frigidweirdo
Diamond Member
- Mar 7, 2014
- 50,381
- 12,251
- 2,180
- Thread starter
- #41
I don't insult thoughtful, knowledgeable, intelligent posters. You always strike me as determined to prove you are none of them.
Sounds like you're saying that "thoughtful, knowledgeable, intelligent posters" are just people who agree with you.
US OPEC imports have declined significantly (chart below) as increased American (US, Canada & Mexico) oil and gas production has left foreign producers - many of whom depend on their oil to "fuel" their economies - scrambling to find customers. They have not maintained production levels in order to flood the market but rather in a desperate attempt to maintain some revenue stream despite falling prices. OPEC not only no longer sets the price for oil globally, the members are increasingly undercutting each other.
Rather than the evil cartel's price-fixing we have a supply and demand market.
Ain't free markets great?
![]()
First point in my unintelligent, unknowledgeable post...
OPEC oil production has been RISING.
Saudi oil production. It's higher than it's been in decades.
The US might be reducing imports. But this isn't about the US. The US still imports HALF of all the oil it uses. So the US can only produce half of what it needs..
Thoughtful, intelligent, knowledgeable people use actual facts to form their opinions. The chart above clearly shows we do not import half but rather 1/3 of our oil needs - mostly from Canada and Mexico and we currently pump enough from the ground to cover all our needs. Saudi Arabia - like all the countries that depend on oil to fuel their economies - must pump more to maintain the revenues necessary to stay afloat.
![]()
Things are changing. It depends when your chart is from. As the US economy gets stronger the US will use more oil, for example. This from 2014 shows 50/50.
However getting pedantic about statistics isn't really the aim of this, is it? It doesn't matter if the US imports 1/3 1/4 1/2 of imports. The point I was referring to was that the US can't sell oil abroad. Why would the US need to sell oil abroad when it CANNOT produce enough oil for domestic use?
But while we're being pedantic about facts, and you're claiming to be thoughtful, knowledgeable and all that stuff
![]()
Your claim that most comes from Canada and Mexico, well, Mexico is FOURTH on the list of countries selling to the US. The Saudis and Venezuelans are higher up that list. Oh, well, you didn't get that did you?
How'd you like them apples?
The Saudis might be getting more money from pumping more. However you've ignored what a LOT of commentators on this have been saying. You stick your head under the ground and pretend you're more knowledgeable that these guys.
Saudi Oil Output Rising Amid Fight for Market Share
Watch the video.
Saudi Oil Output Rising Amid Fight for Market Share
"Saudi Arabia is quietly telling the oil market it would be comfortable with much lower oil prices for an extended period, a sharp shift in policy that may be aimed at slowing the expansion of rival producers including those in the U.S. shale patch."
Saudi Arabia oil: What next? - BBC News
"It also appeared to be willing to accept the lower price due to the pressure it puts on higher cost competitors, notably the growing shale oil business in the US."
Saudi Arabia bets its future on 'Berlin or Bust' oil strategy
"
World's largest oil exporter is forcing prices lower to win back market share but the high-risk strategy will test the house of Saud like never before"
"Oil equals political power and influence for Saudi Arabia and a seat at the table of the world’s most powerful nations at the G20. Despite the colossal risks, something had to be done to reverse the tilt towards high-cost production coming from the US and elsewhere to maintain Saudi Arabia’s dominance as the so called global “swing producer”."
Saudis can operate below cost at 20 dollar a barrel....enough, they think, to push our rig count down so that prices will bounce back up to 80. Profits are very marginal for operators here at 40-50 a barrel. However, we're becoming more and more efficient at running profits on lower per barrel ie quicker drilling, less time on site, rig moves etc. Another cycle or two and we'll be exerting more control over the saudis. Their play is done. That's all they have. We haven't even touched one percent yet.
Possibly. That depends though, it might all go wrong before then.