Yet Another Election Model Points To Big Romney Win

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by mudwhistle, Sep 20, 2012.

  1. mudwhistle
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    mudwhistle Diamond Member

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    A University of Colorado model that has correctly picked every presidential election since 1980 picked Romney to handedly beat Obama 320-218....with 52.9 percent of the popular vote.

    [​IMG]

    University of Colorado model points to big Romney win | The Daily Caller

    Using data from today's economy Romney wins big. If the economy improves in the next couple of months this changes things.

    The media is desperately trying say the economy is improving, however they aren't big on specifics. They just say things look promising.

    So basically, don't believe anything you hear, because it's designed to discourage Republican voters.
     
  2. AceRothstein
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    AceRothstein Gold Member

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    This thing again? It has only been posted on this site 10,000 times since it was released. I'll guarantee they are wrong about Minnesota, Mittens isn't winning there.

    What were the other models pointing to a Romney win?
     
  3. flacaltenn
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    flacaltenn USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member

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    I'm not placing bets on this horserace --- but I KNOW employment isn't gonna radically change and the market is pretty dam fragile.. You know --- It's not Dow and S&P that matters. It's the KIND of NEW listings that we've gotten in the past 6 years or so.. Nothing but Groupons and LinkedIns and crappy gimmicks. THAT --- is the primary reason the economy is staying contracted.

    Anyway -- I'm voting Libertarian this time, but I've pondered about this and I think Mitt will pick up points in the debate. He's fresh off the 95 (seems like) Repub primary debates. PLENTY of recent experience there.. Whilst Dear Leader leads a life sheltered by his Press Sec and the media. He's not used to being cross examined by someone who's been tested in debate.

    Because of THAT --- I think if Romney doesn't kill himself in the debates, even the horserace media will show him ahead after debate 1 or debate 2.
     
  4. mudwhistle
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    mudwhistle Diamond Member

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    Contrary to media reports Obama is losing.
     
  5. LoneLaugher
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    LoneLaugher Diamond Member

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    Ooooooooooooooo-kaaaaaaayyyyyyyy!
     
  6. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    President Obama 3.1

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama

    President Obama 7.9 Governor Romney -0.4

    RealClearPolitics - Obama & Romney: Favorable/Unfavorable

    President Obama 247 Governor Romney 191

    RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

    Toss up states;

    Colorado President Obama 2.0

    Florida President Obama 2.1

    Iowa President Obama 2.3

    Nevada President Obama 2.5

    New Hampshire President 2.3

    North Carolina Governor Romney 4.8

    Ohio President Obama 4.8

    Virginia President Obama 4.7


    Governor Romney needs 79 electorial votes to get to 270. He has 15 at present.

    President Obama needs 23 electorial votes to get to 270. He has 33 at present.

    Not looking good for Romney.
     
  7. candycorn
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    candycorn Alis volat propriis

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    Care to make a wager? No? Didn't think so.
     
  8. konradv
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    konradv Gold Member

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    Computer models?!?! Aren't those the same things righties pooh-pooh everytime AGW gets brought up? :eusa_eh:
     
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  9. Ragnar
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    Ragnar <--- Pic is not me

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    Yeah. Probably has something to do with the 30 year history of correct election guesses verses the random number generator that is climate computer modeling. Probably. :confused:
     
  10. Ragnar
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    Ragnar <--- Pic is not me

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    Forgot to add, I too predict a Romney win (for today anyway) but I think the map is over-generous. When I play with the maps I'm still giving President Obama Pa, MN and sometimes VA. However, I'm not yet willing to concede NV, NM or CO to the "Preezy".

    Below is a handy link to play with the map including a fantastic history of U.S. elections going back to 1789...

    2012 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College


    Have fun political geeks!
     

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