What is "too early"? Because it doesn't matter when we open up, there is going to be a surge in cases.
If we wait 10 years to open up, there is going to be a surge in cases. If we wait 1 year, there will be a surge in cases. If we wait 1 month, or one more week, there will be a surge in cases.
So basically your arguement is, we need to stay locked down until everyone commits suicide from non-stop isolation, to avoid deaths.
The fewer infected individuals in the population, the smaller will be the surge. And if we were, hypothetically, to wait till we had developed and distributed a working vaccine, we could have no surge at all. Just the development of an effective treatment before reopening would at least dramatically reduce the suffering, size and deaths of a surge.
wait till we had developed and distributed a working vaccine
Right, and that's a great theory. Just like how our vaccine for cancer has worked so well.
Should we have locked down the country in hopes of a vaccine for AIDs? How many millions would have committed suicide by now?
Now I'm all for the creation of a vaccine, but you simply can't shut down the entire country based on nothing more than a hope.
If you want to wait a week or two to see if the recent tests work out, ok then. Maybe I can buy that.
The fewer infected individuals in the population
We already know that there are unknown hundreds of infected individuals. Maybe you missed it, but New Jersey did Covid testing of all pregnant mothers, and a good 25% of them were already infected with Covid showing no symptoms.
Meaning, upwards of tens of millions of people in this country likely have covid, or had covid already, without anyone knowing.
So this idea that if we don't have fewer infected individuals when the lock down is lifted.... ridiculous. Sorry, but that position is already destroyed by the facts.
Covid is not like Ebola where we could lock this thing down. It's more like the common cold. You are trying to hold back the ocean, with some sand castle like protections. They are not working, and won't work.
Again, Sweden. Sweden and Japan both, figured this out. They didn't even trying to stop Covid. They warned those who were risky to take precautions, and otherwise keep their societies open and free. Contrary to all the doom and nay-sayers, the end of the world mass deaths never happened.
Just the development of an effective treatment before reopening would at least dramatically reduce the suffering, size and deaths of a surge.
Again, fantastic idea. If you can put a concrete time frame on this, maybe I would buy it.
But the reality is, people's lives are being destroyed right now. People DYING right NOW. NOW. Right NOW they are dying.
Some indicators suggest a rising call volume at crisis centers.
thehill.com
Isolating people, is in fact dangerous to their mental health. And the people screaming at Trump for saying it, are ridiculous. We tried putting convicts in prison, in isolation, and many of them lost their minds.
People are not just losing social contact, they are also losing their jobs, their careers, their homes, and their families.
Listen.... people are dying RIGHT NOW, because of your policies.
So when you say "we just need to wait for a treatment...." Yeah, and how many people are going to die in the process of waiting? How many deaths do you need before you care? At what point does this "do-gooder" policy become it's only level of tyranny and evil?
And honestly, it is possible that question may not even matter. People are simply not going to abide by the lock down. Honestly, people are just flat out refusing to do it.
Even where I am right now, in my condo area, you know what is going on? There's a dozen kids outside playing, screaming and running around, playing games. Have been all week.
So, at some level you need to ditch this policy that is causing problems and harm, and accomplishing nothing.
If you want to say.... one more week... ok make your case for how long it should last, but it has to end... and soon.