Today is just like 1948. What Obama Can Learn From Truman | The New Republic
Remember they thought Dewey Beat Truman? They even printed papers saying so?
Harry Trumans campaign for reelection in 1948successful, despite a poor economic climate, and a polarized electorateoffers a promising path for Obamas reelection.
Plenty of parallels. Most prominently, both were hampered by crippling midterm elections, fueled largely by anger about the poor state of the economy, which produced sweeping and across-the-board loss of seats for their party in Congress.
The Congress of 1947 and 1948 record on domestic policy was like today. they veered so sharply to the right that they alienated one segment of the electorate after another. Pushing the anti-union Taft-Hartley legislation over Trumans veto, they drove a labor movement furious with Truman back into the presidents arms.
In what will no doubt sound familiar to watchers of the current Congress, the sweeping GOP victories in 1946 convinced many Republicans that they had achieved a lasting ideological victorythat the American public had finished with the liberalism and embraced their brand of conservatism. They were wrong. Voters had reacted to short-term economic conditions, and to a post-war mood for change, but not for a new right-wing ideology.
Truman seized upon the conservative over-reaching and openly fought against what he dubbed the Do-Nothing Eightieth Congress. That rhetorical strategy paid dividends.
Not only was Truman reelected, Democrats picked up nine seats in the Senate and a full 75 in the House to recapture both bodies. The luckiest thing that ever happened to me, Truman remarked years later, was the Eightieth Congress.
Barack Obama ought to be able to leverage his own recalcitrant Congress for political gain. The sitting 112th Congress, like Trumans 80th, is dominated by a Republican House that believes that its sweeping victory reflected a huge public mandate to dismantle government as we know it. They are wrong again.
Problems with your "promising path".
Dems hold the Senate.
Economic growth sucks.
There are still fewer employed than when Obama took office.
The deficit is $4.7 trillion higher, 3 years after he took office.
Obamacare is less popular than ever.