Do you think Democrats will take the House in 2018?

[jon_berzerk]

The Democrats are likely to take the House. The problem will be suburban districts. Republicans were routed in the Virginia house of Delegates. Even in Alabama, Republicans only won the suburbs by 4 points. The Democrats have done a good job of recruiting decent candidates to run. They don't have to stand for anything. Republicans didn't run on anything but opposition to Obama. That didn't hurt them in taking the House. Republicans have constantly appealed to the 30% and sometimes even less support for what Republicans have done or tried to do.

1. Republicans tried to kick poor people off of health insurance and force premiums much higher for older Americans and people with pre-existing conditions.
2. The tax bill left intact numerous loopholes for the rich including 1 that enriches Paul Ryan, Bob Corker, and Donald Trump.
3. Republicans have lurched too far to the right in repealing regulations. Something like net neutrality will be easy to explain. Treat all data equally.
.

Lol all Trump did was destroy Obama's regulations..run on that

that and ending tax breaks --LOL

 

[Mousterian]

Only Democrats want class warfare...

You damn right there, bear!
Them at the top are doing nicely, thank you.
That's why they are conservatives.

 

[LoneLaugher]

Depends whether Mueller moves on the Orange Clown before then...

If Mueller moves on Trump months before November 2018 that would be the biggest mistake in political history...he won't try to get Trump to testify till around later part of 2019 or after 2020.

Mueller doesn't care about any of that. Fool.

 

[Slyhunter]

The Democrats are likely to take the House. The problem will be suburban districts. Republicans were routed in the Virginia house of Delegates. Even in Alabama, Republicans only won the suburbs by 4 points. The Democrats have done a good job of recruiting decent candidates to run. They don't have to stand for anything. Republicans didn't run on anything but opposition to Obama. That didn't hurt them in taking the House. Republicans have constantly appealed to the 30% and sometimes even less support for what Republicans have done or tried to do.

1. Republicans tried to kick poor people off of health insurance and force premiums much higher for older Americans and people with pre-existing conditions.
2. The tax bill left intact numerous loopholes for the rich including 1 that enriches Paul Ryan, Bob Corker, and Donald Trump.
3. Republicans have lurched too far to the right in repealing regulations. Something like net neutrality will be easy to explain. Treat all data equally.
.

Republicans have something to run on --> The continuation of Trumps agenda.

Then they are doomed. Americans disapprove of Trump's job performance on nearly every issue.

Only in Liberal polls.
Polls done by phone doesn't reach Trumps base.

 

[Esmeralda]

In this thread, we discuss the likelihood that Donald Trump's unpopularity will help Democrats win a majority in 2018, in the House of Representatives. Thanks.

Trump is digging a mass grave for the GOP. They are all falling in, one by one. By the 201election, they won't have a chance. They are losing the votes of independents, minorities, women. And the base has lost 10% of its voters favorable to Trump. I'm laughing all the way to the voting booth.

 

[Mac1958]

I'm expecting significant Democratic victories in '18 and '20, and that Trump's win will be viewed by history as more of a last gasp than a revolution.

Full disclosure, given my history of picking Presidential elections and football scores, if I bet on Team A, then Team B has a pretty good shot.

 

[Papageorgio]

The party of the President lose seats in off year elections, so I expect the Democrats to hold an edge at the end of 2018.

 

[JoeB131]

The way things are going right now? Absolutely, but a lot can change in the next 10 months especially if people like the results of the tax bill that just passed

Nobody is going to get that worked up about an extra $18.00 in their paycheck.

 

[JoeB131]

If Mueller moves on Trump months before November 2018 that would be the biggest mistake in political history...he won't try to get Trump to testify till around later part of 2019 or after 2020.

If he gets the evidence in 2018, and it's damning, he'll do it in 2018.

 

[JoeB131]

Historically, the power out of power always makes big gains in the House in midterms, so, um, yeah, Trump is going to take a bath.

 

[AvgGuyIA]

In this thread, we discuss the likelihood that Donald Trump's unpopularity will help Democrats win a majority in 2018, in the House of Representatives. Thanks.

Unpopular with who? Leftists. Black unemployment is the lowest in decades. They won't be voting against results like that. No democrat voted for the tax cut. Working people won't be voting against the GOP. We may end up with super majorities in Congress.

 

[JoeB131]

Unpopular with who? Leftists. Black unemployment is the lowest in decades. They won't be voting against results like that.

except the economy was just fine in midterms in 2006, when the house flipped.

Or in 1986, when the Senate flipped.

Trump is massively unpopular, that's why the house will flip. Maybe the Senate, if we are lucky

 

[Billy_Kinetta]

Republicans were routed in the Virginia house of Delegates.

Which they still control.

 

[PredFan]

In this thread, we discuss the likelihood that Donald Trump's unpopularity will help Democrats win a majority in 2018, in the House of Representatives. Thanks.

They can possibly win the Senate by a slim majority, the House? Not a chance.

 

[PredFan]

Unpopular with who? Leftists. Black unemployment is the lowest in decades. They won't be voting against results like that.

except the economy was just fine in midterms in 2006, when the house flipped.

Or in 1986, when the Senate flipped.

Trump is massively unpopular, that's why the house will flip. Maybe the Senate, if we are lucky

You dumbasses still believe in polls, how funny.

 

[william the wie]

The normal 40 seats in the house for the party out of power has been largely frittered away by the following:

The Meuller witch hunt stinks to high heaven.

Deregulation and the tax bill are creating economic growth at the highest rate vs. the previous president since the second half of FDR's second term.

The incompetence of Democratic congressional leadership has been astonishingly broad and deep.

 

[Remodeling Maidiac]

Too early to make wild guesses. Let's see where the economy is in 6 months.

 

[william the wie]

Too early to make wild guesses. Let's see where the economy is in 6 months.

That is going to depend massively on where you live. For example NJ has the worst state finances in the nation by most ways of measuring but it looks like a well run state compared to CA and IL.

 

[percysunshine]

In this thread, we discuss the likelihood that Donald Trump's unpopularity will help Democrats win a majority in 2018, in the House of Representatives. Thanks.

Meh...in a national election, weird shit can happen. Even at a state level, the actor as baggage handler on 'Trading Places' can become a Senator. But universal local insanity? We are not there yet.

Repubs hold the House.

 

[Avatar4321]

No