A week El nino has formed!!!!

[ScienceRocks]

A weak El nino has formed!!!!

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

The most recent ONI value(December 2014–February2015) is 0.6oC.


Now lets see 2015 kick some ass!

 

[TheOldSchool]

 

[bodecea]

A 7 day El Nino has formed!!!!

 

[ScienceRocks]

A 7 day El Nino has formed!!!!

How do I fix it to say weak? Or can a moderator fix it.

 

[TheOldSchool]

Oh NO not El Nino!!!!!

 

[william the wie]

lurking

 

[skookerasbil]

A 7 day El Nino has formed!!!!

How do I fix it to say weak? Or can a moderator fix it.

Still waiting for that graph over on the other thread s0n...........so wtf? When is it gonna be up there........because is making you look pretty damn stoopid?

 

[Billy_Bob]

EL.... NADA!

 

[waltky]

Granny wonderin' if dat's why the wind been blowin' so hard around here?...

WMO: Current El Nino One of Strongest on Record
November 16, 2015 — The World Meteorological Organization says it expects the current El Nino to be one of the three strongest ever recorded since 1950. The WMO reports the weather phenomenon is continuing to mature and is likely to strengthen further in the next few months.

El Nino results from the complex interaction between the Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere. El Nino years normally are significantly warmer than non El-Nino years, a premise supported by the first 10 months of this year, which were the warmest on record. Despite this significant warming trend, WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud says no link yet has been established between El Nino and climate change. “We are in uncharted territory because some of the impact are interacting with the impact of climate change; but, there is a lot of research going on…But, right at this stage, we cannot say yet whether climate change will mean more frequent or more intense El Ninos,” said Jarraud.

These false-color images provided by NASA satellites compare warm Pacific Ocean water temperatures from the strong El Nino that brought North America large amounts of rainfall in 1997, left, and the current El Nino​

Models suggest the peak three-month average surface water temperatures in the east-central tropical Pacific Ocean will exceed 2 degrees Celsius above average. This would place this El Nino event among the three strongest previous events since 1950. Jarraud says no two El Ninos are identical, although the exposure of coral reefs to ocean conditions can cause bleaching. He says this can already be seen in the United States and is expected to hit Australia's Great Barrier Reef in early 2016. He says El Nino also causes extreme weather events, including an increase in tropical cyclones in the Pacific and the opposite effect in the Atlantic, where fewer hurricanes are expected. He says intense flooding will occur in some areas offset by increased drought in others.

For example, he notes in eastern Africa, El Nino is increasing rainfall in the equatorial sector of the Great Horn of Africa and drought conditions in southern Africa. The 1997-98 El Nino, the strongest to date, led to hundreds of deaths and billions of dollars in economic losses. No one can predict what will happen during the current El Nino season, but, WMO Secretary-General Jarraud says the impact in lost lives and property damage is likely to be much less because of improved forecasting and preparation.

WMO: Current El Nino One of Strongest on Record

 

[Old Rocks]

Well now, in spite of Silly Billy's mewling and puking and continued predictions of no El Nino, the strongest El Nino on record is presently with us. 3.0 this week, perhaps higher next week.

And all the rightwingnuts on this board that were continually denying reality are eating crow right now. Somehow, they really seem to think that their political views have more influence of reality than the laws of physics. Truly an amazing display of irrationality. Kind of like ISIS thinking that getting Russia, all of Europe, and the US of A fighting mad at them at the same time is going to help their efforts.

 

[jc456]

Well now, in spite of Silly Billy's mewling and puking and continued predictions of no El Nino, the strongest El Nino on record is presently with us. 3.0 this week, perhaps higher next week.

And all the rightwingnuts on this board that were continually denying reality are eating crow right now. Somehow, they really seem to think that their political views have more influence of reality than the laws of physics. Truly an amazing display of irrationality. Kind of like ISIS thinking that getting Russia, all of Europe, and the US of A fighting mad at them at the same time is going to help their efforts.

where is your graph to support that statement for el crapola?

 

[Old Rocks]

3. El Nino Isn't the Only Player

jc, you are stupid as Silly Billy. One has only to put 2015 El Nino on google to get ample data to show how strong and large this El Nino is. And then we also have a huge area of very warm water off of Western North America, clear up into the Arctic Ocean. One would think that you would at least look at the data before making such a fool of yourself.

 

[ScienceRocks]

 

[jc456]

so there's that funny little blue area south of the Hawaii islands. You know the water that is important to the US main land. hmmm looks like it's a good size. el what-o?

BTW, just like Billy stated.

 

[waltky]

California braces for El Nino storms, gonna last too weaks...

California braces for two weeks of El Nino storms
Tue, 05 Jan 2016 - Communities across California are bracing for two weeks of heavy rains generated by the El Nino system. Northern California could receive up to 15in (38.1cm) of rain over the next 16 days, with parts of the Sierra Nevada mountains getting up to 24in of snow.

The El Nino system, a warming trend in the Pacific Ocean, is expected to spur extraordinary weather across the US in the coming weeks and months. The phenomenon is prompting warnings of flash floods and mud flows. Light rain began falling across the region on Monday, but stronger storms are expected to hit the area on Tuesday, with at least two more systems expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Much of the area in the storms path has fallen victim to wildfires in recent years, making the heavy rains more hazardous. After wildfires destroy vegetation, there is an increased risk of landslides and mudslides along sloped areas.

The concerns are shared in southern California, where wet conditions could put communities in the Los Angeles area at risk of flooding and susceptible to debris and mud flows. Between two and three-and-a-half inches of rain are expected through Friday in southern California. Across the state, officials are issuing warnings for the storms and telling residents to clear gutters and anything that could hinder the flow of storm drains. Efforts are under way to shelter homeless people.

