What's behind Obamas swing state surge?

[there4eyeM]

Romney.

 

[Leweman]

Even if polls are accurate they are meaningless today. They might be useful around October 15th but still determine nothing.

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

What's behind Obamas swing state surge? Pollsters oversampling Democrats

Spot on.

 

[LordBrownTrout]

Last week I was polled. According to the slanted questions I was a lifelong O supporter and would vote for him in the next 10 elections if possible.

 

[rightwinger]

WHY OBAMA WILL LOSE IN A LANDSLIDE

In todays political climate, it is impossible for any Democratic contender to lose by a landslide. With the current alignment of red states and blue states the Democratic candidate has a ready made advantage in the Electoral College.
Swing States determine the election. If a Republican does great in those swing states he will win by a small margin (think Bush 2000 and 2004). If a democrat does great, he will win by a landslide (Obama and Clinton)

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

What's behind Obamas swing state surge? Pollsters oversampling Democrats

Every poll in EVERY state by multiple polling agencies?

Is that what FoxNews has been telling you?

It's what the data of the polls themselves tell us. Oh...and NBC admitted to it.

 

[rightwinger]

What's behind Obamas swing state surge? Pollsters oversampling Democrats

Spot on.

Please explain how pollsters oversampLe Democrats. Most of these statewide polls are small, localized polling agencies. Some are large like Rassmussen

Are conservatives now claiming Rassmussen has a liberal bias?

 

[LogikAndReazon]

Perhaps leftist medias hope, bias, and propaganda...........

Regardless , the race will be close

 

[007]

WHY OBAMA WILL LOSE IN A LANDSLIDE

"Thirty-two years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 points to Carter."

And there was no doubt that Carter was born in America!

Yup. I think RW knows deep down that the kenyan is going to get his ass handed to him on a platter in November, so he's digging up everything he possibly can, no matter how big of a pile of bull shit it is, that says his little kenyan messiah is doing SOOOOO good, it makes him feel better. I pity the RW odumbobots come November. I'm afraid the shock of hussein losing after they believed all this he's going go win garbage might push them over the edge. We might have some suicidals on our hands.

 

[rightwinger]

If Republicans want to stick their heads in the sand and pretend that polls don't matter and polls are biased against them, they are welcome to it

The swing state polls represent multiple polling companies with wide demographics between states. The polls are indicating that whatever Romney is doing is not working. They can either revise their strategies or prepare for a massive defeat

 

[naturegirl]

I'm perfectly happy Obama is winning in the polls. The discouraged folks on the left don't have any reason to vote, he's gonna win anyway. The polls say so. Just stay home, no need in getting the left all energized or anything.

(Psssst.......The winner of this election is the candidate that gets his base most fired up)

 

[naturegirl]

If Republicans want to stick their heads in the sand and pretend that polls don't matter and polls are biased against them, they are welcome to it

The swing state polls represent multiple polling companies with wide demographics between states. The polls are indicating that whatever Romney is doing is not working. They can either revise their strategies or prepare for a massive defeat

Yay!! Obama is winning in the polls, you don't even need to vote, he's gonna win by a landslide.

 

[LordBrownTrout]

The polls are defying any semblance of logic right now.

 

[mudwhistle]

did you see number six? and you want us to take this seriously? seriously?

Republicans are running on a platform of "the economy sucks". This election will be determined by approximately ten swing states. What happens to the Republican plans when the economy in those states happens to be good?

Never discount like ability in an election. In most presidential elections the more likable candidate wins

Obama gets points for caring but loses on not having any answers.

However, the full effect of his "You didn't build that" speech hasn't fully kicked in.

Obama really fucked up when he said that. It was about as bad as the infamous Howard Dean "Scream".

 

[tjvh]

What's behind Obama's swing state surge? Wishful thinking.

 

[mudwhistle]

The only thing keeping Obama in this race is his slobbering press.

 

[naturegirl]

did you see number six? and you want us to take this seriously? seriously?

Republicans are running on a platform of "the economy sucks". This election will be determined by approximately ten swing states. What happens to the Republican plans when the economy in those states happens to be good?

Never discount like ability in an election. In most presidential elections the more likable candidate wins

Obama gets points for caring but loses on not having any answers.

However, the full effect of his "You didn't build that" speech hasn't fully kicked in.

Obama really fucked up when he said that. It was about as bad as the infamous Howard Dean "Scream".

Yep, and he's bringing in his other "you didn't build that" groupie. They're gonna double team it at the conference!!

 

[Warrior102]

1. Many voters think Romney doesn't care about them
"Mitt Romney started this campaign with a problem: An image as a wealthy elitist, out of touch with middle-class life," say David A. Fahrenthold and Aaron Blake at The Washington Post. And the new polls show that "Romney still hasn't overcome that first impression."

2. Obama's attack ads are working
The Obama campaign has spent millions of dollars in all three states to air brutal ads attacking Romney's tenure at private equity firm Bain Capital and his refusal to release several years of tax returns. The effects of that assault shows in the polls, with many likely voters expressing "concerns over his business background and his reluctance to release more of his tax returns,"

3. Women overwhelmingly support Obama
"The president's strength among women is the dominant dynamic fueling his lead," says Peter Brown at Quinnipiac. About 60 percent of women in Ohio and Pennsylvania support Obama, as do half of women in Florida.

4. Voters agree with Obama on raising taxes on the rich
Obama "drew broad support from voters in each state for a proposal to raise income taxes on people whose household income is more than $250,000,"

5. Swing states have relatively low unemployment rates
Obama could be benefiting from "lower swing-state unemployment rates," says Niall Stanage at The Hill. Ohio's unemployment rate of 7.3 percent is lower than the national rate of 8.2 percent, which might make the lackluster economy less of a factor in the Buckeye State. In addition, Florida's economy appears to be improving, which could also make Obama a more palatable candidate.

6. The economy is no longer a major factor
"Usually voter preferences of an incumbent candidate track closely with the trajectory of the economy," but that's not happening this year, says Josh Kraushaar at The National Journal. It's possible that voters feel neither candidate can fix the economy's problems, and are instead voting on other factors, such as likability.

What's behind President Obama's swing-state surge? 6 theories - The Week

Desperation is thick...

 

[jillian]

Lies and trickery

yes... only rightwingnuts know anything.

go listen to the koch brothers' propaganda some more.

 

[Leweman]

What's behind Obamas swing state surge? Pollsters oversampling Democrats

Spot on.

Please explain how pollsters oversampLe Democrats. Most of these statewide polls are small, localized polling agencies. Some are large like Rassmussen

Are conservatives now claiming Rassmussen has a liberal bias?

You're kidding right?