Rewarding failure

This mess is the TRUE DEFINITION of Murphy's Law, what can go wrong, will go wrong.

It is a multitude of mistakes and bad business practices due to greed.... all not even closely related, but where if just one of them was not done, the whole ponzi scheme would not have flourished.
 
It goes in line care.. AiG is in a lot of it's trouble with credit protection.. that credit stemming from many things including mortgage.. and that is because of government adding pressure to have companies provide loans to ones who would not normally qualify.... not just that, but they were also tied up in market risk, and not knowing as to the true impact a lot of government policy would eventually have on the market... a LOT of this is hand in hand, care

And yes.. THEY should have researched better... not just went on default risk.. not just basking in the glory of increased income at one point...

Had the problem been limited to NINA loans going down, this problem would NOT exist.

It was a whole lot more complex than just the mortgage crises, folks.

That was the snowball that started the avelanche but the snow that is flling is from DEREIVATIVE DEBT FINACIANG.

This according to how I understand the problem which is, I'lll readily admit the rather sketchy understanding I get from the media.

Yes it was from more than just mortgage... but it does play a big part as it reaches far across the market impact

All those NINA morgages combined don't amount to a fart in this economic hurricane, is what I'm being told, DD.

They might have started this disaster down the road to ruin, but they're hardly the cause of it.

FYI $9 TILLION in guarantees we're giving to banks' bond holder is more than all those NINA morgages combined.

Much MUCH more.
 
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This mess is the TRUE DEFINITION of Murphy's Law, what can go wrong, will go wrong.

It is a multitude of mistakes and bad business practices due to greed.... all not even closely related, but where if just one of them was not done, the whole ponzi scheme would not have flourished.

You got something there, care

The spider web is complex.. and vibrations reverberate EVERYWHERE, like a gaggle of flies hitting it all at once
 
Had the problem been limited to NINA loans going down, this problem would NOT exist.

It was a whole lot more complex than just the mortgage crises, folks.

That was the snowball that started the avelanche but the snow that is flling is from DEREIVATIVE DEBT FINACIANG.

This according to how I understand the problem which is, I'lll readily admit the rather sketchy understanding I get from the media.

Yes it was from more than just mortgage... but it does play a big part as it reaches far across the market impact

All those NINA morgages combined don't amount to a fart in this economic hurricane, is what I'm being told, DD.

They might have started this disaster down the road to ruin, but they're hardly the cause of it.

$9 TILLION in guantees we're giving to banks is more than all those NINA morgages combined.

They are a major part.. in terms of influence... but there are more causes.. not just 1... private, governmental, global, etc
 
arlen spector just said, let the employees sue for it. that is their legal recourse...

the gvt should stop them from happening, they are not binding under these circumstances...

if the gvt loses their case, they will get paid.

he said the proper procedures out there can handle this within the law...
 
It goes in line care.. AiG is in a lot of it's trouble with credit protection.. that credit stemming from many things including mortgage.. and that is because of government adding pressure to have companies provide loans to ones who would not normally qualify.... not just that, but they were also tied up in market risk, and not knowing as to the true impact a lot of government policy would eventually have on the market... a LOT of this is hand in hand, care

And yes.. THEY should have researched better... not just went on default risk.. not just basking in the glory of increased income at one point...
That's idiotic, no offense. The sub prime loans were capable of creating a small recession but they are not responsible for the crap AIG was pulling. That can be tied directly to deregulation...letting an insurance company have the ability to get into the gambling business, basically. I can't believe people still think the sub prime mortgages are the cause of all this mess.

insurance is nothing other than the gambling business. all an actuary does essentially is calculate risks and assign them certain values. that AIG's actuaries didn't perform well is why AIG is in the shitter. they defaulted to picking the proverbial fastest horse and not only did the horse not win, they had to shoot it coming around the far turn.

there's no single causative agent for the current mess; it's cumulative and has had lots of help from all kinds of businesses, politicians and plain old ordinary people.


Well it's hard to argue with that, where one accepts the premise...

