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I mean.....holy fuck! Imagine 24/7/365 being wired in such a way...........reminds me of the Italian folks here in Brooklyn when you go to a wake. The wiring is just set for all hysterical all the time. The handful of those washwomen who show up to the supermarket and are pulling around 4 shopping carts because a 6" snowstorm is coming. We all know the type...........these are the same people you find in here waiting for the house to fall out of the sky on their heads.
One year increase after a 14 year decline does not make it an emergency or unusual... Freaking moron... Still within known Natural Variation cycle limits..
We've only been naming storms now for about 20 years and three years ago they lowered the limits at which storms were named.. So by design there would be an increase in named storms..
More alarmist bull shit....
Dr Curry just tore into this meme and showed how it was crap. There is no link proven at this time.. Even the boys over at the Boulder Co AP lab say there is no link..
Clearly we need more data, but it's really more of an exercise than it is required support for climate theory. We already know that warmer water will lead to stronger hurricanes, and we know the water is warming.
See, this is one of the reasons you sound so very stupid whenever you open your mouth about this topic. ONe scientist or even a few saying they don't agree with something does not make it "untrue". that's the ultimate absurdity of your own "arguments to authority"... you think presenting a tiny fraction of dissenting opinion proves something false, when, in reality, if the "authority of scientists" is what actually compelled you, you would agree with the overwhelming consensus. Are you even fooling yourself with this nonsense?Dr Curry just tore into this meme and showed how it was crap. There is no link proven at this time.. Even the boys over at the Boulder Co AP lab say there is no link..
Clearly we need more data, but it's really more of an exercise than it is required support for climate theory. We already know that warmer water will lead to stronger hurricanes, and we know the water is warming.
So, Curry has gone from peer reviewed journals to WUWT. In your world that would seem to represent a step up. For the rest of us out here in reality, that is a sad progression.As usual Dr Judith Curry puts the hype into perspective...
"The group that I like is really the NOAA group in Boulder, who looks at the historical record and tries to see is there anything unusual. Looking back a hundred years, is this exceptional in any way? If it is not particularly exceptional, given the record we have for the last hundred years, then it’s hard to argue that climate changed. Occasionally we do get genuinely record-breaking events. Then we need to trace back to what was the atmospheric dynamics, and whatever that contributed to that event and you need to tease it out. It needs a lot of detective work.
There is this new movement to use climate models with natural variability, and then human-caused global warming, but these same climate models they’re using can’t resolve these extreme events. They can’t produce hurricanes, they don’t have the right event-weather distribution to provide heatwaves. It is just Voodoo statistics that they’re playing with these models — which do not have the capability to predict these extreme events in the current climate or an unperturbed climate anyways. I’m not very impressed with the model-based attribution arguments. Carefully-constructed diagnostic analysis and comparisons with historical events — to me those are of much more value."
Dr Curry operates a hurricane and weather forecasting business now after being the director of a major college science program and she hits the nail right on the head. NATURAL VARIATION...
Cutting through the myths about Irma, Harvey, and climate change.
See, this is one of the reasons you sound so very stupid whenever you open your mouth about this topic. ONe scientist or even a few saying they don't agree with something does not make it "untrue". that's the ultimate absurdity of your own "arguments to authority"... you think presenting a tiny fraction of dissenting opinion proves something false, when, in reality, if the "authority of scientists" is what actually compelled you, you would agree with the overwhelming consensus. Are you even fooling yourself with this nonsense?Dr Curry just tore into this meme and showed how it was crap. There is no link proven at this time.. Even the boys over at the Boulder Co AP lab say there is no link..
Clearly we need more data, but it's really more of an exercise than it is required support for climate theory. We already know that warmer water will lead to stronger hurricanes, and we know the water is warming.
And, of course , there is and will be a link, as the simple principle that warmer water will, on the average, lead to more intense hurricanes is a well-known fact. Time will yield the data which demonstrates it, but it is only an exercise. this is accepted fact.
And what the hell is "Boulder Co AP lab"? I am going to scrutinize your claim.
See, this is one of the reasons you sound so very stupid whenever you open your mouth about this topic. ONe scientist or even a few saying they don't agree with something does not make it "untrue". that's the ultimate absurdity of your own "arguments to authority"... you think presenting a tiny fraction of dissenting opinion proves something false, when, in reality, if the "authority of scientists" is what actually compelled you, you would agree with the overwhelming consensus. Are you even fooling yourself with this nonsense?Dr Curry just tore into this meme and showed how it was crap. There is no link proven at this time.. Even the boys over at the Boulder Co AP lab say there is no link..
Clearly we need more data, but it's really more of an exercise than it is required support for climate theory. We already know that warmer water will lead to stronger hurricanes, and we know the water is warming.
And, of course , there is and will be a link, as the simple principle that warmer water will, on the average, lead to more intense hurricanes is a well-known fact. Time will yield the data which demonstrates it, but it is only an exercise. this is accepted fact.
And what the hell is "Boulder Co AP lab"? I am going to scrutinize your claim.
See, this is one of the reasons you sound so very stupid whenever you open your mouth about this topic. ONe scientist or even a few saying they don't agree with something does not make it "untrue". that's the ultimate absurdity of your own "arguments to authority"... you think presenting a tiny fraction of dissenting opinion proves something false, when, in reality, if the "authority of scientists" is what actually compelled you, you would agree with the overwhelming consensus. Are you even fooling yourself with this nonsense?Dr Curry just tore into this meme and showed how it was crap. There is no link proven at this time.. Even the boys over at the Boulder Co AP lab say there is no link..
