanded bank lending. And in this case,
the answer to the question is that those reserves will not appreciably change.
This invalidates your argument that the quantity of loanable funds can increase and decrease based on the supply of deposits. Or have I misstated your argument?
Should you ask me to validate the $200k loan scenario, I'll simply point out that the example is not representative of the whole and the point that started this debate. Again, thank you for helping me uncover my mistake. This is why I have these conversations.