Arizona going to Biden? (Bad news for Trump in latest polls)

[Arresmillao]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

pussygrabber is done...

 

[AntonToo]

Just like in 2016, trump is going to lose at least 45 states, according to early polls.

I'm gong to wait til the end of the first week in November for the polls.

They have more of a chance to be correct.

We will get a better view come November.

But most presidential polls over the last 50 years have been very accurate. They blew it in 2016.

Can Trump count on polls always being wrong?

I could be wrong, often am. Polls were closer near elrction, but showed the hill winning (did not vote for her, could not) and she actually won the popular vote, but lost huge in electoral college. Are the states too gerrymandered and with polling controlled to curtail democratic voting blocks in key areas, to win with anything less than a landslide popular vote across the board?

Clinton lost by a hair.

Between PA, MI and WI she lost by just 75k votes or about 0.5%.

Winner takes all in EC points, so that sometimes misleads just how close it was.

 

[White 6]

Just like in 2016, trump is going to lose at least 45 states, according to early polls.

I'm gong to wait til the end of the first week in November for the polls.

They have more of a chance to be correct.

We will get a better view come November.

But most presidential polls over the last 50 years have been very accurate. They blew it in 2016.

Can Trump count on polls always being wrong?

I could be wrong, often am. Polls were closer near elrction, but showed the hill winning (did not vote for her, could not) and she actually won the popular vote, but lost huge in electoral college. Are the states too gerrymandered and with polling controlled to curtail democratic voting blocks in key areas, to win with anything less than a landslide popular vote across the board?

Hillary showed that Dems have to get 3 percent or higher in the popular vote to win.

During the 2018 midterm, Dems got 9 million more votes than Republicans. Hilary only got 3 million

3 Percent does not sound like much, but definitely not possible in my state, a lot of it, racial in nature although most get along on the surface.

 

[toobfreak]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

Trumpoholics are not conservatives. Conservatives oppose Trump. USMB is a mostly Trumper/Tea Party site.

So what you're saying is that the Tea Party created to get the country back to its conservative founding principles are not real conservatives.

There is very little conservatism in the trump republican party.

Oh really. And you would know HOW?

 

[toobfreak]

Trump will lose in November. He will then claim voter fraud setting up just another manufactured Trump Constitutional crisis. His brainwashed supporters will agree with him. Trump will never concede. Biden will still be inaugurated as President.

When was the FIRST Trump consitutional crisis, Slaw?

The first one was his actions leading up to his impeachment trial, Boob, the second now his threatening to adjourn Congress
Here is a link that even an idiot like yourself can understand.

That was no constitutional crisis, fool. The only crisis was the House's attempt to claim Trump a Russian spy with fake documents they made up, then to try to impeach a president for daring to follow law and not serving at THEIR pleasure instead, and now for ignoring the virus and telling everyone not to worry about it!

What are you talking about????? I don't want to derail the thread, but who exactly are you referring to who are telling us to ignore the virus and telling us not to worry about it?

Do you just play stupid or are you a card-carrying member? There has been talk of this for weeks, how Nancy went around months ago in SF telling everyone the virus was nothing. Now there is this thread where she it now trying to cover that up!

Pelosi Deletes Photo Of Herself In Chinatown on 24 Feb Downplaying COVID-19 - But the Internet is FOREVER

Nervous Nancy Deletes Video of Herself in Chinatown on February 24 Downplaying Coronavirus – But the Internet is Forever! Pelosi walked around Chinatown in San Francisco on February 24 after Coronavirus cases had already been confirmed in the US, prompting Trump to restrict flights from...

www.usmessageboard.com

 

[rightwinger]

Critical states in 2020

Florida- Leans Trump
Pennsylvania- Biden lead
Michigan- Biden lead
Wisconsin- Leans Biden
Arizona- Leans Trump

Trump can’t lose Florida or lose four combined and still win

 

[AntonToo]

Critical states in 2020

Florida- Leans Trump
Pennsylvania- Biden lead
Michigan- Biden lead
Wisconsin- Leans Biden
Arizona- Leans Trump

Trump can’t lose Florida or lose four combined and still win

I do think that the intensity in this campaign will be against Trump and that translates into turn out for Biden that polls would be expected to under-represent.