Clearly we need more data, but it's really more of an exercise than it is required support for climate theory. We already know that warmer water will lead to stronger hurricanes, and we know the water is warming.
And, of course , there is and will be a link, as the simple principle that warmer water will, on the average, lead to more intense hurricanes is a well-known fact. Time will yield the data which demonstrates it, but it is only an exercise. this is accepted fact.
And what the hell is "Boulder Co AP lab"? I am going to scrutinize your claim.
MCDB Lower Division Lab Requirement Options - MCD Biology
MCDB Lower Division Lab Requirement Options
Feb 8, 2017 - Lower Division Lab Requirement Options ... While students who have earned AP biology credit (which is ... University of Colorado Boulder
Smith Lab Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology ...
www.colorado.edu/smithlab/
Welcome to the Smith Lab website! Our lab provides a collaborative and supportive environment for researchers studying the evolution of plant trait diversity,
These people have a huge problem with context.. They only apply it when it fits their narrative and ignore it when it doesnt.See, this is one of the reasons you sound so very stupid whenever you open your mouth about this topic. ONe scientist or even a few saying they don't agree with something does not make it "untrue". that's the ultimate absurdity of your own "arguments to authority"... you think presenting a tiny fraction of dissenting opinion proves something false, when, in reality, if the "authority of scientists" is what actually compelled you, you would agree with the overwhelming consensus. Are you even fooling yourself with this nonsense?Dr Curry just tore into this meme and showed how it was crap. There is no link proven at this time.. Even the boys over at the Boulder Co AP lab say there is no link..
Clearly we need more data, but it's really more of an exercise than it is required support for climate theory. We already know that warmer water will lead to stronger hurricanes, and we know the water is warming.
And, of course , there is and will be a link, as the simple principle that warmer water will, on the average, lead to more intense hurricanes is a well-known fact. Time will yield the data which demonstrates it, but it is only an exercise. this is accepted fact.
And what the hell is "Boulder Co AP lab"? I am going to scrutinize your claim.
MCDB Lower Division Lab Requirement Options - MCD Biology
MCDB Lower Division Lab Requirement Options
Feb 8, 2017 - Lower Division Lab Requirement Options ... While students who have earned AP biology credit (which is ... University of Colorado Boulder
Smith Lab Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology ...
www.colorado.edu/smithlab/
Welcome to the Smith Lab website! Our lab provides a collaborative and supportive environment for researchers studying the evolution of plant trait diversity,
Shame you can't read a curriculum description and recognize Advanced Placement (as in High School AP) from Atmospheric Physics.
That chart is largely just a reflection of flying more P3 hunters on LONGER routes. You can only VERIFY Category that way. And you will catch storms that ATTAIN a higher Cat for just a mere matter of HOURS with higher levels of surveillance.
So, Curry has gone from peer reviewed journals to WUWT. In your world that would seem to represent a step up. For the rest of us out here in reality, that is a sad progression.As usual Dr Judith Curry puts the hype into perspective...
"The group that I like is really the NOAA group in Boulder, who looks at the historical record and tries to see is there anything unusual. Looking back a hundred years, is this exceptional in any way? If it is not particularly exceptional, given the record we have for the last hundred years, then it’s hard to argue that climate changed. Occasionally we do get genuinely record-breaking events. Then we need to trace back to what was the atmospheric dynamics, and whatever that contributed to that event and you need to tease it out. It needs a lot of detective work.
There is this new movement to use climate models with natural variability, and then human-caused global warming, but these same climate models they’re using can’t resolve these extreme events. They can’t produce hurricanes, they don’t have the right event-weather distribution to provide heatwaves. It is just Voodoo statistics that they’re playing with these models — which do not have the capability to predict these extreme events in the current climate or an unperturbed climate anyways. I’m not very impressed with the model-based attribution arguments. Carefully-constructed diagnostic analysis and comparisons with historical events — to me those are of much more value."
Dr Curry operates a hurricane and weather forecasting business now after being the director of a major college science program and she hits the nail right on the head. NATURAL VARIATION...
Cutting through the myths about Irma, Harvey, and climate change.
In a period of severe HURRICANE DROUGHT -- like the 15 years from 2000 to 2015
In a period of severe HURRICANE DROUGHT -- like the 15 years from 2000 to 2015
???
& Landsea et al. (2010) documented a rather large increase in short-lived tropical storms and hurricanes in the last decade, which is likely due to improved monitoring capabilities, that may be influencing the climatological average number of TCs in the Atlantic basin. With the artificial jump in the 2000s in the frequency of short-lived systems, a more realistic estimate of the long-term climatology may be closer to 13 tropical storms and hurricanes per year.
You need to look at the table titled "Atlantic basin Individual years with the numbers in each category" and observe that it indicates that, on average, there are about 6 Atlantic hurricanes per year and then look at the quantity of hurricanes that happened between 2000 and 2015. There was no dearth of hurricanes in those years. Five of those years had fewer than six 'canes and all the rest of the years had six or more. The data isn't artificial. It's right there in black and white.In a period of severe HURRICANE DROUGHT -- like the 15 years from 2000 to 2015
???
You need to read the notes that go along with this data..
Take out 2005, or start the decade from 2006 and the comments stand. There's a lot of "artificiality" in this accumulation. Including ---
& Landsea et al. (2010) documented a rather large increase in short-lived tropical storms and hurricanes in the last decade, which is likely due to improved monitoring capabilities, that may be influencing the climatological average number of TCs in the Atlantic basin. With the artificial jump in the 2000s in the frequency of short-lived systems, a more realistic estimate of the long-term climatology may be closer to 13 tropical storms and hurricanes per year.
