But Trump ate pizza with a fork!Stock market is creeping up, trumps tariffs are working, low minority unemployment.....I just don't see any reason democrats will do well at all.
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But Trump ate pizza with a fork!Stock market is creeping up, trumps tariffs are working, low minority unemployment.....I just don't see any reason democrats will do well at all.
/----/ "Warning! “Conservatives” who constantly search for things to be afraid of..." That makes no sense. It's libtards who are always afraid of things from the climate, Suvs, Coal fired plants, lower taxes, to guns, to freedom of speech and the Pro Life movement.Warning! “Conservatives” who constantly search for things to be afraid of will not be able to read this all the way through.
A report CBS probably wishes it never let see the light of day, says its polling “expert” doesn’t see a blue wave; in fact, a careful reading of the CBS report says a red wave may very well be on its way.
CBS has adopted the LA Times/USC Dornsife method of polling by compiling a large sample of respondents who are willing to be polled periodically on a continuous basis.
What CBS found is that there is no groundswell of voters itching to vote Democrat in the 25 “Battleground” Congressional districts it has focused on.
To give the left every chance to prevail, CBS has been polling only in Republican held seats identified by the left leaning Charlie Cook as “toss ups.”
Of the 25 seats, Cook assigns a partisan edge of +5 for Democrats in one and +1 for Democrats in another.
There are four seats rated EVEN by Cook.
There are 19 districts Cook gives a partisan edge of between one point and 3 points to Republicans.
In 6 districts Cook assigns a partisan edge of 4 or more to Republicans.
This means these districts already vote Republican and already have a Republican incumbent so naming only them as “toss ups” is based on wishful thinking.
In a recently posted article the New York Times wrote about the likelihood of two Minnesota Congressional districts flipping from Democrat to Republican.
It also added there are two Nevada seats, one Pennsylvania seat, one Florida seat, and one Arizona seat that could flip from Democrat to Republican as well.
But the bad news for those looking for something to be afraid of doesn’t stop there.
Last week the Politico posted a story that breathlessly described how the Democrats were “cutting into the GOP’s longstanding turnout advantage in midterm elections.
They called this “another encouraging sign for the minority party’s hopes of winning the House in November.”
That’s where the good news for Democrats ended.
The next paragraphs told of a “big jump” in Democrat enthusiasm.
In effect, it said Democrats were now ONLY down 9 points to Republicans in enthusiasm at 75/66 in the “very motivated to vote” category.
After that the “report” reverted to the type of murky semi-sensical language the Democrat controlled media uses to hide the truth.
The writer immediately contradicted himself by saying Democrats are just 3 points behind at 75/72 in enthusiasm.
So, the question becomes why talk about being behind 75/66 first when the real numbers are 75/72?
Answer: Because the 75/66 number is the true one.
On top of this the Democrat generic lead is gone (yes, they are up by 2.25% but that is way off what they need to win back the House); and Black support for Donald Trump is at 36% in the Rasmussen survey.
There is no question that this will translate into an advantage for Republicans. African Americans want the same of life that everyone else does.
They want a job and a growing economy to raise a family in.
Clearly Blacks are beginning to recognize it is Trump’s policies that are bringing them closer to their goals.
They will support the candidates Trump endorses.
............................
The Cook Political Index (CPI)is an historical index. It’s a good metric because voters tend to vote the same way that they voted last time. Except when they don’t. Additionally, turnout is always less in midterm elections compared with Presidential elections. Turnout in midterm elections tend to favor the Republicans, historically Democrats stay at home for the midterms. These polls are showing that it looks like this year will probably be a typical midterm election and people will vote the way that they voted in 2016. That means another Red Wave, not a Blue Wave.
The media have been telling us that there will be a Blue Wave because that’s what they want to happen, not necessarily what will happen. More likely, the reports of Democrat enthusiasm are exaggerated and Democrats will behave in line with historic midterms.
The point is now though that the blue wave is a mirage put forward by the far left operatives (gay Robby Mook's Mafia) to try to spur actual momentum.Well, we'll know a lot more in about 10 weeks.
This is all just noise.
/----/ "Warning! “Conservatives” who constantly search for things to be afraid of..." That makes no sense. It's libtards who are always afraid of things from the climate, Suvs, Coal fired plants, lower taxes, to guns, to freedom of speech and the Pro Life movement.Warning! “Conservatives” who constantly search for things to be afraid of will not be able to read this all the way through.
A report CBS probably wishes it never let see the light of day, says its polling “expert” doesn’t see a blue wave; in fact, a careful reading of the CBS report says a red wave may very well be on its way.
CBS has adopted the LA Times/USC Dornsife method of polling by compiling a large sample of respondents who are willing to be polled periodically on a continuous basis.
