2000: Gallup has Gore +7 on October 7th

[The Paperboy]

From the Huffington Report:

Remembering Gallup's Wacky 2000 Tracking Poll

Everyone remembers the 2000 presidential election with its excruciating post-election vote counting controversy in Florida and the Supreme Court decision that awarded the presidency to George W. Bush. But how many people remember the Gallup 2000 election tracking poll? I'm sure the Gallup folks would like us to forget it, but in light of the controversy over Gallup's recent poll for USA Today that showed a big discrepancy between registered and likely voters, it's worth recalling just how well Gallup's likely voter screen performed in the weeks leading up to the 2000 election.

Full story here

 

[Chris]

21,000 people showed up in the rain for Obama today in INDIANAPOLIS!

You're done, son.

Give it up.

 

[Epsilon Delta]

So they were off by like 6.5% points?

 

[The Paperboy]

21,000 people showed up in the rain for Obama today in INDIANAPOLIS!

Your done, son.

Give it up.

I don't own a done. Perhaps the done belongs to you.

 

[Chris]

I don't own a done. Perhaps the done belongs to you.

Give it up.

McCain is finished.

 

[jillian]

I don't own a done. Perhaps the done belongs to you.

Big difference. Right now the actual vote count doesn't matter as much as the electoral map.

Why? You planning on having the supreme court appoint McCain president, too?

 

[midcan5]

But Gore won, the supreme court selected this buffoon.

 

[maineman]

so if Obama wins by oinly 4% instead of the 11% that Gallup has him at, I'll still be crackin' open the champagne

 

[Silence]

everyone pretty much agrees Gore won the actual election... this isnt' a good example

 

[oreo]

Polls, polls, polls. Really the only poll we'll ready take notice of is on November 4th.

I really don't see how acurate they can be. Some are only small samples--one was actually 60% democrat. Then another will be loaded with republicans.

Some say Obama needs to go in with an 8% lead.

What is extremely interesting according to one talking head pundant. Obama should have a lead right now of 24 points. We have an unpopular war, the financial crisis, etc. Things definitely not looking good for our economy. Normally Americans blame the incumbant party in the White House--President Bush, regardless if it is a democrat congress & senate.

So, I guess I am a little surprised that this race is still so close. I think Americans really don't trust Obama. His associations are extremely questionable, as to who he really is.

Then of course, the democrat party put out that they estimate 30% of blue collar white workers in the mid-west would never vote for a black man anyway. "I don't know if that's true, but you can bet the democrat party is very worried about it."

I guess we'll see soon.

 

[Chris]

Obama should have a 24 point lead?

If you say so.....

 

[Article 15]

The race is over. We are just going through the motions now.

 

[Red Dawn]

What is extremely interesting according to one talking head pundant. Obama should have a lead right now of 24 points. .

Oh, c'mon! What idiot said that? Some republican partisan no doubt, trying to raise the bar so the inevitable McCain defeat doesn't look like a disaster.

Carter only lost to Reagan by 9 points. And that was with a major third party candidate bleeding off a few percent from carter's total.

24 points? What a bunch of baloney.

 

[Jon]

everyone pretty much agrees Gore won the actual election... this isnt' a good example

If you mean popular vote, I'll agree to that, since it's a fact. But as much as I like Gore and hate Bush, Bush won Florida. Sorry.

But yeah, I don't have much hope for McCain anymore. If he wins, I'll be shocked and make love to the Bradley effect.

 

[DiveCon]

But Gore won, the supreme court selected this buffoon.

everyone pretty much agrees Gore won the actual election... this isnt' a good example

uh, no, Bush won
he had more electoral college votes
the popular vote is meaningless

 

[nia588]

you know, at the start of this campaign i thought Obama would have no chance of winning because i thought no would vote for him because 1 his black and 2 i thought americans would be stuck on getting a republican back in office.

But now i see that Americans truly are ready for chance. And they know they only way that's going to happen is electing Obama. Im glad that America finally is getting smart.

 

[The Paperboy]

everyone pretty much agrees Gore won the actual election... this isnt' a good example

Everyone but the half dozen newspapers who counted the votes again and again and again and kept finding Bush won.

And doesn't it say something about Gore that he only wanted recounts in Democratic counties?

And doesn't it say something abut Democrats that the problem was in a county run by all Democrats?

 

[The Paperboy]

The race is over. We are just going through the motions now.

Now come on. The Red Sox might win at least one game agaist the Rays!

 

[RetiredGySgt]

everyone pretty much agrees Gore won the actual election... this isnt' a good example

Everyone does NOT agree. In fact about half the Country completely disagreed with that statement then and now.

And you will find people that want to know what the REAL popular vote count was as well. You see they quit counting absentee votes in mosts states after a statistical win had occurred or after the election was declared for that State.

But to the point of the matter. NO President is EVER elected by popular vote. I suggest you read and understand the Constitution.

 

[maineman]

bottom line: talking about 2000 is a distraction. Obama is pulling away in 2008. He has momentum. McCain needed a game changing debate and didn't get it. All he has left now is to go negative and avoid talking about issues. This momentum keeps up and Obama brandishes some coattails, and we'll have 60 in the senate and the republican party will be officially irrelevant.