The problem is cumulative, to be sure; but the snow ball started rolling when the GOVERNMENT offered the quasi- guarantees on sub-prime loans; this began a FESTIVAL OF writing actuarially untenable contracts... from the loans themselves, the insurance contracts which serves to limit unforeseen liability, to the equity instruments which sought to capitalize on the unprecedented increases in the growth rates of the values of the properties which were used to secure these loans. The value of the underlying security has collapsed, thus the security is no longer worth anywhere NEAR what was LOANED, let alone what was PROJECTED... and this is INTERNATIONALLY the case... not just limited to the US.

Again... The problem arose from the hyper-regulation by the ideological left, wherein they threatened Civil-Rights lawsuits to coerce the financial markets to execute actuarially untenable loans and doubled down on THAT INSANITY by GUARANTEEING THOSE LOANS through their quasi-governmental financing companies...

The simple fact is, it was absurd to use the power of government to coerce the banks to lend beyond sound actuarial thresholds, for the ridiculous purposes of advancing 'social justice' and it was EVEN MORE DELUSIONAL TO ADVANCE GOVERNMENT GUARANTEES AGAINST POTENTIAL LOSSES WHICH EVEN THE US MINT CAN'T COVER.

Once again, it shows the catastrophic results in allowing leftists ANYWHERE NEAR POWER.

Sure, the Banks screwed up... but their original sin was NOT FORCING THE LEFT IN CONGRESS TO SUE THEM; MAKING THE LEFT IN CONGRESS PRESENT THEIR ARGUMENTS; arguments which would have required them to show constitutional grounds in support of the Federal government's projected justification to force the private markets to make ridiculous loans, risking their money of their investors beyond ANY POTENTIALLY REASONABLE ACTUARIAL THRESHOLD for the purposes of serving social justice.

That way, either win or lose, the banks could would not be subject to this absurd projection where they are said to have just up and decided to shove their risk formulas in a drawer and start lending money to anyone that showed up. And the people RESPONSIBLE, the ideological left in the US Legislature, would be holding the bag in this robbery.
 
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What subprime loans did fannie and freddie offer backing on that the gvt quasi covered?

Fannie and freddie did not guarantee sub prime adjustable mortgages to any of the banks?

The government program to put more people in disadvantaged neighborhoods in to homes with Fannie involved CONVENTIONAL, 30 year mortgages....and they required proof of employment, and assets and credit rating scores and all that stuff....before fannie could buy them and all of these Thrifts and Mortgage Brokers and Banks KNEW THIS. These people did have below prime credit status, but they were not super high risk....and these people got in to their CONVENTIONAL mortgages at 1% point higher than the prime rate borrower....and IF they made their payments on time for 2 years straight, then their interest rate would be lowered by that 1%.....

THIS was the GVT's program that they had Fannie back.

care
 
arlen spector just said, let the employees sue for it. that is their legal recourse...

the gvt should stop them from happening, they are not binding under these circumstances...

if the gvt loses their case, they will get paid.

he said the proper procedures out there can handle this within the law...

In that way it is the lawyers that make out.. the people who have these in their contracts, would then have legal fees and would almost assuredly get less than what they were supposed to get

Whether Spector said it, or Obama, or W, or whomever is of no consequence... it seems more like a posture than reality... if it is in their contract, regardless of the situation of the company, they should get it...

Now do I think it is 'right' when the company is going down and taking taxpayer money?? Nope... I think, as said before, this should at least be a big lesson learned as to bonuses...

But the government, with ANY sort of research into the situation ahead of time WOULD KNOW about the bonuses as well as other financial obligations.. unless we fully believe they are that completely ignorant, this seems more like political posturing than anything else.. to seem like they are against it, even though they knew full well as they were preparing to throw money at this
 
Obama, Frank and lefties almost turned me into part of the raging mob on this one. But a little perspective people.

AIG was bailed by the left to the tune of about $170 billion. AIG is reported to owe apprixmately $165 Million in contracutal bonuses. Now, Obama is really pulling the wool over people's eyes when he says he is outraged that AIG is spending tax payer money on bonuses. Anyone care to do the math on the above and tell us what percentage of the bailout money is being spent on bonuses?

