2aguy
Diamond Member
- Jul 19, 2014
- 111,975
- 52,247
- 2,290
Population loss in Russia and China are going to hurt those countries....big time..........God did tell us to be fruitful and multiply, seems he had a point....
The ZPG movement was always misguided, based upon a notion of the economy as a zero-sum game. If the economy is zero-sum, each additional mouth to feed takes food from somebody else.
If this were the case, of course a burgeoning population would be a huge problem. But as with all Malthusian predictions, it is based upon a fundamentally flawed view of human creativity. Each human being, liberated from artificial constraints, contributes to the common weal instead of subtracting from it.
The aging of China’s population will present enormous problems for the country, slowing its economic growth and burdening its creaking social safety net.
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The ratio between the younger and older proportions of the population matters a lot. In general younger and older workers serve different roles in the economy, and of course older people outside working age require support from a large working-age population in order to maintain the social insurance system.
hotair.com
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As a result, for the first time in Russian history, the annual number of deaths has exceeded the number of births (see Figure 1). Compounding these challenges, the population is aging rapidly—a trend that will accelerate over the next two decades—and immigration continues to increase, posing thorny political and social problems for a nation historically accustomed to a net outflow of people.
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www.rand.org
The ZPG movement was always misguided, based upon a notion of the economy as a zero-sum game. If the economy is zero-sum, each additional mouth to feed takes food from somebody else.
If this were the case, of course a burgeoning population would be a huge problem. But as with all Malthusian predictions, it is based upon a fundamentally flawed view of human creativity. Each human being, liberated from artificial constraints, contributes to the common weal instead of subtracting from it.
The aging of China’s population will present enormous problems for the country, slowing its economic growth and burdening its creaking social safety net.
------
The ratio between the younger and older proportions of the population matters a lot. In general younger and older workers serve different roles in the economy, and of course older people outside working age require support from a large working-age population in order to maintain the social insurance system.
China is shrinking
For the first time in decades the Chinese population is shrinking. The last time that happened it was due to Mao’s Great Leap Forward famines. This time it’s due to China’s all-too-s...
hotair.com
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As a result, for the first time in Russian history, the annual number of deaths has exceeded the number of births (see Figure 1). Compounding these challenges, the population is aging rapidly—a trend that will accelerate over the next two decades—and immigration continues to increase, posing thorny political and social problems for a nation historically accustomed to a net outflow of people.
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The "Graying" of the Russian Population
The decline in fertility is contributing to a rapid aging of the Russian population. Between 1959 and 1990, the number of persons aged 60 and over doubled. As a result, at the beginning of the 1990s, the proportion of the population aged 60 or over reached 16 percent. This figure will reach 20 percent by 2015. By that year, nearly one of out of every three people over 60 will be 75 or older.
Russia's Demographic 'Crisis': How Real Is It?
Although a continuation of long-term patterns accounts for much of the trend, it is important that Russia improve its health care system.
www.rand.org