What CBS found is that there is no groundswell of voters itching to vote Democrat in the 25 “Battleground” Congressional districts it has focused on.
To give the left every chance to prevail, CBS has been polling only in Republican held seats identified by the left leaning Charlie Cook as “toss ups.”
Of the 25 seats, Cook assigns a partisan edge of +5 for Democrats in one and +1 for Democrats in another.
There are four seats rated EVEN by Cook.
There are 19 districts Cook gives a partisan edge of between one point and 3 points to Republicans.
In 6 districts Cook assigns a partisan edge of 4 or more to Republicans.
This means these districts already vote Republican and already have a Republican incumbent so naming only them as “toss ups” is based on wishful thinking.
In a recently posted article the New York Times wrote about the likelihood of two Minnesota Congressional districts flipping from Democrat to Republican.
It also added there are two Nevada seats, one Pennsylvania seat, one Florida seat, and one Arizona seat that could flip from Democrat to Republican as well.
But the bad news for those looking for something to be afraid of doesn’t stop there.
Last week the Politico posted a story that breathlessly described how the Democrats were “cutting into the GOP’s longstanding turnout advantage in midterm elections.
They called this “another encouraging sign for the minority party’s hopes of winning the House in November.”
That’s where the good news for Democrats ended.
The next paragraphs told of a “big jump” in Democrat enthusiasm.
In effect, it said Democrats were now ONLY down 9 points to Republicans in enthusiasm at 75/66 in the “very motivated to vote” category.
After that the “report” reverted to the type of murky semi-sensical language the Democrat controlled media uses to hide the truth.
The writer immediately contradicted himself by saying Democrats are just 3 points behind at 75/72 in enthusiasm.
So, the question becomes why talk about being behind 75/66 first when the real numbers are 75/72?
Answer: Because the 75/66 number is the true one.
On top of this the Democrat generic lead is gone (yes, they are up by 2.25% but that is way off what they need to win back the House); and Black support for Donald Trump is at 36% in the Rasmussen survey.
There is no question that this will translate into an advantage for Republicans. African Americans want the same of life that everyone else does.
They want a job and a growing economy to raise a family in.
Clearly Blacks are beginning to recognize it is Trump’s policies that are bringing them closer to their goals.
They will support the candidates Trump endorses.
............................
The Cook Political Index (CPI)is an historical index. It’s a good metric because voters tend to vote the same way that they voted last time. Except when they don’t. Additionally, turnout is always less in midterm elections compared with Presidential elections. Turnout in midterm elections tend to favor the Republicans, historically Democrats stay at home for the midterms. These polls are showing that it looks like this year will probably be a typical midterm election and people will vote the way that they voted in 2016. That means another Red Wave, not a Blue Wave.
The media have been telling us that there will be a Blue Wave because that’s what they want to happen, not necessarily what will happen. More likely, the reports of Democrat enthusiasm are exaggerated and Democrats will behave in line with historic midterms.
Have you seen the evidence Mueller has collected?We'll see. So far I haven't seen anything that puts Trump in a bad light on this Russia collusion thing. And on the "obstruction" thing Comey was basically a twat, everyone in the country on all sides of the aisle thought so at some point or another - right up until the MSM suggested it could be obstruction anyway, then he was "wrongfully terminated"
As far as Manafort cheating on his taxes years ago, I doubt too many are going to care really. I bet every single one of us has probably fucked up our taxes somehow in the past 30 years. There's a reason that H&R Block offers "tax fuck up insurance" the laws are damn near impossible to keep on top of heh
Unlike Comey who never saw a camera he didn’t like, Mueller keeps his mouth shut as he methodically builds a case
/——-/ Thank you Captain Obvious/----/ And if you can just pick out the 6 correct numbers you can win the Powerball for $100 million. What's so tough about that?Some interesting statistics
- The Dems need to win 24 seats to regain control of the House
- The average swing in seats when a new President takes power two years later is 33 seats towards the party out of power.
- 44 Republican Congressmen are retiring, by far and away the most this century. 20 Democrats are retiring
- According to the Cook Report, 37 Republican-held seats are toss-ups, leaning or likely Democrat. There are 3 Democrat seats that are toss-ups, leaning or likely Republican.
- The average swing in all the House special elections since Trump was elected has been 15 points to the Democrats. In 2016, 38 Republicans won by 15 points or less.
Congressional elections are decided by who gets the most votes not a electoral college.
/----/ "That’s not even debatable. " Well if Taz says we can't debate it, I guess we can't.The Democrats will gain seats in the House. That’s not even debatable. The Senate is up in the air at this point
View attachment 212022
The point is now though that the blue wave is a mirage put forward by the far left operatives (gay Robby Mook's Mafia) to try to spur actual momentum.Well, we'll know a lot more in about 10 weeks.
