Neubarth
At the Ballpark July 30th
As you can see business inventories are plunging.
Durable good orders took a fall off the side of the table, and now look to be regrouping. I see a potential green shoot here, BUT the collapse was so sudden as opposed to previous moves down, that there were almost no upward jags on the way down (Just little itti bitti blips). In all other cases in previous years, the moves down had upward jags along the way, and the moves up had downward jags along the way. The collapse we have seen was very very frightening.
Orders may have stopped going down, and jagged up a little bit, but actual production is still FALLING!