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Insiders Donald Trump has peaked - Katie Glueck - POLITICO
(Those who know what the Politico Caucus series does will know that they conduct confidential interviews with insiders from both major parties from Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two primary/caucus states in the nation)
But, there are lots of other points posited in the article that make it worth reading. Not everyone is convinced that Trump has peaked, and neither am I.
Some more interesting stuff:
And this:
And I find this idea especially interesting, and how knows, maybe it will be so:
More at the link.
Remember, these are confidential interviews that Politico does with party operatives in both of those states, people who are active at the ground-level right now. In other words, people with a birdseye view of the politics within their respective states.
Read, then discuss.
(Those who know what the Politico Caucus series does will know that they conduct confidential interviews with insiders from both major parties from Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two primary/caucus states in the nation)
About three quarters of Republican early-state insiders say they believe Donald Trump has peaked — but many acknowledge that may also be wishful thinking.
That’s the assessment from this week’s POLITICO Caucus, our weekly bipartisan survey of the top operatives, strategists and activists in Iowa and New Hampshire.
The controversial real estate mogul and GOP presidential candidate provoked some caucus insiders into offering expletives and other colorful language when asked whether Trump has hit his ceiling.
“The McCain smear and giving out Graham’s cellphone? What an asshole,” vented a New Hampshire Republican, who says Trump has peaked. “Trumpism does not represent some deeper sentiment within the party, nor has he tapped into something a more conventional candidate can now co-opt. His candidacy has as much substance and meaning as cotton candy. I didn’t like him before. Now I loathe him.”
But, there are lots of other points posited in the article that make it worth reading. Not everyone is convinced that Trump has peaked, and neither am I.
Some more interesting stuff:
...on Thursday, he descended — with classic Trump bravado — on the U.S.-Mexico border after repeatedly inveighing against illegal immigrants with particularly heated rhetoric.
He was greeted in Laredo by several people who gave him the middle finger.
“I hope and pray that he has peaked,” added another Granite State Republican, who like all participants was granted anonymity in order to speak freely. “The GOP has a chance in 2016 and it diminishes each time Trump increases his poll numbers.”
And this:
The numbers overall were about reversed among Democrats, who are enjoying watching Republicans grapple with Trump — 74 percent of them said he isn’t done yet.
“GOP establishment (especially in early states) and some media are in a panic right now about Trump, and are quick to develop a storyline that he can’t last,” said a New Hampshire Democrat, who like all participants answered through an online submission form. “The truth is otherwise. The base loves him, he keeps showing top tier status nationally and in early states, he (like Hillary) has 100 percent name ID, and unlike all others, doesn’t need either traditional donors or dark money ones. While there are some parallels to [Ross] Perot, this is a new phenomenon and existing precedent doesn’t apply. Who knows where this goes?”
And I find this idea especially interesting, and how knows, maybe it will be so:
Thanks in part to Donald Trump, not qualifying for the first debate is not necessarily fatal …
Eighty percent of New Hampshire Republicans, and 76 percent of Iowa Republicans, say candidates who don’t poll high enough to qualify for the first presidential primary debate on Aug. 6 are not doomed — especially because, several predicted, Trump will steal the spotlight anyway.
“The more the first debate is dominated by Trump, the less damaging non-inclusion will be,” said one Iowa Republican.
More at the link.
Remember, these are confidential interviews that Politico does with party operatives in both of those states, people who are active at the ground-level right now. In other words, people with a birdseye view of the politics within their respective states.
Read, then discuss.