WAPO poll: 3 in 10 GOPers don't want Christie

[Statistikhengst]

Poll finds Republicans resistant to Chris Christie presidential candidacy - The Washington Post

As conservatives gather in the Washington area on Thursday for three days of speeches from prospective 2016 presidential candidates and discussions about the future of the GOP, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll found that three in 10 of all Republicans say they would not vote for New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie if he ran for the White House.

Christie will address the annual Conservative Political Action Conference on Thursday morning. He was not invited to speak at last year’s event. What he says and the reception he receives will be closely watched and analyzed, and the new survey underscores the obstacles Christie will face if he seeks his party’s nomination in 2016.

The polling data:

2016 hopefuls draw more certain opposition than support at early stage - The Washington Post


3 in 10.


Let's contrast Christie (R) with Clinton (D).

Clinton (all voters):

Christie, all voters:

Now, Christie only among Republican voters:

And Clinton only among Democratic voters:

Losing about 7%-9% of your own party's vote is actually kind of the average. Exit polling proves this:

CNN.com Election 2004

In 2004, Kerry got 6% of the GOP vote, Bush 41 got 11% of the DEM vote. Bush won the election.

Demographics of How Groups Voted in the 2008 Presidential Election

In 2008, Obama got 9% of the GOP vote, McCain got 10% of the DEM vote. Obama won the election.

Presidential Race - 2012 Election Center - Elections & Politics from CNN.com


In 2012, Obama got 8% of the GOP vote, Romney got 7% of the DEM vote.

So, losing 30% of your party's vote is pretty extreme...

Of course, it's just one poll, but very telling at the beginning of CPAC.

 

[1751_Texan]

The larger trend is that Hillary has 25% solid support and no Republican has numbers larger than 10%...most in the low ones.

It's much like Baseball's spring training predictions. All teams are pennant contenders.

 

[Statistikhengst]

The larger trend is that Hillary has 25% solid support and no Republican has numbers larger than 10%...most in the low ones.

It's much like Baseball's spring training predictions. All teams are pennant contenders.

Well said, I was hoping that someone would notice that.

[MENTION=47774]1751_Texan[/MENTION]