"Who is Nate Silver?"

Discussion in 'Politics' started by JimH52, Nov 7, 2012.

  1. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    So, do you RWers know who he is now?
     
  2. Matthew
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    Matthew Blue dog all the way!

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    A fag!
     
  3. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    Nate Silver wasn't right in the absolute sense. He didn't call the election. He gave a probability of an event happening, which happened. What he does is like setting a points spread in a football game.
     
  4. JimH52
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    JimH52 Gold Member

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    Must Suck to be You Today...
     
  5. Liberal
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    Liberal Libruhl! Libruhl!

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    He is the new face of political forecasting.

    An intelligent young man. Who, like he did to baseball, will change the face of political stat analysis.

    Or a "liberal" as the cons would say.
     
  6. pjnlsn
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    pjnlsn Member

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    He's not supposed to have magical powers....it is math that he's doing, and anyone can, if they understand it. But he was right, has been right about a lot of the elections, not just for president, and the statistics works, even if there's some random standard you have that he doesn't meet. As for 'calling' the election, if you do it as an educated guess, then it's the equivalent of what Silver does, except he uses maths instead of intuition. And if you do it without knowledge, and it happens, the person who said it isn't really 'right,' are they? Because they didn't know it would happen in the first place. (Or know a probability).

    Anyway, I think it would cool a lot of tempermental people down if they realized how predictable elections are.
     
    Last edited: Nov 7, 2012

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