woodie said:
It could then be a repeat of 2016, but with better polling by the Dems.
Except Trump Will Win The Electoral College
And The Popular Vote
Like Bush Over Kerry 2004
Rump lost the popular vote by some three million, more than anyone in history ever lost the PV and still won the EC. Quincy Adams actually got even less PV by percentage, but he needed the House of Reps to install him; nobody won the EC in 1824.
Here's what will be keeping Rump awake at night, other than his eggshell ego freaking out every time somebody dares criticize him:
Rump's EC election came from a "perfect storm". The three states commonly cited whose EV votes he got that turned the tide, by a total of -- what was it, 77 thousand votes total? --- of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin --- none of them voted for him. Check the vote totals, nobody in any of those states mustered as much as 50% of each state's vote. Same thing happened here in Carolina. As well as Florida, even AridZona, even Utah.
What that means is that there was no competition. Nobody gave the electorate in those states a reason to proactively
choose them, so their Electors made the choice for them. Only 55% of the electorate even bothered to show up at all, nationally. Given a reason to vote for somebody else, that's extreme vulnerability.
Add to that that Agent Orange cannot inch his own approval ratings over 40-42%, and that's another layer of vulnerability. It means most people are actively seeking an alternative. And they also see what the result will be if they don't pick one.
So the poster you quote here is correct. Unless the DP simply pulls an 1872 and literally nominates nobody, Rump is in deep doodoo. USMB echofantasies notwithstanding.
Even frickin'
Utah. Rump could not win the state vote in Utah even with an R after his name.
That's fragile.