Clinton's Post Convention Bump?

[ThoughtCrimes]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538), the unique award winning creation of Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

 

[Mac1958]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538) created by Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Looks like the momentum is on her side after the DNC, with a big help from Trump and his mouth.

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

 

[DGS49]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

 

[CowboyTed]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

What 'Mass Slander'?

Khan told the truth...

 

[NightFox]

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

That's true Mac, anything can happen prior to one of these two assholes being elected to the Presidency, like for example the Earth might be struck by a gamma ray burst from a nearby star causing it's surface to be completely sterilized, which of course would mean that the election would be postponed for a couple of billion years , giving Americans some time to return to their senses and come up with some rational choices.

.. yeah I know, the chances are very, very slim but one can dream can't one?

 

[Dr.Traveler]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/30/us/politics/convention-ratings.html?_r=0

The DNC Convention was fairly well watched and Clinton came out of it pretty well. The problem is that Trump opened his mouth on the Khans when he should have just shut up. If he'd done that, the economic news Monday would have cut into Hillary's bounce and possibly even eliminated it.

BTW: Trump has done this before. He basically bailed out Clinton the weekend she met with the FBI by retweeting an anti-semetic meme. He's his own worst enemy. Literally a generic Republican with the ability to keep quiet would be killing her in the polls right now.

 

[tinydancer]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

Well the first thing R's have to do is to put McCain on the defensive. He's out there with his "Gold Star family" shit.

So he's got to be slapped silly with his garbage that no one can be criticized if someone in their family served.

 

[tinydancer]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/30/us/politics/convention-ratings.html?_r=0

The DNC Convention was fairly well watched and Clinton came out of it pretty well. The problem is that Trump opened his mouth on the Khans when he should have just shut up. If he'd done that, the economic news Monday would have cut into Hillary's bounce and possibly even eliminated it.

BTW: Trump has done this before. He basically bailed out Clinton the weekend she met with the FBI by retweeting an anti-semetic meme. He's his own worst enemy. Literally a generic Republican with the ability to keep quiet would be killing her in the polls right now.

That's why Jeb did so well in the primaries riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight?

 

[NYcarbineer]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/30/us/politics/convention-ratings.html?_r=0

The DNC Convention was fairly well watched and Clinton came out of it pretty well. The problem is that Trump opened his mouth on the Khans when he should have just shut up. If he'd done that, the economic news Monday would have cut into Hillary's bounce and possibly even eliminated it.

BTW: Trump has done this before. He basically bailed out Clinton the weekend she met with the FBI by retweeting an anti-semetic meme. He's his own worst enemy. Literally a generic Republican with the ability to keep quiet would be killing her in the polls right now.

Jeb Bush would be beating Clinton right now.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/30/us/politics/convention-ratings.html?_r=0

The DNC Convention was fairly well watched and Clinton came out of it pretty well. The problem is that Trump opened his mouth on the Khans when he should have just shut up. If he'd done that, the economic news Monday would have cut into Hillary's bounce and possibly even eliminated it.

BTW: Trump has done this before. He basically bailed out Clinton the weekend she met with the FBI by retweeting an anti-semetic meme. He's his own worst enemy. Literally a generic Republican with the ability to keep quiet would be killing her in the polls right now.

That's why Jeb did so well in the primaries riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight?

The primaries got hijacked by the inmates of the rightwing asylum.

 

[Kristian]

Leftist did not like this campaign.

It was Obama onlies for all left wingers in USA.

 

[Dr.Traveler]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/30/us/politics/convention-ratings.html?_r=0

The DNC Convention was fairly well watched and Clinton came out of it pretty well. The problem is that Trump opened his mouth on the Khans when he should have just shut up. If he'd done that, the economic news Monday would have cut into Hillary's bounce and possibly even eliminated it.

BTW: Trump has done this before. He basically bailed out Clinton the weekend she met with the FBI by retweeting an anti-semetic meme. He's his own worst enemy. Literally a generic Republican with the ability to keep quiet would be killing her in the polls right now.

That's why Jeb did so well in the primaries riiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiight?

Winning a primary is different than winning the general, as Trump is finding out now. In the Primary these stupid outbursts meant free advertising and meant that his opponents got reduced coverage. In a field that was 16 or so at one point, Trump was literally the only guy getting coverage at all because of what he was doing.

The general election is a binary choice. If you say and ddo stupid crap people can just vote for the other guy. That's why literally a generic Republican with a closed mouth would be winning. Clinton's headlines are nearly universally bad, it's just Trumps are louder and worse. Worst of all for Trump, nearly all his wounds are self inflicted.

 

[GHook93]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538) created by Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Looks like the momentum is on her side after the DNC, with a big help from Trump and his mouth.

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

Yep. Dumbass could have played it so much better, but instead he feel for the trap and this time he won't recover.

 

[Dr.Traveler]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538) created by Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Looks like the momentum is on her side after the DNC, with a big help from Trump and his mouth.

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

Yep. Dumbass could have played it so much better, but instead he feel for the trap and this time he won't recover.

If he had to address the Khan's, he should have pointed out Hillary voted for the Iraq War and not him and left it at that. He eventually got to that point, but not until his earlier quotes on the Khans drowned everything out. He is literally his own worst enemy.

