What's behind Obamas swing state surge?

[ginscpy]

because Obama is a guy that everybody loves- except me.

 

[ginscpy]

a terrible president -crappy US Senator -

 

[Mr. Shaman]

What's behind Obamas swing state surge?

More-than-likely, the realization that Romney is one more (in-that-long-line-o') "conservative"-Bimbos (i.e. easily-"managed"), much like Snooki Palin & Lil' Dumbya.​

 

[there4eyeM]

"Perhaps leftist medias hope, bias, and propaganda..........."
Just a question; if the 'left' controls the media, how did the Iraq invasion get sold to the American people (or, at least some, since stats dispute it was a majority)?

 

[Mr. Shaman]

White people won't tell a pollster they are not going to vote for the failed black guy.

Bradley Effect.

Barry is getting his butt kicked right now.

That's what.....

.....Porky Limbaugh says.....

....huh??


​

 

[there4eyeM]

"a terrible president -crappy US Senator"

terrible choice, too, unless people start thinking of other choices.

 

[Article 15]

what's behind obamas swing state surge?

acorn

 

[naturegirl]

At this point in 1979, Carter lead Reagan by 9 points

Maybe if you can convince Iran to take 52 Americans hostage, Romney can win too

Obama has taken 1/2 the US population as hostages and they don't even know it. Either that or they don't care.

Have any of you lefties bothered to look at the 17 states that elected Republican governors and how quickly they have brought down their unemployment numbers??

 

[NYcarbineer]

At this point in 1979, Carter lead Reagan by 9 points

At this point in 1979, Reagan wasn't even the nominee.

 

[Some Guy]

Does anyone know how you participate in these polls? Cause they're constantly used as just short of definitive proof and i've never been asked to participate in one, etc etc. Thanks.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Romney isn't offering anything of substance that would make people believe that a change would be better than staying the course.

A really good GOP candidate might be beating Obama at this point but Romney isn't even close to being a really good candidate.

 

[Mr. Shaman]

"Perhaps leftist medias hope, bias, and propaganda..........."
Just a question; if the 'left' controls the media, how did the Iraq invasion get sold to the American people (or, at least some, since stats dispute it was a majority)?

That would have been thru the efforts o' that ol' cherry-picker.....

....The DICK; Cheney.....

.....who was also managing the Bush Oval Office.

 

[NYcarbineer]

At this point in 1979, Carter lead Reagan by 9 points

Maybe if you can convince Iran to take 52 Americans hostage, Romney can win too

Obama has taken 1/2 the US population as hostages and they don't even know it. Either that or they don't care.

Have any of you lefties bothered to look at the 17 states that elected Republican governors and how quickly they have brought down their unemployment numbers??

Those are the states where Obama is surging.

 

[auditor0007]

1. Many voters think Romney doesn't care about them
"Mitt Romney started this campaign with a problem: An image as a wealthy elitist, out of touch with middle-class life," say David A. Fahrenthold and Aaron Blake at The Washington Post. And the new polls show that "Romney still hasn't overcome that first impression."

2. Obama's attack ads are working
The Obama campaign has spent millions of dollars in all three states to air brutal ads attacking Romney's tenure at private equity firm Bain Capital and his refusal to release several years of tax returns. The effects of that assault shows in the polls, with many likely voters expressing "concerns over his business background and his reluctance to release more of his tax returns,"

3. Women overwhelmingly support Obama
"The president's strength among women is the dominant dynamic fueling his lead," says Peter Brown at Quinnipiac. About 60 percent of women in Ohio and Pennsylvania support Obama, as do half of women in Florida.

4. Voters agree with Obama on raising taxes on the rich
Obama "drew broad support from voters in each state for a proposal to raise income taxes on people whose household income is more than $250,000,"

5. Swing states have relatively low unemployment rates
Obama could be benefiting from "lower swing-state unemployment rates," says Niall Stanage at The Hill. Ohio's unemployment rate of 7.3 percent is lower than the national rate of 8.2 percent, which might make the lackluster economy less of a factor in the Buckeye State. In addition, Florida's economy appears to be improving, which could also make Obama a more palatable candidate.

6. The economy is no longer a major factor
"Usually voter preferences of an incumbent candidate track closely with the trajectory of the economy," but that's not happening this year, says Josh Kraushaar at The National Journal. It's possible that voters feel neither candidate can fix the economy's problems, and are instead voting on other factors, such as likability.

What's behind President Obama's swing-state surge? 6 theories - The Week

I will make this simple; people don't like Romney very much, for various reasons. While most Republicans will vote for him, there are some that will just sit this one out because they don't like Romney. As for independents, Romney is losing support little by little. Middle class independents are not all stupid. Not everyone in the US thinks cutting taxes is such a great idea, even with the economy not growing very much at all. People see the deficits, and then you tell them the way to reduce the deficits is by cutting taxes. Most people just don't buy into it because the math simply doesn't work, and they realize this.