The other laugher is the implied contention that the taxpayers should be outraged at AIG for this infintecimal expenditure of the bailout money. WRONG Mr. President. The taxpayers should be outraged at YOU. Because it was YOU that decided to spend taxpayer money on them in the first place. We all know the bailout was never popular with the taxpayers.

I have posted this before, but it bares repeating as this a striking example. Milton Friedman said from most to least effective, there are 3 ways to spend money.

Spend your money on you.
Spend other people's money on you.
Spend other people's money on other people.

The bailout is obviously the last. Bailing out these companies is the equivalent if giving an allowance to a kid that didn't do his chores. Doing so simply reinforces bad behavior. Considering AIG needed to be bailed out in the first place, why is everyone so stunned that they are being irresponsible with what is essentially an incentive package to continue irresponsible behavior?

The next is that now are President apparently wants to set a precedent that the government can null legal contracts. The bonuses are money that AIG gaurunteed to there employees. Most of us agree it may not be the wisest in hind sight, but the fact is it is money they have a legal obligation to pay.

this is no different than when the left complained about Bush trying to sell us on WMDs in Iraq. We were sold on the bailout under the pretext that we faced imminent collapse if these companies weren't bailed out. We were sold that it wouldn't be as simple as AIG just going out of business, the entire economy would collapse. I even seen a good argument that, that is the case.
 
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Here is an informative article:

what’s good, what’s bad about the aig bailout
march 17, 2009 12:15 pm et | rick newman | permanent link | print

"there are times when one would like to hang the whole human race, and finish the farce.”

the latest surreal twists in the aig bailout bring to mind mark twain, who could spot folly as if he were hunting for it with a spyglass. Had twain had aig to work with as raw material, we’d probably have another couple dozen enduring epigrams skewering the greedy and the foolish.

Many americans would like to finish the farce and simply cut aig off, especially now that the company has paid $165 million in bonuses to executives at the very unit that nearly caused the firm’s downfall and triggered an unprecedented taxpayer bailout that now totals $170 billion. To almost everybody, it seems self-evident that traders shouldn’t be rewarded for wrecking their company and then burning through vast amounts of public funds. Yet aig insists it is legally obligated to pay the bonuses, because of contracts signed before the damage occurred and taxpayers got involved. There have also been suggestions that the rascals who devised these complex derivatives deals may be the only ones who know how to unwind them, so aig has no choice but to keep them around - and pay for the privilege of their company. In other words, the bonuses amount to extortion.

[see the real harm caused by the aig bonuses.]

okay. Breathe deep. Think calming thoughts. Find your center. Amidst this outrage, it’s worth keeping in mind that the aig bailout is actually doing some good. It’s also a kind of learn-as-you-go experiment that’s never really been done before. Here’s a rough scorecard of what’s working and what’s not:

What’s working

the aig bailout has helped stabilize the financial markets. Take a moment to revisit september 2008. That’s when lehman brothers failed, merrill lynch almost did, and aig would have been forced into a chaotic bankruptcy if the feds didn’t arrange an emergency $85 billion loan. With a bit of hindsight, it’s starting to seem that aig, which brokered more than $2.5 trillion worth of derivatives known as credit-default swaps held by many of the world’s biggest banks, was the death star of that troubled troika.

We’ve survived the lehman bankruptcy, after all, and merrill found a buyer. "the real surprise wasn't lehman brothers, it was aig," frederic mishkin, a columbia business school professor and former member of the federal reserve board, said in a recent speech. "who would have thought that an insurance company would have been affected by all this? When that happened, all bets were off."

[see why the merrill lynch bonuses are a watershed moment.]

all that federal money has helped aig redeem some of those derivatives contracts, getting them off its books and out of the system. The financial markets still aren’t back to normal, but they’re heading in that direction. Forestalling another industrial-strength financial failure, and the chain reaction it would have triggered if aig had collapsed, has certainly helped.

It’s also helping aig unwind itself. Aig’s problems snowballed in september when suddenly it had to produce billions of dollars worth of collateral to back up those credit-default swaps. The collateral call was triggered by an unexpected drop in aig’s credit rating, along with the plunge in value of mortage-backed securities around the world. Aig didn’t have the cash, and to come up with it, the only option would have been to sell off illiquid assets like its highly profitable insurance divisions or its aircraft leasing company. Try doing that in a week.