 

[rightwinger]

Critical states in 2020

Florida- Leans Trump
Pennsylvania- Biden lead
Michigan- Biden lead
Wisconsin- Leans Biden
Arizona- Leans Trump

Trump can’t lose Florida or lose four combined and still win

I do think that the intensity in this campaign will be against Trump and that translates into turn out for Biden thats polls would be expected to under-represent.

The 800 lb gorilla will be the economic and social impact of the virus. By November we are looking at massive unemployment, a Stock Market in the dumps, an economy in deep recession

Trump will have to sell not only that none of it is his fault but that he is the only one who can save us

 

[White 6]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

Trumpoholics are not conservatives. Conservatives oppose Trump. USMB is a mostly Trumper/Tea Party site.

So what you're saying is that the Tea Party created to get the country back to its conservative founding principles are not real conservatives.

There is very little conservatism in the trump republican party.

Oh really. And you would know HOW?

Well, they are definitely not fiscal conservatives. May have led the beginnings of ecologic and anti polution movement, but not conservative on that issue any more. Not conservative on viewpoint toward the Russian bear. They are willing to adopt radical change and accept/promote to achieve goals. They used to constitutional conservatives. Hard to tell if those constitutional conservatives are alive or had children that lived, if the views expressed on this board are an indication. There is nothing conservative about absolute hate for people in your own country that do not share every single viewpoint.

 

[toobfreak]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

Trumpoholics are not conservatives. Conservatives oppose Trump. USMB is a mostly Trumper/Tea Party site.

So what you're saying is that the Tea Party created to get the country back to its conservative founding principles are not real conservatives.

There is very little conservatism in the trump republican party.

Oh really. And you would know HOW?

Well, they are definitely not fiscal conservatives. May have led the beginnings of ecologic and anti polution movement, but not conservative on that issue any more. Not conservative on viewpoint toward the Russian bear. They are willing to adopt radical change and accept/promote to achieve goals. They used to constitutional conservatives. Hard to tell if those constitutional conservatives are alive or had children that lived, if the views expressed on this board are an indication. There is nothing conservative about absolute hate for people in your own country that do not share every single viewpoint.

Who can be fiscally conservative right now? Impossible. Too much to solve. It would be political suicide. The cart has gone off the cliff.

 

[AntonToo]

Critical states in 2020

Florida- Leans Trump
Pennsylvania- Biden lead
Michigan- Biden lead
Wisconsin- Leans Biden
Arizona- Leans Trump

Trump can’t lose Florida or lose four combined and still win

I do think that the intensity in this campaign will be against Trump and that translates into turn out for Biden thats polls would be expected to under-represent.

The 800 lb gorilla will be the economic and social impact of the virus. By November we are looking at massive unemployment, a Stock Market in the dumps, an economy in deep recession

Trump will have to sell not only that none of it is his fault but that he is the only one who can save us

Thats just another argument that the polls right now are probably too generous to Trump.

It's tough to see situation getting better for Trump from now to election day, aside from him being able to turn up the negatives on Biden very substantially.

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

After Michigan got a taste of their Democrat governor, how likely are they to vote for Biden?

If you're interested, I have a bridge to sell you.

 

[rightwinger]

Critical states in 2020

Florida- Leans Trump
Pennsylvania- Biden lead
Michigan- Biden lead
Wisconsin- Leans Biden
Arizona- Leans Trump

Trump can’t lose Florida or lose four combined and still win

I do think that the intensity in this campaign will be against Trump and that translates into turn out for Biden thats polls would be expected to under-represent.

The 800 lb gorilla will be the economic and social impact of the virus. By November we are looking at massive unemployment, a Stock Market in the dumps, an economy in deep recession

Trump will have to sell not only that none of it is his fault but that he is the only one who can save us

Thats just another sign that the polls right now are probably too generous to Trump.

t's tough to see upside for Trump from now to election day, aside from him being able to turn up the negatives on Biden very substantially.