Residents are stockpiling sandbags for protection from the rains that are expected to last about two weeks​

El Nino systems form every two to seven years when the warm waters of the central Pacific ocean expand towards South and North America. The current El Nino is the strongest since 1998 and is expected to be in the top three most powerful episodes ever recorded. In recent weeks, the system has generated unusual weather across the US with unseasonably high temperatures in the northeast, uncommon winter tornados in the south, and a deluge of snow across the west. The El Nino system has also generated intense flooding across South America, with Paraguay, Argentina, Uruguay and Brazil experiencing the worst flooding in 50 years, resulting the evacuation of more than 150,000 people.

In many ways the soggy deluge may bring some welcome relief. California has been struggling with a four-year drought that has forced officials to enact a contentious water-savings plan. Residents have missed savings targets for at least two months in a row. However, despite the forecast for heavy downpours, experts say the severity of the drought is such that one El Nino system will not be able to overcome it.

California braces for two weeks of El Nino storms - BBC News

 

[Old Rocks]

A 7 day El Nino has formed!!!!

How do I fix it to say weak? Or can a moderator fix it.

Still waiting for that graph over on the other thread s0n...........so wtf? When is it gonna be up there........because is making you look pretty damn stoopid?

Now who the hell looks stupid?

 

[Gracie]

Hit and miss here. Good storm yesterday. Nothing today. Just windy. I see blue skies too. Some clouds, but over yonder.

 

[Old Rocks]

Not to worry, if you are in California, you will be getting rain in the next three months. A lot of it.

 

[waltky]

Stark evidence of El Nino driven climate change...

Scientists: Disappearance of Bolivia's No. 2 Lake a Harbinger
January 21, 2016 — Overturned fishing skiffs lie abandoned on the shores of what was Bolivia's second-largest lake. Beetles dine on bird carcasses and gulls fight for scraps under a glaring sun in what marshes remain.

Lake Poopo was officially declared evaporated last month. Hundreds, if not thousands, of people have lost their livelihoods and gone. High on Bolivia's semi-arid Andean plains at 3,700 meters (more than 12,000 feet) and long subject to climatic whims, the shallow saline lake has essentially dried up before only to rebound to twice the area of Los Angeles. But recovery may no longer be possible, scientists say.

'Future of climate change'

"This is a picture of the future of climate change," says Dirk Hoffman, a German glaciologist who studies how rising temperatures from the burning of fossil fuels has accelerated glacial melting in Bolivia. As Andean glaciers disappear so do the sources of Poopo's water. But other factors are in play in the demise of Bolivia's second-largest body of water behind Lake Titicaca. Drought caused by the recurrent El Nino meteorological phenomenon is considered the main driver. Authorities say another factor is the diversion of water from Poopo's tributaries, mostly for mining but also for agriculture.

This photo combo of satellite images provided by the USGS shows Lake Poopo filled with water on Oct, 11, 1986, left, and almost dry in Bolivia, Jan. 16, 2016.​

More than 100 families have sold their sheep, llamas and alpaca, set aside their fishing nets and quit the former lakeside village of Untavi over the past three years, draining it of well over half its population. Only the elderly remain. "There's no future here," said 29-year-old Juvenal Gutierrez, who moved to a nearby town where he ekes by as a motorcycle taxi driver. Record-keeping on the lake's history only goes back a century, and there is no good tally of the people displaced by its disappearance. At least 3,250 people have received humanitarian aid, the governor's office says.

2 percent of former level

 

[waltky]

Granny says, "Dat's right - it's like dat prophesy inna Revelation - we all gonna die...

WHO: El Nino Will Subject 60 Million to Health Risks
January 22, 2016 — The El Nino weather phenomenon that emerged toward the end of last year is expected to peak this month and then begin to wind down through March and April, but the World Health Organization warns Friday that its health consequences would most likely worsen as an estimated 60 million people will be subjected to its full effects throughout 2016.

El Nino, defined by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, produces extreme drought and acute water shortages in some parts of the world and heavy rainfall and flooding in others. People in the Horn of Africa, southern and eastern Africa, the South Pacific, Central America and South Asia are likely to suffer most from these extreme weather conditions. The WHO said seven countries — Tanzania, Kenya, Chad, Somalia, Nicaragua, Honduras, and Peru — would be at greatest risk.

Rick Brennan, the WHO's director of emergency risk management and humanitarian response, said an El Nino has "a broad range of potential impacts" on human health — "from malnutrition to infectious diseases to disruptions of health services. And, again, it is the most vulnerable, it is the poorest countries, it is the elderly, it is the children that are the most impacted.”

This image shows the satellite sea surface temperature departure for the month of October 2015, where orange-red colors are above normal temperatures and are indicative of El Nino.​

Brennan said drought associated with El Nino can result in high levels of malnutrition and lead to child deaths. He said acute water shortages can disrupt sanitation and hygiene services, causing infections such as diarrheal disease and scabies. On the other hand, he said, heavy rains can increase the risk of diseases such as malaria and dengue. He said flooding can kill and injure people as well as damage vital infrastructure.

Brennan said countries can take a number of steps to prepare for an El Nino and limit its health consequences. These include disease control measures, such as vaccinating malnourished children against measles. He said countries should increase hygiene services to try to control infectious diseases and prevent the spread of malaria, dengue and others. He said surveillance systems to detect disease outbreaks early should be scaled up so quick action can be taken to contain them.

WHO: El Nino Will Subject 60 Million to Health Risks