[see what’s coming next with the merrill lynch bonuses.]

had aig been forced to liquidate those assets, it would have had to accept fire-sale prices, which would have led to a sudden collapse in the prices of other similar assets and companies throughout the world. Aig would have gotten pennies on the dollar for valuable assets and many other businesses would suddenly have been devalued, too.

Aig is still in the process of selling off assets, to pay off the government loans that effectively served as its collateral. But it’s doing that in a more orderly way, seeking the highest bidders and the best terms. That’s generally good for everybody, and it’s also the best way for taxpayers to get most or all of their money back.

It’s keeping aig’s insurance businesses stable. Here’s something that’s really startling: The entire problem at aig was caused by one unit, the financial products division, whose employees constituted less than one percent of aig’s overall workforce. Aig’s insurance units – the core of its business – essentially had nothing to do with the fiasco. But if aig had been forced to liquidate, it could have affected the insurance units and millions of policyholders. With a more orderly process underway, the policyholders are now completely protected.

What’s not working

revolting bonuses. It simply goes without saying that giving bonuses to the people who brought down aig is a perversion of justice. Officials at the federal reserve and the treasury dept. Should have put terms into the original bailout agreement that prevented this. They didn’t. It was a chaotic time, and legitimate worries about a global financial collapse obviously clouded thoughts about rules to prevent rapacious traders from holding the government hostage. If it’s any consolation, the $165 million bonus pool is relatively small. Still, it grates.

[see 5 wall street fallacies.]

counterparty payouts. Aig has used much of the $170 billion in government aid to basically refund money to big banks and other “counterparties,” to cash out some of those credit-default swaps and reduce aig’s massive liabilities. That’s sensible, and it’s basically the original idea behind the “troubled assets relief program,” which was intended to get the worst derivatives and other securities off the market.

The problem is that the government has apparently agreed to $105 billion worth of payouts – at the full face value of the securities. That means that banks like goldman sachs, merrill lynch, societe general and deutsche bank – among the world’s most sophisticated investors – are taking no loss at all on securities that had a market value of half their face value or less when aig redeemed them in full. It’s like house prices falling in your neighborhood by 50 percent, and somebody coming in and buying one house for what it was worth at the market peak a couple years ago. And using a government loan to finance it.

Regulators at the fed, treasury, and other departments still haven’t explained why the counterparties got all their money back. They’re certainly going to be asked at upcoming congressional hearings. But in a situation where just about everybody is taking a loss – taxpayers and consumers especially – it will be tough to make a case that the world’s richest banks deserve full redemption.

Secrecy. We keep learning the terms of the aig bailout well after the fact. Obviously there are times when the feds need to move quickly and can’t have a 60-day comment period. But it’s not the same crisis atmosphere as last fall. In general, we should learn the details of the bailout as they occur.

Aig strongly resisted releasing the list of counterparties that have been paid back with bailout money, for instance. As recently as march 5, federal reserve vice chairman donald kohn defended that secrecy, saying that firms might be reluctant to deal with aig in the future if they knew their dealings could become public.

Then a week later, under mounting pressure, aig released a list of counterparties. The world didn’t end. Aig is also refusing to release the names of individuals in the financial products division who are getting bonuses. They may lose that battle too, since new york attorney general andrew cuomo has asked for the names and started an investigation, much as he has with merrill lynch. Information is going to come out one way or the other, and aig and its regulators should stop trying to protect the failing company any more than they already are. When aig pays back that $170 billion in taxpayer money, they can keep all the secrets they want. In fact, once we’ve got our money back, the less we hear about aig the better.
Feds Up AIG Bailout: 5 Things You Need to Know - The Home Front (usnews.com)
 
Obama, Frank and lefties almost turned me into part of the raging mob on this one. But a little perspective people.

AIG was bailed by the left to the tune of about $170 billion. AIG is reported to owe apprixmately $165 Million in contracutal bonuses. Now, Obama is really pulling the wool over people's eyes when he says he is outraged that AIG is spending tax payer money on bonuses. Anyone care to do the math on the above and tell us what percentage of the bailout money is being spent on bonuses?

