Ya Like Polls, Do Ya?

[g5000]

Here's one they will be updating almost daily. Knock yourself out.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

Today's forecast:

Hillary Clinton has about a 76% chance of winning the presidency.

...with heavy grumblings expected in early November.

 

[ThoughtCrimes]

A 3:1 margin does appear to be a yuuugh gap!

 

[g5000]

Today's forecast from fivethirty eight is more conservative: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

 

[hazlnut]

Here's one they will be updating almost daily. Knock yourself out.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

Today's forecast:

Hillary Clinton has about a 76% chance of winning the presidency.

...with heavy grumblings expected in early November.

I'll feel better when it's 87%.

And BTW I'm not happy about having to vote for her. Feels like punting.

 

[TNHarley]

Depends on how fat her ass is

 

[g5000]

Here's one they will be updating almost daily. Knock yourself out.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

Today's forecast:

Hillary Clinton has about a 76% chance of winning the presidency.

...with heavy grumblings expected in early November.

I'll feel better when it's 87%.

And BTW I'm not happy about having to vote for her. Feels like punting.

Don't be a sap. Write in a vote. You don't have to vote for evil, lesser or otherwise.

When you vote for someone like Trump or Clinton, they believe you are giving them a mandate to be the evil motherfuckers they are.

Don't do that.

Write in a vote for someone you believe in. Send a message.

 

[ThoughtCrimes]

Today's forecast from fivethirty eight is more conservative: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

If five thirty eight predicts that margin, Trump's goose is cooked.

 

[g5000]

Depends on how fat her ass is

No fatter than Trump's.

 

[Some Guy]

It's hard to really build a worse candidate for president than Hillary Clinton, yet the republicans have found theirs. What a sad state of affairs for America.

 

[g5000]

It's hard to really build a worse candidate for president than Hillary Clinton, yet the republicans have found theirs. What a sad state of affairs for America.

Yeah. Somehow both parties think this is a race to the bottom, and they both badly want to be the winner.

 

[TNHarley]

Depends on how fat her ass is

No fatter than Trump's.

***

 

[The Irish Ram]

Britain had a 73% chance of staying in the EU. just sayin...

 

[g5000]

Britain had a 73% chance of staying in the EU. just sayin...

Actually, it was "too close to call", with a slight edge given to Remain.

I think the people taking bets were getting in the 70s, but not in the polls.

 

[g5000]

I think the pollsters are not weighting the fear and anger of Trump supporters enough.

People with high emotions are more likely to vote. There might be a lot more Hillary supporters, but they feel "meh" about her.

The GOP is really stoking the fear and anger in their rubes. It's their only chance to win.

Every time someone shoots at the cops, they are helping Trump.

 

[OldLady]

Here's one they will be updating almost daily. Knock yourself out.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

Today's forecast:

Hillary Clinton has about a 76% chance of winning the presidency.

...with heavy grumblings expected in early November.

I'll feel better when it's 87%.

And BTW I'm not happy about having to vote for her. Feels like punting.

Don't be a sap. Write in a vote. You don't have to vote for evil, lesser or otherwise.

When you vote for someone like Trump or Clinton, they believe you are giving them a mandate to be the evil motherfuckers they are.

Don't do that.

Write in a vote for someone you believe in. Send a message.

I'd agree with you in most election years, but considering that no one likes Clinton either, if everyone who isn't crazy about her didn't vote for her, Trump might win.

 

[buckeye45_73]

Today's forecast from fivethirty eight is more conservative: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

True but it's trending Trump....even Mondale and Dukakis were ahead at this time in the campaign.

 

[Harry Dresden]

Here's one they will be updating almost daily. Knock yourself out.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html

Today's forecast:

Hillary Clinton has about a 76% chance of winning the presidency.

...with heavy grumblings expected in early November.

I'll feel better when it's 87%.

And BTW I'm not happy about having to vote for her. Feels like punting.

sure your not.....how many of her bags are you carrying?...

 

[g5000]

Today's forecast from fivethirty eight is more conservative: http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

True but it's trending Trump....even Mondale and Dukakis were ahead at this time in the campaign.

Nope.

Mondale was never ahead in the polls. He was always ten points or more behind Reagan.

Dukakis peaked in July 1988, and then downhill from there.

Historical polling for U.S. Presidential elections - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

 

[ClosedCaption]

Once Trump started losing in the polls. Hannity gave the typical republican response to news they dont like. Hannity declared that National Polls dont matter anymore.

 

[g5000]

One or two more losers who have watched too many ISIS videos go on a rampage, and one or two more angry blacks shoot down some more cops, and Trump's the winner.