Tracking the el nino

Hmm... uhh.. the el Nino doesn't take place in Southern California. Some of it's collateral effects often do, but there you go.
 
Well, Silly Billy and jc, look at the temps on the East Coast for Christmas. The scientists were spot on and you silly asses were completely wrong. But you are batting 100%. Wrong.
 
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Mississippi River at Record Flood Levels at Cape Girardeau, Missouri; Will Rise Above Flood Stage in Memphis This Weekend

http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/l/Los+Angeles+CA+USCA0638:1:US

Looks like the El Nino is having quite an effect. Add that to AGW, and you get new extreme weather records. Looks like LA is going to get the start of the predicted rains in the next two weeks.
 
Looks like us in Southern California are going to get our first significant rain is some time now starting tomorrow. I recall the 81/82 El Nino very well out here. I was just out of the Military and beating the streets for a job. All I cared about was surfing and banging surf chicks

So I took a job stuffing glass insulation in environmental chambers. $118 a week take home. Good times

I was living the dream

-Geaux
 
Series of Storms to Bring Plenty of Rain, Snow to California

Series of Storms to Bring Plenty of Rain, Snow to California

The next series of storms to impact the West Coast will be a bit different than what the region has experienced in recent months. This go around, a large portion of California, right down to the southern coast, can expect a decent helping of much needed rain.

For the Cascades and Sierra, expect hefty amounts of snow to pile up into the coming week. Here, the snow has been seemingly adding up all season, leading to a snowpack that is much more substantial than at the same point last year.

According to winter weather expert Tom Niziol, through Dec. 30, 2015, the Sierra snowpack was at 105 percent of normal for the season, compared to just 50 percent through the same date in 2014.



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Stormy Pattern Ahead

Rounds of upper level energy will pivot toward the West Coast, resulting in a series of storm systems.



A dip in the jet stream across the eastern North Pacific will work to direct this next parade of storm systems into the West Coast, this time a bit further south, pointing directly at the state of California.

Here's a look at what you can expect.


 
Yes, finally California is getting the much needed rain. And the problems that come with that rain. But it will take at least a couple of years of hard rains to make up for the drought that California has seen in the last few years. And if the rains do not come in 2017, by the end of that year, California will be right back where they are today. Let's hope for at least two years of good rains.
 
  • Issued by The National Weather Service
    Los Angeles, CA

    6:17am PST, Sat Jan 2


    ... A SERIES OF STORMS TO AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...

    ... TIME TO PREPARE FOR POTENTIAL FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS FROM RECENT BURN AREAS...

    A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS ARE LINING UP ACROSS THE PACIFIC OCEAN AND WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH NEXT WEEK. SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA CAN EXPECT BETWEEN 2 TO 3.5 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS COAST AND VALLEYS THROUGH FRIDAY... AND BETWEEN 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. LOCALLY TO 6 INCHES ACROSS FAVORED SW FACING COASTAL SLOPES INCLUDING THE SANTA YNEZ AND SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS.

    THIS MUCH RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME COULD BRING FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS FROM RECENT BURN AREAS. THE FIRST STORM WHICH ARRIVES SUNDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING WILL BRING SOME PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES... WITH LESS INTENSITY TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER... A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM WILL BE RIGHT ON ITS HEELS TUESDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL TAP INTO A MORE SUBTROPICAL AIR MASS ALLOWING FOR HIGHER RAINFALL RATES AND RAINFALL TOTALS. TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WILL BE THE TIME PERIOD WHERE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING FROM DEBRIS FLOWS WILL BE HIGH. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF LULL BETWEEN STORMS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING... WHEN ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT STORM MOVES INTO THE REGION. ONCE AGAIN... EXPECT PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WHERE ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SHOWERS BY THURSDAY... BUT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH COLD AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW THAT SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

    SNOW LEVELS WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 5000 AND 6000 FEET WITH THESE STORMS... EXCEPT LOWERING TO BETWEEN 3500 AND 4500 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECTING AROUND 2 FEET OF NEW SNOW FOR MOUNTAIN AREAS ABOVE 6000 FEET. DRIVING CONDITIONS COULD BE HAZARDOUS NEXT WEEK. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW COULD CAUSE WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. AS THE SNOW LEVEL LOWERS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY... DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GRAPEVINE AND SOLEDAD CANYON PASS COULD BECOME PROBLEMATIC.

    ON TOP OF THE RAIN AND SNOW... COASTAL AREAS CAN EXPECT HIGH SURF THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THE COMBINATION OF STORMY CONDITIONS... WINDS... AND HIGH SURF COULD BRING COASTAL FLOODING... ALONG WITH EROSION TO BEACHES AND DAMAGE TO COASTAL STRUCTURES SUCH AS PIERS. FLOODING OF LOW LYING BEACH PARKING LOTS... HARBOR WALKWAYS... AND CAMPGROUNDS WILL BE POSSIBLE... ESPECIALLY DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHEN A VERY LARGE SWELL ARRIVES.

    RESIDENTS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... ESPECIALLY THOSE LIVING IN OR BELOW RECENT BURN AREAS... SHOULD PREPARE NOW FOR THE IMPENDING RAINFALL NEXT WEEK. NOW IS THE TIME TO TAKE ACTION. FINISH UP OUTDOOR PROJECTS AND CONSIDER PREPARING SAND BAGS FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOWS. RESIDENTS WITH BEACHFRONT PROPERTY ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES... WARNINGS... AND ADVISORIES AS THE STORMS AND SWELLS MOVE CLOSER TO THE REGION. TRAVELERS AND MOTORISTS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND ARE ADVISED TO MAKE CONTINGENCY TRAVEL PLANS... ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHEN THE HEAVIEST RAIN AND SNOW ARRIVE. LOCAL COMMUTES COULD BE IMPACTED DUE TO POSSIBLE ROADWAY FLOODING AND PONDING ON PAVEMENT SURFACES.
 
Billy? What's your analysis? What mistake are these fellows at the NWS making? Or are they just lies?
 
Sun
rain_s_cloudy.png

61°
49°
Mon
rain_light.png

61°
50°
Tue
rain.png

55°
46°
Wed
rain.png

54°
45°
Thu
rain_light.png

53°
42°
Fri
partly_cloudy.png

59°
42°
Sat
rain_s_cloudy.png

59°
45°
rain_s_cloudy.png

62°
45°

This cannot possibly be right, Silly Billy, said so.
 
Funny, seems like the NWS is agreeing with Billy. Does a Weakening El Niño Mean a More Dangerous 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

He missed the timing a bit, but not by a whole lot if their estimate is correct.
LOL. Read the whole of this thread, if you repeat that after reading it, you are as big a liar as Silly Billy. From the git-go Billy claimed there would be no El Nino, then that if there was, at a time when there plainly was, that it would be a very weak one. Kept that nonsense up until November. Now the people that predicted that the El Nino would fade away about mid-year have been shown to be correct for the whole of last year. And Silly Billy predictions were 100% wrong the whole time.
 

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