Florida Major Hurricane Strikes: Still No Trend

Discussion in 'Environment' started by Sunsettommy, Oct 15, 2018.

  1. Sunsettommy
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    Sunsettommy VIP Member Supporting Member

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    The Labor Day Hurricane is still the most powerful hurricane to hit Florida, which is only 83 years ago.

    Global Warming

    October 11th, 2018 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

    Florida Major Hurricane Strikes: Still No Trend

    Excerpt:

    I’ve updated a plot of Florida major hurricane strikes since 1900 with Hurricane Michael, and the result is that there is still no trend in either intensity or frequency of strikes over the last 118 years:

    LINK
     
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  2. toobfreak
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    toobfreak Gold Member

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    Well I agree yes and no. One problem is the study only counts hurricanes hitting Florida. The other is that it only counts wind speed as it came ashore. So that limits the conclusions you can draw from it. One thing I will note is that it shows three of the four strongest hurricanes hitting Florida in the past 30 years. But again, wind speed is not the total picture, there is size and amount of damage. Finally, whether those three larger hurricanes of late represent a trend or a fluke, again, only time will tell. The study needs more data.
     
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  3. skookerasbil
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    skookerasbil Platinum Member

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    @www.whosnotwinning?.com
     
  4. skookerasbil
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    skookerasbil Platinum Member

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    You see, some people just tend to the hysterical. They see shit happen in nature and get freaked out! Some see it as an event in nature that's been going on for a billion years! Most people dont get freaked out....thankfully.

    Computer models are worthless for predicting future climate events....well, according to the IPCC anyway.:113::113:
     
  5. Sunsettommy
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    Sunsettommy VIP Member Supporting Member

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    Yes there were Hurricanes that effected Florida, which I posted on a few days ago that never came ashore, however this post was about actual landfalling Hurricanes which Michael was a part of.

    Dr. Spenser stated,

    "I’ve updated a plot of Florida major hurricane strikes since 1900 with Hurricane Michael, and the result is that there is still no trend in either intensity or frequency of strikes over the last 118 years:"

    No trend on LANDFALLING frequency is the subject of the post.
     
  6. Marion Morrison
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    Marion Morrison Platinum Member

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    I have this theory: I reckon they come sometimes, and they don't. They always will come, that's a fact.
     
  7. hurricanewatcher
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    hurricanewatcher BANNED

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    Well, climate change sure as fuck doesn't effect major landfalling hurricanes on florida as shown by landfalling major storms in 1921, 1926, 1928, 1933, 1935, 1945, 1947, 1948, 1949, 1950(King), 1960(Donna), 1965 Betsy, Eloise of 1975, Fredrick 1979.

    These past 30 years have had Andrew 1992, Ivan 2004, Charley 2004, Wilma 2005, Dennis 2005, Irma 2017, Michael 2018 as major hurricanes on Florida.



    There isn't any trend one can see within the past 150 years of records.
     
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  8. SSDD
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    SSDD Gold Member

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    You have to don your magical climate change goggles and then you will see trends everywhere in everything.....even chaos becomes organized into a trend with a pair of those things.
     
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  9. skookerasbil
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    skookerasbil Platinum Member

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    One or two make a trend for these suckers!!:113::113:
     
  10. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    Especially for our local idiots here.
     

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