After Trump Takes Lead in 6 of 7 Battleground States, He Finally Flips Last Holdout

[para bellum]

There may actually be more than 7.
Anticipate that President Trump may take 1 or 2 from The Big Blue Wall.

The 7 States in play are:

Michigan (15)
Wisconsin (10)
Nevada (6)
Pennsylvania (19)
Georgia (16)
Arizona (11)
North Carolina (16)

Trump has 219 EV's in the can and Harris has 215. Trump needs 51 EV's and Harris needs 55.

 

[Billiejeens]

The 7 States in play are:

Michigan (15)
Wisconsin (10)
Nevada (6)
Pennsylvania (19)
Georgia (16)
Arizona (11)
North Carolina (16)

Trump has 219 EV's in the can and Harris has 215. Trump needs 51 EV's and Harris needs 55.

Same response

 

[para bellum]

Same response

Wisconsin and Michigan are blue wall states. They are the only ones in play.

If Trump takes PA, GA, and NC, he still wins even if Harris takes the other 4.

The election will be decided in those 7 states. There aren't any more blue wall States in play that bring the number above 7...

 

[Independent thinker]

Post a link to the polls you are referring to.

I am looking at 538 and RCP and they do not show what you say.

The only polls that matter are the 7 swing states, the rest are in the can for one candidate or the other. Harris needs to win at least 4 of the 7 to get to 270.

RCP posts averages. I said the most recent polls, not averaged with older polls. I looked at 270 to win and I try to go with the numbers where you scroll down to polls showing all candidates, not just Trump/Harris, unless those polls are older polls and then I just take the Trump/Harris polls. They must have just added some newer polls that I hadn't seen before so Trump is doing better than what I had posted.

Arizona has Trump ahead 49-46 as of 10/21 Arizona 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Nevada has Trump ahead 49-47 as of 10/21 Nevada 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Wisconsin has Harris ahead 47-46 as of 10/21 Wisconsin 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Michigan is a tie at 47-47 as of 10/21 Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Pennsylvania is a tie at 48-48 as of 10/21 Pennsylvania 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Georgia has Trump ahead 48-47 as of 10/21 Georgia 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

North Carolina has Trump ahead 48-45 as of 10/21 North Carolina 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Ignoring the ties of Michigan and Pennsylvania, Trump leads Harris 262-242. So when I said Harris had the EC votes to win now, that has changed since I posted.

 

[para bellum]

RCP posts averages. I said the most recent polls, not averaged with older polls. I looked at 270 to win and I try to go with the numbers where you scroll down to polls showing all candidates, not just Trump/Harris, unless those polls are older polls and then I just take the Trump/Harris polls. They must have just added some newer polls that I hadn't seen before so Trump is doing better than what I had posted.

The RCP averages and the 538 averages are the latest polls, they are not averaged with older polls.

You can scroll down (or click on the header) and see the individual polls that make up the average.

Arizona has Trump ahead 49-46 as of 10/21 Arizona 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Nevada has Trump ahead 49-47 as of 10/21 Nevada 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Wisconsin has Harris ahead 47-46 as of 10/21 Wisconsin 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Michigan is a tie at 47-47 as of 10/21 Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Pennsylvania is a tie at 48-48 as of 10/21 Pennsylvania 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Georgia has Trump ahead 48-47 as of 10/21 Georgia 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

North Carolina has Trump ahead 48-45 as of 10/21 North Carolina 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Ignoring the ties of Michigan and Pennsylvania, Trump leads Harris 262-242. So when I said Harris had the EC votes to win now, that has changed since I posted.

So in an hour or two they changed? Harris lost 28 or more EV's in that span?

Like I said, you really have to cherry-pick your polls to put Harris over 270...

 

[Independent thinker]

The RCP averages and the 538 averages are the latest polls, they are not averaged with older polls.

You can scroll down (or click on the header) and see the individual polls that make up the average.

So in an hour or two they changed? Harris lost 28 or more EV's in that span?

Like I said, you really have to cherry-pick your polls to put Harris over 270...

Several of those 10/21 polls hadn't shown up earlier.

 

[Rogue AI]

Nothing has been "flipped".

The pollsters have to start reporting numbers that are at least marginally real now, to vainly try to clutch onto what few precious shreds of credibility they have left.

We might even see something close to the truth next week. The media will likely leave PA, GA, and one other close enough to get people to watch their coverage.

 

[para bellum]

Several of those 10/21 polls hadn't shown up earlier.

