Yikes! Check Out The Inverted Treasury Yield Curve

[g5000]

An inverted US Treasury yield curve has been a reliable indicator of a pending recession.

Well, check out how badly it is inverted at the moment!

US Treasury Yield Curve

An app for exploring historic interest rates

www.ustreasuryyieldcurve.com

This classic recession indicator just hit its lowest level since 1981​

​

Going back to 1978, it takes about 15 months on average for the economy to enter a recession after the yield curve inverts, according to Horneman’s analysis. “Applying this timeframe to the current inversion (roughly one year ago) the economy could enter a recession in October of this year.”

Still, past performance is no guarantee of future results. And even past performance can be a little misleading. The last time the yield curve inverted was 2019. A short recession did follow, but there were some other major forces acting on the economy at the time.

 

[luiza]

Do not further undermine their illusions . Most are mad as trapped rats already .

 

[BackAgain]

We keep trying to tel you liberoids that Brandon is a disaster.

 

[The5thHorseman]

We keep trying to tel you liberoids that Brandon is a disaster.

But you can't demonstrate that it is true.

 

[The Duke]

But you can't demonstrate that it is true.

I certainly could if grocery store receipts weren't printed with disappearing ink.

 

[The5thHorseman]

I certainly could if grocery store receipts weren't printed with disappearing ink.

Why not post the aggregate price level data of which those receipts are part?

 

[The Duke]

Why not post the aggregate price level data of which those receipts are part?

Because I'd have to be able to read them to acquire the data, you fucking moron!

 

[The5thHorseman]

Because I'd have to be able to read them to acquire the data, you fucking moron!

No...somebody is paid to do that...

You just have to read the results.

 

[The Duke]

No...somebody is paid to do that...

You just have to read the results.

You're long on bullshit and short on facts, boy.

 

[The5thHorseman]

You're long on bullshit and short on facts, boy.

No...you're a yammering ignoramus.

 

[BackAgain]

But you can't demonstrate that it is true.

I can’t prove to a blind person that colors look different to people with sight.

 

[The5thHorseman]

I can’t prove to a blind person that colors look different to people with sight.

I'm neither blind nor innumerate.

Try me...

 

[Missourian]

An inverted US Treasury yield curve has been a reliable indicator of a pending recession.

Well, check out how badly it is inverted at the moment!

US Treasury Yield Curve

An app for exploring historic interest rates

www.ustreasuryyieldcurve.com

This classic recession indicator just hit its lowest level since 1981​

​

Going back to 1978, it takes about 15 months on average for the economy to enter a recession after the yield curve inverts, according to Horneman’s analysis. “Applying this timeframe to the current inversion (roughly one year ago) the economy could enter a recession in October of this year.”

Still, past performance is no guarantee of future results. And even past performance can be a little misleading. The last time the yield curve inverted was 2019. A short recession did follow, but there were some other major forces acting on the economy at the time.

Just in time for election season.

 

[justoffal]

Just in time for election season.

I'm more worried about the dollar.... there's so much debt built into it at this point that it's only a matter of time before we default or hyperinflate.

 

[otto105]

We keep trying to tel you liberoids that Brandon is a disaster.

Yeah, how so?

Unemployment too low?

GDP too high?

 

[John Edgar Slow Horses]

That we have not had a major recession is amazing, but now a 'baby' recession or no recession at all is most likely.

Kudos to President Biden and the Fed Reserve.

 

[g5000]

We keep trying to tel you liberoids that Brandon is a disaster.

It takes a special kind of idiot to think inflation was caused at the flip of a switch.

The causes behind the current inflation are due to policies over the past decade or more.

Ask any economist, moron.

Or you can read my topic from several years ago: The Fed's Bond Bubble Doomsday Machine

 

[Missourian]

It takes a special kind of idiot to think inflation was caused at the flip of a switch.

The causes behind the current inflation are due to policies over the past decade or more.

Ask any economist, moron.

Or you can read my topic from several years ago: The Fed's Bond Bubble Doomsday Machine

The excuses begin...

 

[The5thHorseman]

The excuses begin...

Are you crediting him for the drop?

 

[Missourian]

Are you crediting him for the drop?

Yep...he dropped the ball.