In 1992, Democrat Bill Clinton unseated incumbent President the elder Goerge Bush in a presidential election that also included Ross Perot as a third-party candidate. From 1968 to 1988, the Republican/GOP nominee was elected Prez five out of six times (Democrat Jimmy Carter was elected in 1976 but voted out in 1980). From 1968 to 1988, the GOP presidential nominees averaged 52 percent of the popular vote while the Democrat nominees averaged 43 percent of the popular vote. During this period, the GOP presidential nominees have received over 400 electoral votes four out of six times
Since 1992, the Democratic Party's presidential nominees have been elected to the White House four out of six times, have increased their share of the popular vote especially since 1996 (since 1996 the Democratic Party's presidential nominee has received AT LEAST 48 percent of the popular vote), and in all six presidential elections have received over 200 electoral votes.
Control of Congress since 1994, however, has been a different matter altogether. From 1930 to 1994, the Democrats were the majority party in the House of Representatives for 60 out of 64 years. Since 1994, however, the GOP has mostly controlled the House of Representatives.
The U.S. Senate from 1930 to 1980 was controlled the by Dems 46 out of 50 years. Since 1980, however, Senate controll has shifted between the parties no less than seven times. Senate control by the parties has shifted five times since 1994.
Could 2016 be yet another realigning election. Will the new President elected in 2016 be a Republican while congressional Republicans retain their House and Senate majorities? I believe this is very likely.
What about post-2016/post-Obama? Will the post-Obama Democrats be able to recover in 2018 and 2020?
Since 1992, the Democratic Party's presidential nominees have been elected to the White House four out of six times, have increased their share of the popular vote especially since 1996 (since 1996 the Democratic Party's presidential nominee has received AT LEAST 48 percent of the popular vote), and in all six presidential elections have received over 200 electoral votes.
Control of Congress since 1994, however, has been a different matter altogether. From 1930 to 1994, the Democrats were the majority party in the House of Representatives for 60 out of 64 years. Since 1994, however, the GOP has mostly controlled the House of Representatives.
The U.S. Senate from 1930 to 1980 was controlled the by Dems 46 out of 50 years. Since 1980, however, Senate controll has shifted between the parties no less than seven times. Senate control by the parties has shifted five times since 1994.
Could 2016 be yet another realigning election. Will the new President elected in 2016 be a Republican while congressional Republicans retain their House and Senate majorities? I believe this is very likely.
What about post-2016/post-Obama? Will the post-Obama Democrats be able to recover in 2018 and 2020?