The pages you linked are also averages, and use the same approximate timeframe as 538 and RCP- that is to say the latest polls from whatever week it happens to be.

 

[Oddball]

RCP posts averages. I said the most recent polls, not averaged with older polls. I looked at 270 to win and I try to go with the numbers where you scroll down to polls showing all candidates, not just Trump/Harris, unless those polls are older polls and then I just take the Trump/Harris polls. They must have just added some newer polls that I hadn't seen before so Trump is doing better than what I had posted.

Arizona has Trump ahead 49-46 as of 10/21 Arizona 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Nevada has Trump ahead 49-47 as of 10/21 Nevada 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Wisconsin has Harris ahead 47-46 as of 10/21 Wisconsin 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Michigan is a tie at 47-47 as of 10/21 Michigan 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Pennsylvania is a tie at 48-48 as of 10/21 Pennsylvania 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Georgia has Trump ahead 48-47 as of 10/21 Georgia 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

North Carolina has Trump ahead 48-45 as of 10/21 North Carolina 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin

Ignoring the ties of Michigan and Pennsylvania, Trump leads Harris 262-242. So when I said Harris had the EC votes to win now, that has changed since I posted.

Those numbers have to be excluding the other candidates...There's no way that the rest of them are splitting up 3% 4%....The LP candidate alone can draw that.

 

[Freedomisneverfree]

Kamala whore is a JOKE! Get rid of this abomination!

 

[Crepitus]

It's (Trump) going to happen.

But the military can create a satisfactory conclusion to the nightmare. I can see the potential for 'exile' to be considered.

What a remarkably anti American thing to say.

And you guys wonder why we don't like you...

 

[para bellum]

Several of those 10/21 polls hadn't shown up earlier.

There is one thing on RCP's electoral map that I think is wrong, that is they are calling MN a toss-up state and I think Harris has MN.

So her EV's in the can are probably really 225, not 215 which means she has a path to 270 with as few as 3 of the swing states.

 

[Edgetho]

So much for Pennsyltucky. Stoolers Fans will be disappointed and likely vote for Cotton-Eyed Joe

 

[beautress]

Back, for the first time.

To MacDonald's?
Oh, noes. I ate at MacDonald's this morning, and I'd like it to stay their own way. Their people who cook for the nation deserve better leadership whose by word has always been something like "We do it all for you."

 

[luiza]

What a remarkably anti American thing to say.

And you guys wonder why we don't like you...

People need protection against Extremist Mutants like you , particularly as your DNA has been damaged and changed forever as a result of your suicide attempts with the Killer Jabs .
People who play around with untested and unsafe poison treatments need close supervision at all times .

 

[Crepitus]

People need protection against Extremist Mutants like you , particularly as your DNA has been damaged and changed forever as a result of your suicide attempts with the Killer Jabs .
People who play around with untested and unsafe poison treatments need close supervision at all times .

Wow, you drank all the Kool-Aid, didn't you.

 

[Billiejeens]

People need protection against Extremist Mutants like you , particularly as your DNA has been damaged and changed forever as a result of your suicide attempts with the Killer Jabs .
People who play around with untested and unsafe poison treatments need close supervision at all times .

That one was damaged goods before that

 

[beautress]

It should have been seen before now that Americans in the majority are ready for Trump.

But after all is said and done, will the military allow him to rule?

I can see all the indications of a 'military junta' being in the cards. Guantanamo can become his new home.

The risk of Trump interfering in the war against Russia is not tolerable!

I can see you are concerned about the welfare of Americans, but for some reason, what the majority of what most Americans vote for usually shows the genius of America's prosperous freedom, and right now, the majority of us love the Donald because he listens to the people then acts on their preferences.

 

[Billiejeens]

To MacDonald's?
Oh, noes. I ate at MacDonald's this morning, and I'd like it to stay their own way. Their people who cook for the nation deserve better leadership whose by word has always been something like "We do it all for you."

I know what all of those words mean,
But not in that order

 

[Mr. Friscus]

Ok, so let's take a closer look.

The 7 Current Battleground States are:

1) PA
2) WI
3) NV
4) AZ
5) MI
6) NC
7) GA

PA is the Key, unless all other 6 go ONE WAY, then PA will determine the results.
So, look soon for trump and team cult to start crying about Election Fraud in PA.
Book it. It is certain. It will start before Nov 5th.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/interactive/2024/2024-swing-states-trump-harris/

How about they just stop doing shady things.. and whoever gets the most votes with full transparency and established laws wins