When Thomas Matthew Crooks shot at Trump last July and inadvertently killed Corey Comperatore, I knew in that moment that Trump would get reelected. In nearly a dozen conversations I had that day, we all knew it. We still fought against it, but that was a clear and distinct moment when most of us knew it.
On the same token, if the Trump administration arrests Governor Newsom over the LA issue and immigration, assuming we still have elections, I will venture to say that Newsom will be the next President of the United States.