Nate Silver...Trump 54.9...Beast 45,1

RCP just now and 538.com still 54.6 for HRC

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

4-Way RCP Average 42.9 41.2 Clinton +1.7
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

Favorability Ratings -14.8 -21.8 Clinton +7.0
Betting Odds 65.0 35.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 198 165 Clinton +33
No Toss Up States 272 266

Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.
 
RCP just now and 538.com still 54.6 for HRC

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

4-Way RCP Average 42.9 41.2 Clinton +1.7
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

Favorability Ratings -14.8 -21.8 Clinton +7.0
Betting Odds 65.0 35.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 198 165 Clinton +33
No Toss Up States 272 266

Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.
Yes, you would think that.
 
Just now from 538 who would win today



Chance of winning

clinton-alligator.png

Hillary Clinton

50.6%

Donald Trump

49.3%

trump-alligator.png
 
RCP just now and 538.com still 54.6 for HRC

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

4-Way RCP Average 42.9 41.2 Clinton +1.7
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

Favorability Ratings -14.8 -21.8 Clinton +7.0
Betting Odds 65.0 35.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 198 165 Clinton +33
No Toss Up States 272 266

Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.

You just lied. You are no better than Comrade Trump.
 
RCP just now and 538.com still 54.6 for HRC

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

4-Way RCP Average 42.9 41.2 Clinton +1.7
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

Favorability Ratings -14.8 -21.8 Clinton +7.0
Betting Odds 65.0 35.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 198 165 Clinton +33
No Toss Up States 272 266

Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.

You just lied. You are no better than Comrade Trump.
And what did I just lie about?
 
On the Presidential debate tonight:
If you like the trade deals we have had these past 28 years, the loss of jobs and corporations to China, Mexico and the rest of the globe, if you like the stagnation of wages the working class has had for the past 40 years, if you like the fact that Obama doubled our national debt and is working hard to bring in hundreds of thousands of unchecked "refugees" then you will likely think Hillary won.
If you have a brain you know Trump won.
 
RCP just now and 538.com still 54.6 for HRC

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

4-Way RCP Average 42.9 41.2 Clinton +1.7
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

Favorability Ratings -14.8 -21.8 Clinton +7.0
Betting Odds 65.0 35.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 198 165 Clinton +33
No Toss Up States 272 266

Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.

You just lied. You are no better than Comrade Trump.
And what did I just lie about?

TRUMP IS NOT LEADING ACCORDING TO 538.COM. The numbers you posted were reversed. Please don't switch numbers. It is so....Trumpian...
 
RCP just now and 538.com still 54.6 for HRC

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.2 44.0 Clinton +2.2
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

4-Way RCP Average 42.9 41.2 Clinton +1.7
bg_election_2010_trend_down_dem.gif

Favorability Ratings -14.8 -21.8 Clinton +7.0
Betting Odds 65.0 35.0

Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 198 165 Clinton +33
No Toss Up States 272 266

Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.
Yes, you would think that.
Yeah, and so would ANY intelligent person. A poll from a month ago (or even a week ago) is going to be totally irrelevant to NOW. Are you really that dumb?
 
Real Clear is a joke, you can't go by their averages they keep removing polls and adding polls and some of them are old polls
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.

You just lied. You are no better than Comrade Trump.
And what did I just lie about?

TRUMP IS NOT LEADING ACCORDING TO 538.COM. The numbers you posted were reversed. Please don't switch numbers. It is so....Trumpian...
What numbers? Where's my post?
 
We know you don't understand averaging.
Averaging doesn't mean shit unless the polls used in the averaging are all current.

You just lied. You are no better than Comrade Trump.
And what did I just lie about?

TRUMP IS NOT LEADING ACCORDING TO 538.COM. The numbers you posted were reversed. Please don't switch numbers. It is so....Trumpian...
What numbers? Where's my post?

Sorry, I got you mixed up with Vigil, who posted this as the OP....Nate Silver...Trump 54.9...Beast 45,1
That was a lie!

My Bad.
 
Trump did not lose any voters last night, but he did not gain any. I think that Clinton gained a lot of voters after they consider what they saw and heard, and measure the lies that Trump blurted out.
 
Trump did not lose any voters last night, but he did not gain any. I think that Clinton gained a lot of voters after they consider what they saw and heard, and measure the lies that Trump blurted out.

Agreed...and I think we will see it in the polls in the coming days and weeks. He will keep his cult and the Alt Right. But this is not the GOP Primaries. He could make blunders in the GOP Primary and not get hurt, but this debate made a lot of undecided chose her tonight. The polls will bear it out.
 

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