 

[Mac1958]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538) created by Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Looks like the momentum is on her side after the DNC, with a big help from Trump and his mouth.

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

Yep. Dumbass could have played it so much better, but instead he feel for the trap and this time he won't recover.

If he had to address the Khan's, he should have pointed out Hillary voted for the Iraq War and not him and left it at that. He eventually got to that point, but not until his earlier quotes on the Khans drowned everything out. He is literally his own worst enemy.

I was expecting the worst and underestimated him.

He says (or "tweets") something absolutely inexplicable every single day.

I've never seen anything like this.
.

 

[dblack]

Had nothing to do with the convention, which no one outside the Leftist circle even watched.

It is entirely due to the mass slander against Trump, initiated by the Khan episode.

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

Our antiquated voting process has doomed us. If Clinton wins we'll continue our descent into corporatist fascism. If Trump wins, we'll go out in a blaze of... well, something. Our only way out is voting third party, and that's very unlikely to happen in sufficient numbers.

 

[Dr.Traveler]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538) created by Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Looks like the momentum is on her side after the DNC, with a big help from Trump and his mouth.

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

Yep. Dumbass could have played it so much better, but instead he feel for the trap and this time he won't recover.

If he had to address the Khan's, he should have pointed out Hillary voted for the Iraq War and not him and left it at that. He eventually got to that point, but not until his earlier quotes on the Khans drowned everything out. He is literally his own worst enemy.

I was expecting the worst and underestimated him.

He says (or "tweets") something absolutely inexplicable every single day.

I've never seen anything like this.
.

I think a thread, all it's own, that would be worth discussing is "When is it a quote out of context vs. an indication of who a person is". Trump is an amateur politician so it's inevitable he'd have a few out of context quotes that would be damaging. The problem is that it's not one quote, or two quotes, or even three quotes. It's week after week, day after day.

 

[Mac1958]

According to FiveThirtyEight (538) created by Nate Silver, it appears that Clinton's estimated chance of winning the Presidential election in November have risen considerably. On July 28 during the DNC Convention Clinton stood at a 53.7% chance of winning the election to Trump's 46.3%. As of the time of this post convention posting, Clinton is at 66.0% and trump at 34%; that's almost 2:1 odds! Any reasonable person would be forced to agree that is a significant increase!

Going over the site and digging into the weeds a bit, it shows not only that along with other gains in the States, key swing States have flipped for Clinton including Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida and Iowa! Who knows whether that will remain or that some or all will flip back or that even more will flip in Clinton's favor.

538 is also showing the electoral count for Clinton - 306.2 & Trump - 231.4 and the Popular vote at Clinton - 47.6% & Trump - 44.1%. Of course, with 97 days left before election day things could change. To view the stats go here;
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

Looks like the momentum is on her side after the DNC, with a big help from Trump and his mouth.

Anything can happen, of course, but she has to be breathing a sigh of relief.
..

Yep. Dumbass could have played it so much better, but instead he feel for the trap and this time he won't recover.

If he had to address the Khan's, he should have pointed out Hillary voted for the Iraq War and not him and left it at that. He eventually got to that point, but not until his earlier quotes on the Khans drowned everything out. He is literally his own worst enemy.

I was expecting the worst and underestimated him.

He says (or "tweets") something absolutely inexplicable every single day.

I've never seen anything like this.
.

I think a thread, all it's own, that would be worth discussing is "When is it a quote out of context vs. an indication of who a person is". Trump is an amateur politician so it's inevitable he'd have a few out of context quotes that would be damaging. The problem is that it's not one quote, or two quotes, or even three quotes. It's week after week, day after day.

Yeah, agreed. I tried at the beginning to write the behaviors off as being from an over-excited first-timer, I get that, but this far into it I think this is just who he is.

Maybe I could even bring myself to forgive the non-stop cartoonish hyperbole (well, maybe), but this need of his to over-react and attack at the slightest provocation is the sign of a serious personality (at least) flaw in the man.
.

 

[Old Rocks]

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 7/25 - 8/1 -- -- 46.4 42.0 Clinton +4.4
CNN/ORC 7/29 - 7/31 894 RV 3.5 52 43 Clinton +9
Economist/YouGov 7/30 - 8/1 933 RV 4.1 46 43 Clinton +3
CBS News 7/29 - 7/31 1131 RV 3.0 47 41 Clinton +6
PPP (D) 7/29 - 7/30 1276 LV 2.7 50 45 Clinton +5
LA Times/USC 7/26 - 8/1 2188 LV -- 43 45 Trump +2
NBC News/SM 7/25 - 7/31 12742 RV 1.2 50 42 Clinton +8
Reuters/Ipsos 7/25 - 7/29 1050 LV 3.5 40 35 Clinton +5
Rasmussen Reports 7/26 - 7/27 1000 LV 3.0 43 42 Clinton +1

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

Clinton's convention bounce is going well.

 

[AceRothstein]

If the Republicans don't start fighting back effectively, the Republic is doomed.

The problem with you clowns is that you always have to "fight back". If Trump would have just ignored the Khan family, this whole thing would have blown over in a day. Trump decided to fight back and has now dug himself into a huge hole. Grow up and act like adults for once in your lives.