Math Says It's Impossible For Obama to Win

Leweman

Gold Member
Aug 5, 2010
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With many current polls oversampling dems by 10 percent when the likely voters will most like be even or +1 or2 for pubs, Obama is still only up by 3 percent on average. The undecideds always break big time against the Incumbent. This alone will most likely give Romney a 4 to 5 percent extra vote on election day. That doesn't even include the adjustment for accurate voter turnout. At this rate Obama is going to get crushed. It looks like Romney is going to get about 51-53 percent of the vote. This is before the debates where Obama will be awful at best if he does as well as his other interviews.
 
No, VOTE! But let us just see if Sheldon Adelson : can buy a president.

He is the first person to spend $70 million to sway a presidential election, and he plans to spend more — perhaps as much as $100 million — by Election Day.

Read more: Sheldon Adelson: Inside the mind of the mega-donor - Mike Allen - POLITICO.com
 
So this is just your theory..

You should keep things like this to yourself, it makes you look foolish. :lol:

Keep thinking otherwise ... and on election day when I'm right? What will you say then?
 
With many current polls oversampling dems by 10 percent when the likely voters will most like be even or +1 or2 for pubs, Obama is still only up by 3 percent on average. The undecideds always break big time against the Incumbent. This alone will most likely give Romney a 4 to 5 percent extra vote on election day. That doesn't even include the adjustment for accurate voter turnout. At this rate Obama is going to get crushed. It looks like Romney is going to get about 51-53 percent of the vote. This is before the debates where Obama will be awful at best if he does as well as his other interviews.

Wow, that's a nutty way to look at this. Democrats are "oversampled" because there are more folks affiliating with Democrats with Republicans. This has been verified by polls using a broad spectrum of sampling. Do you understand how statistical analyses work?

BTW, the polls that skew toward Romney have one thing in common--they use robo-calls, and they do not call cell telephones. They only contact households that still have landlines, which tend to be older, white, and rural. Those polls effectively ignore about 35% of the voting population.

Do some research, for God's sake.
 
With many current polls oversampling dems by 10 percent when the likely voters will most like be even or +1 or2 for pubs, Obama is still only up by 3 percent on average. The undecideds always break big time against the Incumbent. This alone will most likely give Romney a 4 to 5 percent extra vote on election day. That doesn't even include the adjustment for accurate voter turnout. At this rate Obama is going to get crushed. It looks like Romney is going to get about 51-53 percent of the vote. This is before the debates where Obama will be awful at best if he does as well as his other interviews.

Wow, that's a nutty way to look at this. Democrats are "oversampled" because there are more folks affiliating with Democrats with Republicans. This has been verified by polls using a broad spectrum of sampling. Do you understand how statistical analyses work?

BTW, the polls that skew toward Romney have one thing in common--they use robo-calls, and they do not call cell telephones. They only contact households that still have landlines, which tend to be older, white, and rural. Those polls effectively ignore about 35% of the voting population.

Do some research, for God's sake.

Yep and they over adjust because of that or some other reason. Polls say there are more republican's now than democrats. The first time in a long time. Polls say there are more conservatives than liberals. Nothing new there though. That's always been the case. Do some research, for God's sake!
 
No, VOTE! But let us just see if Sheldon Adelson : can buy a president.

He is the first person to spend $70 million to sway a presidential election, and he plans to spend more — perhaps as much as $100 million — by Election Day.

Read more: Sheldon Adelson: Inside the mind of the mega-donor - Mike Allen - POLITICO.com

My old Boss has already raised over $50MM to defeat Obama
 
The polls are skewed toward democrats because obama won the last election. Whatever the raw data is, has the percentage attributed to obama according to what percentage he won that state last time. Liberals with few exceptions are in control of the media. We know only what they tell us.
 
So this is just your theory..

You should keep things like this to yourself, it makes you look foolish. :lol:

Keep thinking otherwise ... and on election day when I'm right? What will you say then?

Why wait for election night? I'm saying you're just laying the groundwork for "proving" Obama stole the election. :cool:

all one has to do is watch how he poss over the course of time. male koshergirl.
 
Yep and they over adjust because of that or some other reason. Polls say there are more republican's now than democrats. The first time in a long time. Polls say there are more conservatives than liberals. Nothing new there though. That's always been the case. Do some research, for God's sake!

What makes you think that people in a constant quest to spend money they didn't earn would bother to do their own research?
 
The polls are skewed toward democrats because obama won the last election. Whatever the raw data is, has the percentage attributed to obama according to what percentage he won that state last time. Liberals with few exceptions are in control of the media. We know only what they tell us.

Please stop posting until you wake up from your persistent vegetative state.
 
Nobody but 0bama fluffers believe the democratics will get +6 to +11 turnout over the republicans on election day...

But they're not very bright to begin with....
 
With many current polls oversampling dems by 10 percent when the likely voters will most like be even or +1 or2 for pubs, Obama is still only up by 3 percent on average. The undecideds always break big time against the Incumbent. This alone will most likely give Romney a 4 to 5 percent extra vote on election day. That doesn't even include the adjustment for accurate voter turnout. At this rate Obama is going to get crushed. It looks like Romney is going to get about 51-53 percent of the vote. This is before the debates where Obama will be awful at best if he does as well as his other interviews.

Wow, that's a nutty way to look at this. Democrats are "oversampled" because there are more folks affiliating with Democrats with Republicans. This has been verified by polls using a broad spectrum of sampling. Do you understand how statistical analyses work?

BTW, the polls that skew toward Romney have one thing in common--they use robo-calls, and they do not call cell telephones. They only contact households that still have landlines, which tend to be older, white, and rural. Those polls effectively ignore about 35% of the voting population.

Do some research, for God's sake.

Yep and they over adjust because of that or some other reason. Polls say there are more republican's now than democrats. The first time in a long time. Polls say there are more conservatives than liberals. Nothing new there though. That's always been the case. Do some research, for God's sake!

link(s) please
 
Wow, that's a nutty way to look at this. Democrats are "oversampled" because there are more folks affiliating with Democrats with Republicans. This has been verified by polls using a broad spectrum of sampling. Do you understand how statistical analyses work?

BTW, the polls that skew toward Romney have one thing in common--they use robo-calls, and they do not call cell telephones. They only contact households that still have landlines, which tend to be older, white, and rural. Those polls effectively ignore about 35% of the voting population.

Do some research, for God's sake.

Yep and they over adjust because of that or some other reason. Polls say there are more republican's now than democrats. The first time in a long time. Polls say there are more conservatives than liberals. Nothing new there though. That's always been the case. Do some research, for God's sake!

link(s) please

Partisan Trends - Rasmussen Reports™

During August, 37.6% of Americans considered themselves Republicans. That’s up from 34.9% in July and 35.4% in June. It’s also the largest number of Republicans ever recorded by Rasmussen Report since monthly tracking began in November 2002. The previous peak for the GOP was 37.3% in September 2004. See History of Party Trends.



Pry won't do you any good since it's accurate over a long period. And that accurateness is even skewed against pubs
 
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