CDZ Chances of a USA breakup

Discussion in 'Clean Debate Zone' started by MPS777, Nov 22, 2017.

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What do you think is the probability the USA will exist in its current form in 100 or so years?

  1. 0% to 25%

    13 vote(s)
    44.8%
  2. 25% to 50%

    3 vote(s)
    10.3%
  3. 50% to 75%

    2 vote(s)
    6.9%
  4. 75% to 100%

    11 vote(s)
    37.9%
  1. MPS777
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    MPS777 Senior Member

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    As I’ve watched partisan animosity and hostility only ever increase over the course of my life, I’ve recently started to wonder if it will eventually “break” the USA. I’ve conjured up at least one scenario that I consider entirely plausible. It would start with either Texas or California seceding. If it was the result of a democratic referendum, I think it’s quite likely the rest of the country wouldn’t see fit to forcibly keep the state in the union. However, the loss of either Texas or California would put many other states in severe electoral college disadvantage ideologically. So now given the secession precedent had been set, I think it’s possible that many other states would secede in turn as not to be “lorded over” by an ideologically opposite people.

    This is just one possible “breakup” scenario, however I can imagine others might also take place. Based purely on my own gut feeling, I think there’s only about a 50% chance of the United States lasting out the 21st century in its current form. But I’d like to get a broader opinion from others on their views, so I’m putting the question to a poll: What do you think the probability is that the USA will exist in its current form at the dawn of the 22nd century?
     
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  2. gipper
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    gipper Libertarian/Anarchist

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    Not likely, but would love to see it.
     
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  3. ScienceRocks
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    ScienceRocks Democrat all the way!

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    25-50%

    Odds probably favor it breaking up into at least two countries as liberals aint going to like living within a third world country without public services.
     
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  4. Lucy Hamilton
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    Lucy Hamilton Platinum Member

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    "Odds probably favor it breaking up into at least two countries as liberals aint going to like living within a third world country without public services."

    As long as there are functioning toilets and Nail Salons, that's all that should matter darling, functioning toilets and places to get a Manicure and Pedicure is all any Society needs :smoke:
     
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  5. Peach
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    Peach Gold Member

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    : ) So said many Federalists/Anti Federalists, Hayes/Tilden supporters, Nixon/Kennedy supporters, and the Bush/Gore enraged. Still, here we are, thank God.
     
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  6. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Diamond Member

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    Breakup? No.

    Steady decay into mediocrity? Sure. That's already begun.
     
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  7. Billy_Kinetta
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    Billy_Kinetta Paladin of the Lost Hour Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Just like before, one side will eventually get fed up enough to stomp the snot out of the other side, and that will be that.
     
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  8. anotherlife
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    anotherlife Gold Member

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    The U in the USA stands for United. The S stands for stand. President Obama was right, United we Stand.
     
  9. Wry Catcher
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    Wry Catcher Diamond Member

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    Only one faction has decayed, and that is the regressive / reactionary right wing, which has gotten power. American history suggests the future will be progressive.
     
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  10. AsianTrumpSupporter
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    AsianTrumpSupporter Platinum Member

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    If liberals try to leave the Union, they will suffer the same fate as the last time liberals tried that.
     
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