The other laugher is the implied contention that the taxpayers should be outraged at AIG for this infintecimal expenditure of the bailout money. WRONG Mr. President. The taxpayers should be outraged at YOU. Because it was YOU that decided to spend taxpayer money on them in the first place. We all know the bailout was never popular with the taxpayers.

I have posted this before, but it bares repeating as this a striking example. Milton Friedman said from most to least effective, there are 3 ways to spend money.

Spend your money on you.
Spend other people's money on you.
Spend other people's money on other people.

The bailout is obviously the last. Bailing out these companies is the equivalent if giving an allowance to a kid that didn't do his chores. Doing so simply reinforces bad behavior. Considering AIG needed to be bailed out in the first place, why is everyone so stunned that they are being irresponsible with what is essentially an incentive package to continue irresponsible behavior?

The next is that now are President apparently wants to set a precedent that the government can null legal contracts. The bonuses are money that AIG gaurunteed to there employees. Most of us agree it may not be the wisest in hind sight, but the fact is it is money they have a legal obligation to pay.

YOU HAVE LOST YOUR MIND

the bush administration, secretary paulsen and the FED bailed Aig out...in sept and november of LAST YEAR bern???? do some reading....on it, i have posted several articles today... care
 
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Obama, Frank and lefties almost turned me into part of the raging mob on this one. But a little perspective people.

AIG was bailed by the left to the tune of about $170 billion. AIG is reported to owe apprixmately $165 Million in contracutal bonuses. Now, Obama is really pulling the wool over people's eyes when he says he is outraged that AIG is spending tax payer money on bonuses. Anyone care to do the math on the above and tell us what percentage of the bailout money is being spent on bonuses?

The other laugher is the implied contention that the taxpayers should be outraged at AIG for this infintecimal expenditure of the bailout money. WRONG Mr. President. The taxpayers should be outraged at YOU. Because it was YOU that decided to spend taxpayer money on them in the first place. We all know the bailout was never popular with the taxpayers.

I have posted this before, but it bares repeating as this a striking example. Milton Friedman said from most to least effective, there are 3 ways to spend money.

Spend your money on you.
Spend other people's money on you.
Spend other people's money on other people.

The bailout is obviously the last. Bailing out these companies is the equivalent if giving an allowance to a kid that didn't do his chores. Doing so simply reinforces bad behavior. Considering AIG needed to be bailed out in the first place, why is everyone so stunned that they are being irresponsible with what is essentially an incentive package to continue irresponsible behavior?

The next is that now are President apparently wants to set a precedent that the government can null legal contracts. The bonuses are money that AIG gaurunteed to there employees. Most of us agree it may not be the wisest in hind sight, but the fact is it is money they have a legal obligation to pay.

YOU HAVE LOST YOUR MIND

the bush administration, secretary paulsen and the FED bailed Aig out...in sept and november of LAST YEAR bern???? do some reading....on it, i have posted several articles today... care

i seem to recall the dem controled congress.....voted overwhelmingly for this plan......
 
i seem to recall the dem controled congress.....voted overwhelmingly for this plan......
You remember wrong. There was no vote on the AIG bailout.

the 750 billion bank bailout had no vote......
No, you're confused. The $750 billion one was the one McCain suspended his campaign for to fly back to Washington to vote for. The Federal Reserve bailed out AIG. Wiki it.
 
i seem to recall the dem controled congress.....voted overwhelmingly for this plan......
You remember wrong. There was no vote on the AIG bailout.

you're absolutely right. tim "turbotax" geithner put it together when he was with the fed. once he was sectreas, he bravely fought on for the sanctity of outrageous bonuses for underperforming CEOs. :lol:
 
You remember wrong. There was no vote on the AIG bailout.

the 750 billion bank bailout had no vote......
No, you're confused. The $750 billion one was the one McCain suspended his campaign for to fly back to Washington to vote for. The Federal Reserve bailed out AIG. Wiki it.

so you are saying the funds given to aig were not a part of the 750 billion tarp funds that mcain and obama flew back to vote on......that the fed reserve just took it upon themselves to pass out 150 billion to aig that had nothing to do with the 750 billion tarp package ......
 

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