Election 2010

Confidence in Obama's ability to manage the economy has seriously eroded and as a consequence:





It's not even clear that he will get his party's nomination in 2012.


Obama would have to become seriously unpopular to not get the nomination in 2012, but I do believe he is vulnerable to be a one-termer IF the Republicans can emerge a more unified and fiscally conservative party who has a charismatic figure to represent such a platform.

As of yet, the Repubs are a long ways off from that...

His approval ratings among likely voters are already only slightly ahead of his disapproval ratings, 51% - 47%, and with the Fed saying unemployment will top 10% this year and with the recession not expected to bottom out until sometime next year and our financial system woefully short of capital to finance a recovery, his approval ratings will certainly go down.

In addition, Obama is making enemies within the party right now. He is being criticized by Congressional Dems from red and purple states for putting them in untenable positions by pressuring them to vote for higher taxes and more debt, and he is being criticized by some in the Dem leadership for the way his Organizing for America organization, technically a part of the DNC, is acting independently from the rest of the party leadership, presently running ads intended to pressure moderate and conservative Dems to vote against the wishes of their constituents, what Harry Reid had characterized as Democrats campaigning against Democrats.

And as his approval ratings continue to fall and the anger at him within the party leadership grows, the fact that he has worked to marginalize Clinton by appointing presidential envoys for virtually every important foreign policy issue will give focus to anti Obama sentiment and perhaps encourage Clinton to make a dramatic break with Obama on some foreign policy issue, resign and run against him in the primaries.

And who is leading the republicans? The wackos at Townhall meetings.

Look not being happy with the job he is doing is one thing, but not everyone who disapprove of him would approve more of the republicans. I mean lets be honest, there was a reason people voted more democrats in. And now its not stupidity or popularity, its because people wanted a government that was proactive in solving problems in our country instead of just protecting the rich.

Now all of a sudden they don't want it? I doubt it.
 
The latest generic Congressional poll shows

DEMOCRATS UP BY 8 POINTS

Generic Congressional polling means less than nothing, no matter who it's pointing to.

No one who knows what they're talking about would take a poll like that seriously.

Not according to Republicans.

Rasmussen has clearly decided to skew their polls to the right as a marketing ploy. And it's a good one; Rasmussen gets mentioned repeatedly wherever cons congregate.
 
The latest generic Congressional poll shows

DEMOCRATS UP BY 8 POINTS

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/client/act_dsp_pdf.cfm?name=mr090902-1tb1.pdf&id=4506

Generic Congressional polling means less than nothing, no matter who it's pointing to.

No one who knows what they're talking about would take a poll like that seriously.

It got the last 2 elections right.

Generic Congressional polling a year before election day? Not a chance.
 
the USS Titanic is going down by the head. and the socialists are heading for the golden lifeboats. and the rest of you are just 3rd class steerage :lol:
 
The latest generic Congressional poll shows

DEMOCRATS UP BY 8 POINTS

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news/client/act_dsp_pdf.cfm?name=mr090902-1tb1.pdf&id=4506

Generic Congressional polling means less than nothing, no matter who it's pointing to.

No one who knows what they're talking about would take a poll like that seriously.

It got the last 2 elections right.

By virtue of Democratic win. Democrats almost always lead the generic Congressional ballot.
 

I don't see why people think losing this race would be such a significant setback for the Democrats.

It won't be. Republicans may pick up several House seats, especially in the South where Dems ousted a few in 2008, but the Senate will remain a solid Democratic majority. It's the centrist Republicans who have their work cut out for them as they try to live down the effects of the wild-eyed reactionaries who have been on the scene since Obama was elected.
 

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