Tracking the el nino

You were saying the s ame shit last April, Silly Billy. NOAA says an El Nino to April or May. Bet they are right once again, and you are just flap-yapping, which is all that you have ever done here.
 
Old Rocks said:
You were saying the s ame shit last April, Silly Billy. NOAA says an El Nino to April or May. Bet they are right once again, and you are just flap-yapping, which is all that you have ever done here.
Click to expand...

Coming from you, who doesn't have clue how or why El Niño forms or why it changes to La Niña this is some funny shit.

SO tell me old fraud why haven't the weather patterns changed to reflect an El Niño and why are they shifting into a solid La Niña pattern? What has changed and why didn't they shift into a solid El Niño pattern before? What meteorological conditions stropped this? Do you know?
 
Odd, that is not what NOAA says. And guess who has been spot on for the last year, and who has been constantly wrong the whole time? Silly Billy, no one with a brain takes anything you say at this point seriously.
 
ENSO Blog

July in Christmas
January 8, 2016
Was El Niño to blame for the above-average temperatures during November and December 2015? As always, the answer is not that simple.

read more

ENSO Blog | NOAA Climate.gov
Observing & Predicting

Every U.S. state warmer than 20th-century average in 2015
January 6, 2016
The 2015 annual average U.S. temperature was 54.4°F, 2.4°F above the 20th century average, the second warmest year on record.

read more

| NOAA Climate.gov

Well, as predicted, 2015 was a very interesting year.
 
Old Rocks said:
ENSO Blog

July in Christmas
January 8, 2016
Was El Niño to blame for the above-average temperatures during November and December 2015? As always, the answer is not that simple.

read more

ENSO Blog | NOAA Climate.gov
Observing & Predicting

Every U.S. state warmer than 20th-century average in 2015
January 6, 2016
The 2015 annual average U.S. temperature was 54.4°F, 2.4°F above the 20th century average, the second warmest year on record.

read more

| NOAA Climate.gov

Well, as predicted, 2015 was a very interesting year.
Click to expand...
And your source used highly adjusted Karl Et Al crap.. how not surprising.. Someday soon you will be knocked back into reality from your crap..
 
NOAA images of the Eq Pac Subsurface Profile for Jan 8, 2016, for the Temperature Anom, and the Temperature, respectively; it looks like the upwelling phase has ended (note the deep tough of cool water is breaking up). This impression is supported by the third NOAA image of the Eq Pac Upper Ocean Heat Anom circa Jan 11 2016; which shows the Heat Anom is now increasing (presumably as another downwelling phase moves eastward due to the current WWB).
index.php



index.php


I don't expect any kind of real weakening until mid spring at this rate! ;)
 
The "record" El Niño is a bust. Weather patterns have remained almost normal in the West with SoCal, the supposed ground zero of storms, at 40% of average rainfall with only 10 weeks remaining in the rainy season. No storms are seen in the long range forecast. Storms continue to track into the Pacific Northwest in a normal year pattern.

Guess what. All those climate models were WRONG.
 

[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]California Weather Blog[/FONT]
Relatively dry conditions persist in Southern California; Sierra Nevada snowfall best in years
Relatively little has changed since my last update, and so the present post will be a short one.

Pockets of NorCal have seen above-average precipitation so far this season, but most of the state remains below average. (WRCC)

Not as much as we would like, but more than california has had in a long time.​
A handful of modest weather systems have brought generally light precipitation and cold temperatures to parts of California over the past week or so, mostly in the north. While these systems did little to alleviate long-term water deficits, they did preferentially add some more water to the already healthy Sierra Nevada snowpack. In fact, statewide snow water equivalent is slightly above average for this calendar date–no small feat in a time ofrecord global warmth and immediately following California’s most abysmal snow conditions in hundreds of years.
Clearly, though, there is still a very (very) long way to go if California is going to see substantial drought relief this year. Fortunately, the short-term outlook is quite favorable.
 
Old Rocks said:
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]California Weather Blog[/FONT]
Relatively dry conditions persist in Southern California; Sierra Nevada snowfall best in years
Relatively little has changed since my last update, and so the present post will be a short one.

Pockets of NorCal have seen above-average precipitation so far this season, but most of the state remains below average. (WRCC)

Not as much as we would like, but more than california has had in a long time.​

A handful of modest weather systems have brought generally light precipitation and cold temperatures to parts of California over the past week or so, mostly in the north. While these systems did little to alleviate long-term water deficits, they did preferentially add some more water to the already healthy Sierra Nevada snowpack. In fact, statewide snow water equivalent is slightly above average for this calendar date–no small feat in a time ofrecord global warmth and immediately following California’s most abysmal snow conditions in hundreds of years.
Clearly, though, there is still a very (very) long way to go if California is going to see substantial drought relief this year. Fortunately, the short-term outlook is quite favorable.
Click to expand...
Once again, manmade climate models are WRONG.
 
Well, I certainly labeled you correctly as a dumb fuck. Obviously you cannot read simple maps and graphs. Seems the case for most 'Conservatives'.
 
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