A University of Colorado model that has correctly picked every presidential election since 1980 picked Romney to handedly beat Obama 320-218....with 52.9 percent of the popular vote. University of Colorado model points to big Romney win | The Daily Caller Using data from today's economy Romney wins big. If the economy improves in the next couple of months this changes things. The media is desperately trying say the economy is improving, however they aren't big on specifics. They just say things look promising. So basically, don't believe anything you hear, because it's designed to discourage Republican voters.