You Will Not Believe how Wrong the Polls Were....

[WelfareQueen]

I just did an analysis. Every key battleground State was off....most big....and all but one were heavily biased against the GOP.

Don't let anyone one spin you....The Pollsters screwed up. This is exactly how far off they were.



KS -11.5 off.

AR -10.0 off

VA -9.1 off

AK -1.3 off

IA -6.2 off

CO -1.7 off

NC -2.4 off

GA -4.9 off

LA -4.5 off

NH +3.0 off This is the only State that had a GOP polling bias of the key States.


Of the key States listed....The aggregate polling bias was -5.1% against the GOP.

A huge failure and will need to be explained.

 

[Tom Sweetnam]

Like I said a coupe of weeks ago, the only odds I give any credence to are those of British bookies (betting on elections is illegal in the US). Their predictions were spot on.

 

[WelfareQueen]

I just wonder how the pollsters tilted everything so heavily against one party?

Time for a major re-think.

 

[WelfareQueen]

****Edit****


I forgot KY. The polls were off there 8.2% The aggregate polling data for all the battleground states was off -5.4% against the GOP.

A horrible performance.

 

[SwimExpert]

A huge failure and will need to be explained.

It's not that amazing. It's a simple product of voter turnout. Turnout for midterms is almost always in favor of the GOP.