And Now for Something Actually Important: Trump says he’s considering a 10% tariff on China beginning as soon as Feb. 1

Zincwarrior

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Alrighty, lets discuss something of actual economic and political import: TARIFFS!!!
  • On Tuesday evening, President Donald Trump said his team was talking about a 10% tariff on China.
  • He said the duty could take effect as early as Feb. 1.
  • During his campaign for president in 2024, Trump called for levies upward of 60% on China.
  • Separately he re-iterated initial 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Canada has already says it will retaliate and is drawing up countertariffs.

President Donald Trump said that his team was discussing a 10% tariff on China and that the duty could take effect as early as Feb. 1.
“We’re talking about a tariff of 10% on China based on the fact that they’re sending fentanyl to Mexico and Canada,” the president said, speaking to reporters at the White House on Tuesday evening.

“Probably Feb. 1 is the date we’re looking at,” he added.
Fentanyl, a synthetic opioid, is an addictive drug that’s led to tens of thousands of overdose deaths each year in the U.S. Reducing illicit supplies of the drug, precursors of which are mostly produced in China and Mexico, has become an area in which Washington and Beijing have agreed to cooperate.
Trump said Friday that he spoke with Chinese President Xi Jinping over the phone about fentanyl and trade. The Chinese side’s readout said Xi called for cooperation and cast the two countries’ economic ties as mutually beneficial.

60% tariffs on China would be a ‘black swan’ event: FX strategist

There are “no winners” in a trade war, China’s Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang, told the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, on Tuesday, according to an official translation. He called for international efforts to support “economic globalization” and “distribute it better.”
The offshore Chinese yuan initially strengthened, before weakening to trade at 7.2796 against the greenback.

Major Chinese state-run and financial media did not mention the proposed China tariffs, while highlighting other Trump headlines such as his warning of duties on the European Union.
The U.S. is China’s largest trading partner on a single-country basis. China’s imports from the U.S. fell 0.1% in dollar terms last year, while exports grew 4.9%, according to official data accessed through Wind Information.
The data showed China’s trade surplus with the U.S. in 2024 was $361 million, higher than the $316.9 million reported for 2020, the last full year of Trump’s first term. Back then, the White House had raised tariffs on Chinese goods in an attempt to increase the country’s imports of U.S. goods, and address longstanding concerns of U.S. businesses in China. Beijing had reciprocated with duties of its own.
“If the US imposed an additional 10 percent tariff on China and China responded in kind, US GDP would be $55 billion less over the four years of the second Trump administration, and $128 billion less in China,” the U.S.-based Peterson Institute for International Economics said in a Jan. 17 report.

Planned tariffs on U.S. neighbors​

Trump also noted on Tuesday that his team was talking about a tariff of “approximately 25%” on Mexico and Canada.
 
Alrighty, lets discuss something of actual economic and political import: TARIFFS!!!
  • On Tuesday evening, President Donald Trump said his team was talking about a 10% tariff on China.
  • He said the duty could take effect as early as Feb. 1.
  • During his campaign for president in 2024, Trump called for levies upward of 60% on China.
  • Separately he re-iterated initial 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Canada has already says it will retaliate and is drawing up countertariffs.

The tariff game is going to be real. Good chance of there being some adjustment pains with that.
 
Trump gives them more than a week to come up with a reason that he should not put this into effect.

My guess is that they will make offers, but they will either be very minor changes, unenforceable, or likely both. So the tariffs will go into effect, China will be forced to cut absorb the cost of the tariffs since South Korea and Taiwan are waiting for a chance to undercut them if they raise prices to make up for them.

I doubt they will comply with Trump's demands, so the U.S. treasury will get a boost and China will buy less U.S. Treasury bonds.
 
Alrighty, lets discuss something of actual economic and political import: TARIFFS!!!
  • On Tuesday evening, President Donald Trump said his team was talking about a 10% tariff on China.
  • He said the duty could take effect as early as Feb. 1.
  • During his campaign for president in 2024, Trump called for levies upward of 60% on China.
  • Separately he re-iterated initial 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico. Canada has already says it will retaliate and is drawing up countertariffs.

Yep. Let the tariff inflation begin. It is unlikely American manufacturers are going to leave marginal profits on the table, without passing along to consumers.
 
Or more likely it will become cheaper to make things at home. Dumbass.
I imagine first they wouild look to other cheap countries. But setting up a plant and logistics takes years.
Typically Asian countries pair this with a double declining depreciation credit for investment in their country. If we don't do similar, we really don't care about domestic production.
 
I imagine first they wouild look to other cheap countries. But setting up a plant and logistics takes years.
Typically Asian countries pair this with a double declining depreciation credit for investment in their country. If we don't do similar, we really don't care about domestic production.

It takes years when the government interferes and extorts. Ask anyone trying to rebuild their home after the fires in California. The state won't even let them clear the lot until every bit of debris is inspected by a "hazardous materials committee".
 
I imagine first they wouild look to other cheap countries. But setting up a plant and logistics takes years.
Typically Asian countries pair this with a double declining depreciation credit for investment in their country. If we don't do similar, we really don't care about domestic production.
Plants can be built in a month if you have the desire.
 
Just remember american workers aren't going to produce the same exact product for anything close to overseas labor. $10 per hour overseas is going to be $20 per hour here. As it should be.
 
Just remember american workers aren't going to produce the same exact product for anything close to overseas labor. $10 per hour overseas is going to be $20 per hour here. As it should be.
Correct. Which raises ALL wages across the board.
 
If you recall; All of everything that we use in America today was manufactured in China in the last few decades.

Someone has an upper hand, that was given to them by our own beloved American companies.
 

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