Official Swing states thread

Exit Polls 2008: See The Full Results


Of course these are just exit polls, I don't believe them for a second, but it's nice to look at. :D


The head to head exit polls just were sent to the Huffington Post by a Democratic source. These are traditionally unreliable and should be taken with a grain of salt (see: Kerry's winning margins in 2004). For what it's worth, they project a big night for Obama in several of the key swing states.


The states looking good for Obama:
Florida: 52 percent to 44 percent
Iowa: 52 percent to 48 percent
Missouri: 52 percent to 48 percent
North Carolina: 52 percent to 48 percent
New Hampshire: 57 percent to 43 percent
Nevada: 55 percent to 45 percent
Pennsylvania: 57 percent to 42 percent
Ohio: 54 percent to 45 percent
Wisconsin: 58 percent to 42 percent
Indiana: 52 percent to 48 percent
New Mexico: 56 percent to 43 percent
Minnesota: 60 percent to 39 percent
 
Here's what McCain must take to win:


North Carolina
Red

Florida
Red

Virginia
Blue if he flips PA, otherwise Red and must take CO

Pennsylvania
Blue if he takes VA, otherwise Red and must take NV

Ohio
Red

Missouri
Red

Iowa
Blue

New Mexico
Blue

Colorado
Red with VA

Arizona
Red

Nevada
Blue with VA and CO and w/o PA, must be Red with Pa and w/o VA or CO


There are of course other combinations that work, but these are the most likely of the unlikely.
 
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