This is all just noise.
I maintain that one story about trannies (deranged males) dominating women's rights to privacy in their intimate hygiene reserves & "the blue wave " will flatline. Just like 2016.
Or maybe just a prosecution of some parade participants with photo proof of indecent exposure to kids they invited to watch.? Mix it up a little.
Well with thevFed having "0" interest rates for most of the kenyans terms, you would have thought our GDP would have been a consistent 4-6% a year.....nowhere near that!/----/ "That’s not even debatable. " Well if Taz says we can't debate it, I guess we can't.The Democrats will gain seats in the House. That’s not even debatable. The Senate is up in the air at this point
View attachment 212022
The trouble is that the economy was growing under Obama was well. You also forgot about healthcare which voters trust Democrats more than Republicans and even on taxes, Republicans and Democrats are about equal.
You know I have a handful of young people who I'm in regular contact with. I've noticed something funny since the GOP took the momentum away from the crazy train on the far left.Most people between the ages of 18-29 vote blue. They have seen Capitalism fail and now feel as though it doesn't work. Thank you, Bush. Bail outs are not good optics. Usually by the time they reach 40 they understand that capitalism does work and vote the other way but not always. I voted Blue a lot until the most recent elections. Now I will never vote Blue again.
/——/ Libs think it was Obozo’s investment brilliance and not QE that led to the market run up.Well with thevFed having "0" interest rates for most of the kenyans terms, you would have thought our GDP would have been a consistent 4-6% a year.....nowhere near that!/----/ "That’s not even debatable. " Well if Taz says we can't debate it, I guess we can't.The Democrats will gain seats in the House. That’s not even debatable. The Senate is up in the air at this point
View attachment 212022
The trouble is that the economy was growing under Obama was well. You also forgot about healthcare which voters trust Democrats more than Republicans and even on taxes, Republicans and Democrats are about equal.
/——-/ Well if that’s the case Hildabeast should have won in a landslide because Trump promised to end Obozocare/----/ "That’s not even debatable. " Well if Taz says we can't debate it, I guess we can't.The Democrats will gain seats in the House. That’s not even debatable. The Senate is up in the air at this point
View attachment 212022
The trouble is that the economy was growing under Obama was well. You also forgot about healthcare which voters trust Democrats more than Republicans and even on taxes, Republicans and Democrats are about equal.
/——/ Yeah that’s why we have to explain the EC to sore loser democrats 24/7 because we don’t understand the difference in presidential and all other Elections Bwhahahaha Bwhahahaha/——-/ Thank you Captain Obvious/----/ And if you can just pick out the 6 correct numbers you can win the Powerball for $100 million. What's so tough about that?Some interesting statistics
- The Dems need to win 24 seats to regain control of the House
- The average swing in seats when a new President takes power two years later is 33 seats towards the party out of power.
- 44 Republican Congressmen are retiring, by far and away the most this century. 20 Democrats are retiring
- According to the Cook Report, 37 Republican-held seats are toss-ups, leaning or likely Democrat. There are 3 Democrat seats that are toss-ups, leaning or likely Republican.
- The average swing in all the House special elections since Trump was elected has been 15 points to the Democrats. In 2016, 38 Republicans won by 15 points or less.
Congressional elections are decided by who gets the most votes not a electoral college.
Trump supporters don't seem to understand that. I guess they are too dumb.
/——/ No one is abandoning anything Spanky. Grow upThe point is now though that the blue wave is a mirage put forward by the far left operatives (gay Robby Mook's Mafia) to try to spur actual momentum.Well, we'll know a lot more in about 10 weeks.
This is all just noise.
I maintain that one story about trannies (deranged males) dominating women's rights to privacy in their intimate hygiene reserves & "the blue wave " will flatline. Just like 2016.
Or maybe just a prosecution of some parade participants with photo proof of indecent exposure to kids they invited to watch.? Mix it up a little.
It is not a mirage. The only question is how big it will be. Republicans are prepared to abandon at least a dozen Republican held seats to try to hold onto a narrow majority.
/----/ "That’s not even debatable. " Well if Taz says we can't debate it, I guess we can't.The Democrats will gain seats in the House. That’s not even debatable. The Senate is up in the air at this point
View attachment 212022
The trouble is that the economy was growing under Obama was well. You also forgot about healthcare which voters trust Democrats more than Republicans and even on taxes, Republicans and Democrats are about equal.
This is the way to think. It makes the day after so much more enjoyable.The trouble is that the economy was growing under Obama was well. You also forgot about healthcare which voters trust Democrats more than Republicans and even on taxes, Republicans and Democrats are about equal.