auditor0007
Gold Member
With all of our current economic woes, it is understandable how everyone has tunnel vision as to how to fix things now. However, we have longer term problems that few people even realize.
Captialism, which I am all for, is based on profit and a growing economy. Throughout history, the economy has grown steadily, helping to create new jobs and new wealth for many people. If we look at the actual rate of growth, for the most part, there is a direct correlation to the growth of our population.
Keeping that in mind, we must realize two things. First, we know that the growth rate in population is slowing worldwide. Some countries are already beginning to show decreasing populations. Here in the US, our population is expected to grow to around 440 million by 2050, mostly due to immigration. Our current birthrate is only high enough to sustain our current population.
Here is my point. At some point, population growth will stop. It has to at some point. This planet cannot support a continually growing population. We don't have the natural resources to do so. Most models predict that we will top out around 9 billion worldwide, and then the population will begin to decrease.
We have to assume this will eventually happen. So, once it does, how do we continue to grow the economy without an increasing population? Capitalism feeds off of the fact that the pie continually grows bigger, but that is actually based on the population growing bigger. Change course to a declining population or a set population, how do we then grow the economy?
When we reach this point, the pie will no longer be growing. Will we then change our economic views to those of trying to provide everyone a decent way of life, or will the wealthy then try to control the entire pie? If the choice is to try to control the entire pie, can you see where this will lead?
I don't have any answers here, but I'm curious to hear what others think. This isn't likely to hit us during our lifetime, but it will most likely hit our children or grandchildren. What do you think will happen?
Captialism, which I am all for, is based on profit and a growing economy. Throughout history, the economy has grown steadily, helping to create new jobs and new wealth for many people. If we look at the actual rate of growth, for the most part, there is a direct correlation to the growth of our population.
Keeping that in mind, we must realize two things. First, we know that the growth rate in population is slowing worldwide. Some countries are already beginning to show decreasing populations. Here in the US, our population is expected to grow to around 440 million by 2050, mostly due to immigration. Our current birthrate is only high enough to sustain our current population.
Here is my point. At some point, population growth will stop. It has to at some point. This planet cannot support a continually growing population. We don't have the natural resources to do so. Most models predict that we will top out around 9 billion worldwide, and then the population will begin to decrease.
We have to assume this will eventually happen. So, once it does, how do we continue to grow the economy without an increasing population? Capitalism feeds off of the fact that the pie continually grows bigger, but that is actually based on the population growing bigger. Change course to a declining population or a set population, how do we then grow the economy?
When we reach this point, the pie will no longer be growing. Will we then change our economic views to those of trying to provide everyone a decent way of life, or will the wealthy then try to control the entire pie? If the choice is to try to control the entire pie, can you see where this will lead?
I don't have any answers here, but I'm curious to hear what others think. This isn't likely to hit us during our lifetime, but it will most likely hit our children or grandchildren. What do you think will happen?