airplanemechanic
Diamond Member
- Nov 8, 2014
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Haley has to get within 5% of beating Trump in NH in order to even have the slightest chance of having donors interest in her. If she doesn't get a boost out of NH and either have a same good showing or flat out beat Trump in her home state of South Carolina, she's done. Trump is going to lose the general regardless of if he actually has a conviction handed down on one of the counts. The appeals process will play out for years so none of this prevents him from running. But he will lose. The electoral math issue Trump ran into in 2020 has not changed. He has made no inroads into increasing his popularity among independents in the swing states that worked against him. Nominating Haley does not guarantee a landslide...but it does immediately give the Republicans a candidate that can stand against Biden on the issues minus all the drama and baggage that Trump brings. And that, would give the Republicans a good chance of beating Biden in November.
Sadly, that isn't going to happen. Trump is the nominee. Republicans will have to ride and die with him.
Trumps support among independents is at its highest in history:

Donald Trump surges ahead of Joe Biden among Independents
A new poll found that more independent voters—who could ultimately swing the election in 2024—were supporting the former president.

Trump support at his highest and continues to rise:

CBS News poll finds Trump's national lead grows as GOP nominating contests kick off
Some of Trump's controversial statements resonate with many GOP and MAGA voters.

Your post is well written gibberish. But it's still gibberish.