Any polls today are relatively meaningless
They are based on an outdated political reality.

People are looking to Trump in a time of crisis just like we looked to Bush after 9-11.

The country rallied around Bush after 9-11 and trusted him to put aside politics and protect the country.

Problem with Trump is that people don’t trust him. His constant misinformation about the virus and petty feuding does not generate much faith.

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

Trump is also losing Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania is Biden country

pennsylvania has joined up with NY, NJ, CT, RI, MA, DE & MD to form a coalition against donny's incompetancy.

Those states got together to tow whatever line Nancy and Cuomo tell them to tow. This situation is now official 100% politics from here on.

"Toe", not "tow"

 

[rightwinger]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

After Michigan got a taste of their Democrat governor, how likely are they to vote for Biden?

If you're interested, I have a bridge to sell you.

Michigan is leaning strongly towards Biden. Their Governor is making tough decisions

 

[BrokeLoser]

The latest polls in Arizona have Joe Biden beating Donald Trump. This hasn't been reported here because well, it's a conservative message board, but now you're being made aware of it.
With Michigan slipping out of Trump's hand, Arizona would be a devastating loss for Cadet Bone Spurs.

How?
Are wetbacks with illegal roots keeping the party of free shit, filth and foreigners relevant in American politics?
“BUT, BUT, BUT.....RUSSIA!”

 

[The Breeze]

the senate needs to flip as well. i live in CT, but have been donating to a few senate races; i'm giving to susan collins' opponent in maine (sara gideon) , ms lindsey's opponent (jaime harris) in s. carolina, moscow mitch's opponent (amy mcgrath) in KY, & the bitch who took over john mccain's seat in AZ opponent (mark kelly, husband of gabby gifford)

Kelly expands lead over McSally in Arizona
By Reid Wilson - 04/15/20 06:00 AM EDT

Retired astronaut Mark Kelly leads Sen. Martha McSally (R) by 9 points in Arizona, one of the states at the heart of the battle for control of the Senate in 2020.
A new Arizona Public Opinion Pulse survey conducted by the Phoenix-based nonpartisan polling firm OH Predictive Insights shows Kelly leading McSally by a 51 percent to 42 percent margin.
The company's last survey found Kelly leading by a 7-point margin, 49 percent to 42 percent.
Kelly, a first-time candidate and the husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D-Ariz.), leads McSally by 10 points in Maricopa County, which accounts for the vast majority of Arizona's vote. Only one candidate in recent history, former Superintendent of Public Instruction Diane Douglas (R) in 2015, has won statewide election in Arizona without carrying Maricopa County.
Kelly expands lead over McSally in Arizona

 

[BrokeLoser]

 

[Admiral Rockwell Tory]

Just like in 2016, trump is going to lose at least 45 states, according to early polls.

I'm gong to wait til the end of the first week in November for the polls.

They have more of a chance to be correct.

We will get a better view come November.

But most presidential polls over the last 50 years have been very accurate. They blew it in 2016.

Can Trump count on polls always being wrong?

I could be wrong, often am. Polls were closer near elrction, but showed the hill winning (did not vote for her, could not) and she actually won the popular vote, but lost huge in electoral college. Are the states too gerrymandered and with polling controlled to curtail democratic voting blocks in key areas, to win with anything less than a landslide popular vote across the board?

How do you gerrymander a presidential race? Please explain.

 

[White 6]

Just like in 2016, trump is going to lose at least 45 states, according to early polls.

I'm gong to wait til the end of the first week in November for the polls.

They have more of a chance to be correct.

We will get a better view come November.

But most presidential polls over the last 50 years have been very accurate. They blew it in 2016.

Can Trump count on polls always being wrong?

I could be wrong, often am. Polls were closer near elrction, but showed the hill winning (did not vote for her, could not) and she actually won the popular vote, but lost huge in electoral college. Are the states too gerrymandered and with polling controlled to curtail democratic voting blocks in key areas, to win with anything less than a landslide popular vote across the board?

How do you gerrymander a presidential race? Please explain.

By gerrymandering districts within states. The courts recognize the danger whether you do or not.