Obama is not a good candidate, but the guy running against him is even worse. The only way Obama loses this is if he completely blows it by pissing his own supporters off to the point that they don't vote.

 

[Mr. Shaman]

Have any of you lefties bothered to look at the 17 states that elected Republican governors and how quickly they have brought down their unemployment numbers??

Yeah, and.....unlike you......we know HOW they did it!!!


[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w894xqReOdo]Rachel Maddow Exposes Republican Hypocrisy For What It Is......BS.flv - YouTube[/ame]​

 

[Full-Auto]

What's behind Obamas swing state surge?


STUPIDITY..........

 

[mudwhistle]

The only thing keeping Obama in this race is his slobbering press.

couldn't possibly be that people don't want bush deux...

nah... why would it be?

As opposed to Jimmy Carter times 10.

Mitt is nothing like Bush. That lie doesn't fly.


The press is attempting to Palinize Mitt but too many are wise to them this time. It only works on liberals.

Obama has pissed off evangelicals, he's pissed off whites, he's scaring the crap out of anyone willing to face reality so I figure he's gonna lose unless he figures a way to steal the election with something underhanded like granting amnesty, starting a war, or promising to forgive mortgage debt. He can't win straight up.

 

[LordBrownTrout]

Romney isn't offering anything of substance that would make people believe that a change would be better than staying the course.

A really good GOP candidate might be beating Obama at this point but Romney isn't even close to being a really good candidate.

This is hard to argue with. Romney just stays in his bubble, doesn't seem to want to create any waves.

 

[rightwinger]

did you see number six? and you want us to take this seriously? seriously?

Republicans are running on a platform of "the economy sucks". This election will be determined by approximately ten swing states. What happens to the Republican plans when the economy in those states happens to be good?

Never discount like ability in an election. In most presidential elections the more likable candidate wins

Obama gets points for caring but loses on not having any answers.

However, the full effect of his "You didn't build that" speech hasn't fully kicked in.

Obama really fucked up when he said that. It was about as bad as the infamous Howard Dean "Scream".

If he fucked up when he said that, the polls didn't show it. He surged after the republican misinformation campaign

 

[candycorn]

1. Many voters think Romney doesn't care about them
"Mitt Romney started this campaign with a problem: An image as a wealthy elitist, out of touch with middle-class life," say David A. Fahrenthold and Aaron Blake at The Washington Post. And the new polls show that "Romney still hasn't overcome that first impression."

Many voers are right!

2. Obama's attack ads are working
The Obama campaign has spent millions of dollars in all three states to air brutal ads attacking Romney's tenure at private equity firm Bain Capital and his refusal to release several years of tax returns. The effects of that assault shows in the polls, with many likely voters expressing "concerns over his business background and his reluctance to release more of his tax returns,"

It works in conjunction with #1. When you're rich and seen as caring, attack ads don't work. When you're rich and seen as aloof, the attack adds pile on. Remaining aloof is just about the worst thing that the Governor could be doing; and he's doing just that.

3. Women overwhelmingly support Obama
"The president's strength among women is the dominant dynamic fueling his lead," says Peter Brown at Quinnipiac. About 60 percent of women in Ohio and Pennsylvania support Obama, as do half of women in Florida.

That's true.

4. Voters agree with Obama on raising taxes on the rich
Obama "drew broad support from voters in each state for a proposal to raise income taxes on people whose household income is more than $250,000,"

From the "duh" file. He's bitch-slapped the GOP so ofetn on the tax issue, you'd think that the GOP would not fall for it yet again. But they have.

5. Swing states have relatively low unemployment rates
Obama could be benefiting from "lower swing-state unemployment rates," says Niall Stanage at The Hill. Ohio's unemployment rate of 7.3 percent is lower than the national rate of 8.2 percent, which might make the lackluster economy less of a factor in the Buckeye State. In addition, Florida's economy appears to be improving, which could also make Obama a more palatable candidate.

Don't know that I buy this as a mechanism for Obama support. Maybe a little factor but largely a non-factor. What is interesting is that all of the supposed battleground states are ones Obama won in 2008. I think it comes down to they just don't like the alternative who is seen as the protottypical "profit above people" CEO. The GOP picked the wrong horse to run in this race.

6. The economy is no longer a major factor
"Usually voter preferences of an incumbent candidate track closely with the trajectory of the economy," but that's not happening this year, says Josh Kraushaar at The National Journal. It's possible that voters feel neither candidate can fix the economy's problems, and are instead voting on other factors, such as likability.

What's behind President Obama's swing-state surge? 6 theories - The Week

I think there is some truth to this but It IS a factor. I think that most Americans are realizing that a Peacetime President is more than a CEO. Which is why Obama is going to win handly.